Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd47d9321a5a1d4025bab478478729165338f7af13a3870b73bd409e9c553ad7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,332
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,357
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,332 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 0c | 3,843$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f28…9969backed Yes | 2c | 1,116$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f0…5cd7backed Yes | 3c | 695.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 62 | 8.1%5 W · 57 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 11c | 554.08$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.82 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd661…2750backed Yes | 26c | 500$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.64 | 880 | 28.9%254 W · 626 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…84afbacked Yes | 18c | 403.38$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.32 | 369 | 30.6%113 W · 256 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…372dbacked Yes | 33c | 299.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1,531 | 24.2%371 W · 1,160 L | +15.4wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 12c | 296.56$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.04 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 71c | 286.3$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.57 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 69c | 261.28$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.14 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…b083backed Yes | 30c | 258.52$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.27 | 188 | 37.2%70 W · 118 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 31c | 255.46$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.52 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1775…85b0backed Yes | 19c | 252$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.11 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +25.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…efcebacked Yes | 6c | 248.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 428 | 20.1%86 W · 342 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x363b…6ff7backed Yes | 42c | 214.24$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec6…b459backed Yes | 7c | 211.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 381 | 46.5%177 W · 204 L | +19.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc950…9420backed Yes | 14c | 211.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.18 | 130 | 35.4%46 W · 84 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c41…500dbacked Yes | 34c | 210.44$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.15 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cf…80febacked No | 74c | 203.17$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fb…b01bbacked Yes | 29c | 199.96$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.99 | 104 | 34.6%36 W · 68 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7c…f811backed Yes | 25c | 189.98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.8 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 72c | 185.45$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.02 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 72c | 169.74$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.31 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Yes | 41c | 168$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.74 | 273 | 28.6%78 W · 195 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed Yes | 27c | 166.16$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.67 | 489 | 19.2%94 W · 395 L | -38.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x215b…8ec5backed Yes | 32c | 165.31$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.26 | 153 | 34.6%53 W · 100 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecc2…3eb6backed Yes | 43c | 164.7$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked No | 67c | 149.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.49 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 30c | 144.69$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.03 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa817…95d7backed Yes | 34c | 143.14$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.49 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 26c | 143.11$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.66 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9047…2959backed Yes | 40c | 137.63$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed Yes | 15c | 135.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 22c | 135.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.35 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e1…3fc9backed Yes | 31c | 129.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c95…8188backed Yes | 28c | 123.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.56 | 91 | 22%20 W · 71 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | +359.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8db4…9c07backed Yes | 26c | 121.45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.07 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef2…faa5backed Yes | 14c | 112.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 428 | 49.5%212 W · 216 L | +45.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb4…a3d2backed Yes | 36c | 111.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…522bbacked Yes | 35c | 110.52$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.72 | 178 | 31.5%56 W · 122 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 72c | 110$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.25 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ce…49e0backed Yes | 38c | 107.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.36 | 455 | 40%182 W · 273 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 70c | 105$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.47 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61f7…f8debacked Yes | 29c | 105$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.45 | 287 | 42.5%122 W · 165 L | +24.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 66c | 104.83$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.82 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…5f54backed No | 69c | 103.99$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 671 | 58.6%393 W · 278 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08b1…f05bbacked Yes | 23c | 101$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.89 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1104…1f70backed Yes | 32c | 100.91$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.23 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…5198backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,401 | 27.3%383 W · 1,018 L | +69.5wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebb…405abacked No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 790 | 40.9%323 W · 467 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x378d…a852backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda56…4176backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 129 | 34.1%44 W · 85 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4af9…3144backed Yes | 23c | 99.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 219 | 50.7%111 W · 108 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 70c | 98$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.93 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 27c | 96$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 74c | 94.35$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.43 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 13c | 90$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x451a…3b01backed No | 75c | 80.53$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.53 | 178 | 58.4%104 W · 74 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…dc28backed Yes | 41c | 79.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 676 | 33.7%228 W · 448 L | +33.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfea4…4a77backed No | 62c | 79.55$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.97 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6f…b9bebacked Yes | 36c | 78.6$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 224 | 46.4%104 W · 120 L | +31.1wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 69c | 78.34$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.54 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 66c | 74$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.93 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47f7…0312backed No | 61c | 70$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.4 | 146 | 63%92 W · 54 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 71c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 68c | 68.31$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.07 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed No | 70c | 68.22$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.59 | 421 | 60.6%255 W · 166 L | -25.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 69c | 68$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5f…c91dbacked Yes | 29c | 67.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 73c | 65.6$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.96 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x326c…ef55backed Yes | 27c | 65.48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 153 | 45.1%69 W · 84 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…de1cbacked Yes | 30c | 64.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x273f…ef14backed Yes | 32c | 61.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36ff…f2a6backed Yes | 33c | 60.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 621 | 37.7%234 W · 387 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfab…602dbacked Yes | 30c | 58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…780fbacked Yes | 34c | 57.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 70c | 57.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.33 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4184…c863backed Yes | 27c | 56.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 899 | 51.6%464 W · 435 L | -40.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…4053backed No | 72c | 56.53$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.83 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 71c | 55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef98…b586backed Yes | 23c | 55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 907 | 34.5%313 W · 594 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6282…aaabbacked Yes | 31c | 55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 421 | 51.8%218 W · 203 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d1…019abacked Yes | 28c | 53.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77f9…10d1backed Yes | 32c | 53.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae79…5322backed No | 73c | 52.75$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.24 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 65c | 52$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…d9d1backed Yes | 31c | 51.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3164…3c65backed Yes | 29c | 50.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 444 | 65.3%290 W · 154 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…4745backed No | 59c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.75 | 186 | 29.6%55 W · 131 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac92…225dbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c48…1c17backed No | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 68c | 47$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 69c | 46.9$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617a…8c79backed No | 65c | 46.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…fc90backed No | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…a0b0backed Yes | 37c | 45.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 70c | 45.83$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 16?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 16?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 16?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 16?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 16?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 16?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 16?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on June 16?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C or higher on June 16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.