Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e1a986f1badecd1eca06253296fcd101353ee9cc4600624dc72fa2c0580c759
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,366
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,274
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,366 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 175 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d72…9461backed Yes | 41c | 921.13$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.13 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 15c | 686.71$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.05 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed No | 61c | 630.13$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.94 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 30c | 608.3$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.8 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 23c | 548.52$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.73 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8d…038bbacked No | 21c | 501.68$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.12 | 294 | 69.7%205 W · 89 L | +26.7wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 5c | 492.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 33c | 424.62$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.09 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09a8…47c1backed Yes | 75c | 353.79$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.74 | 418 | 45.2%189 W · 229 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f8…0f11backed No | 6c | 341.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.16 | 966 | 20.7%200 W · 766 L | +59.8wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 60c | 335.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.76 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 28c | 330$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.82 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 17c | 323.05$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.17 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 11c | 316.93$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.87 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1c…7f60backed Yes | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…ea54backed Yes | 39c | 298.23$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.92 | 284 | 41.2%117 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 28c | 287.2$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.5 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 14c | 275.13$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.57 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd231…633cbacked No | 66c | 268.96$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.52 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1917…138bbacked Yes | 40c | 259.45$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.41 | 337 | 46.9%158 W · 179 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed No | 4c | 257.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…f5c2backed No | 58c | 235.19$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.41 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 60c | 235$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 1,126 | 51.2%577 W · 549 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 27c | 212.37$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.97 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 60c | 208.35$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.52 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda33…daccbacked No | 55c | 202.57$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.42 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fb…b01bbacked Yes | 38c | 199.98$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.99 | 104 | 34.6%36 W · 68 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f74…8774backed Yes | 38c | 199.98$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.99 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +14.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8db4…9c07backed Yes | 71c | 194.04$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.57 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…372dbacked Yes | 44c | 193.12$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.77 | 1,531 | 24.2%371 W · 1,160 L | +15.4wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x017c…f8efbacked Yes | 70c | 187$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.55 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 60c | 184.99$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.19 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 8c | 184.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1775…85b0backed Yes | 54c | 176.36$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.11 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +25.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…efcebacked No | 12c | 172.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 428 | 20.1%86 W · 342 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00ff…aa2abacked No | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 18c | 158.34$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.24 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…828ebacked No | 23c | 156$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 451 | 30.8%139 W · 312 L | +33.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 44c | 154.77$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.49 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7c41…500dbacked Yes | 33c | 151.82$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.6 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…1a00backed No | 60c | 150$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 361 | 50.4%182 W · 179 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…4745backed No | 62c | 150$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 186 | 29.6%55 W · 131 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 27c | 144.73$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.52 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed No | 55c | 143.39$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.12 | 489 | 19.2%94 W · 395 L | -38.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9047…2959backed Yes | 37c | 135.35$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.35 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47f7…0312backed No | 19c | 134.63$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.18 | 146 | 63%92 W · 54 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…b083backed Yes | 32c | 132.5$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.89 | 188 | 37.2%70 W · 118 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 11c | 126.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb139…29a1backed Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x378d…a852backed Yes | 40c | 124.3$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.3 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 16c | 123.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 60c | 118$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.42 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…914fbacked Yes | 40c | 116.77$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 114 | 38.6%44 W · 70 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 61c | 110$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.9 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed No | 60c | 108.04$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.82 | 348 | 53.4%186 W · 162 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 23c | 108$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.26 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f7…f8debacked Yes | 41c | 105$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.82 | 287 | 42.5%122 W · 165 L | +24.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…5f54backed No | 61c | 104$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.92 | 671 | 58.6%393 W · 278 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x215b…8ec5backed Yes | 33c | 101.65$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.11 | 153 | 34.6%53 W · 100 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3773…075ebacked Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda56…4176backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 129 | 34.1%44 W · 85 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6b…96c9backed No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 34c | 97.72$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 59c | 95$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.05 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65f9…1b7cbacked Yes | 49c | 93.3$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.93 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 25c | 88.51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.38 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb4…a3d2backed Yes | 35c | 86.35$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.35 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb7…2ebbbacked Yes | 38c | 83.85$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.95 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebb…405abacked Yes | 39c | 80$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.8 | 790 | 40.9%323 W · 467 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…522bbacked Yes | 34c | 80$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.1 | 178 | 31.5%56 W · 122 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 51c | 79.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd11…7a6cbacked Yes | 70c | 76.19$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.19 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb427…4c62backed Yes | 27c | 75.61$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.91 | 223 | 50.7%113 W · 110 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b9…3afcbacked Yes | 32c | 72.69$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.41 | 204 | 38.7%79 W · 125 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked No | 16c | 72.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 1,274 | 34%433 W · 841 L | +46.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 60c | 71.85$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.89 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf0…d22cbacked Yes | 38c | 70.03$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.42 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 44c | 68.32$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.93 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa817…95d7backed Yes | 38c | 67.19$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.59 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 68c | 65$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed Yes | 71c | 63.28$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.12 | 402 | 65.9%265 W · 137 L | +31.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4184…c863backed Yes | 79c | 62.37$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.04 | 899 | 51.6%464 W · 435 L | -40.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 48c | 62.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea21…f753backed Yes | 43c | 61$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.71 | 236 | 68.2%161 W · 75 L | +18.8wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36ff…f2a6backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 621 | 37.7%234 W · 387 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfab…602dbacked Yes | 39c | 58$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.38 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd90e…03b6backed No | 60c | 56.15$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.63 | 1,148 | 49.6%569 W · 579 L | -34.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 49c | 55.74$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.35 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 60c | 52.68$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.61 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29ad…8d47backed Yes | 36c | 52.47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.47 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…35d4backed No | 78c | 52.41$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.85 | 212 | 68.4%145 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…d9d1backed Yes | 41c | 51.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.38 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…e5debacked No | 67c | 50.35$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.73 | 312 | 19.9%62 W · 250 L | -40.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4920…2b87backed Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7211…6734backed No | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 16?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 16?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 16?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 16?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 16?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 16?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 16?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on June 16?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C or higher on June 16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.