Bundesliga · resolved market
SV Werder Bremen vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdea092904346e47fa48a891e28d4f9fb0f552721bcaa7eaa665382c1b9c5a286
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $119,713
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $123,786
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,713 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1725…4b59backed Under | 49c | 22,260$10,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,352.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd596…befbbacked Over | 51c | 13,957$7,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,118.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 13,397$6,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,992.28 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Over | 53c | 10,393$5,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,508.23 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Under | 46c | 9,832$4,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,348.35 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 53c | 8,000$4,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,239.92 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Over | 54c | 7,014$3,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,787.72 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 54c | 5,556$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000.23 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3a…64b7backed Under | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,599.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e75…5f3abacked Over | 51c | 4,488$2,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,293.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Under | 46c | 4,356$2,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,352.04 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Over | 53c | 4,035$2,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,136.86 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 47c | 3,723$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,973.17 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked Over | 52c | 3,000$1,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,562.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Over | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b2…fb61backed Under | 47c | 2,987$1,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,583.62 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e02…a820backed Over | 51c | 2,775$1,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,415.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 2,756$1,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470.5 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 47c | 2,728$1,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,445.61 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f12…70d4backed Over | 55c | 2,222$1,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.91 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Under | 49c | 2,008$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.83 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.36per pick | 47cpaid | +75%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x050d…2f13backed Over | 53c | 1,883$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5993…33a2backed Over | 55c | 1,650$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.99 | 277 | 26.4%73 W · 204 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Over | 52c | 1,412$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.39 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 52c | 1,204$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.01 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Over | 52c | 1,200$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.95 | 50 | 68%34 W · 16 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed Under | 45c | 1,157$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5858…dc6bbacked Over | 48c | 1,048$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.88 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x044a…f114backed Over | 52c | 1,030$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Over | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…b5a1backed Over | 55c | 994.04$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.72 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 46c | 971.87$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed Over | 52c | 960$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.2 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5611…e5f4backed Over | 53c | 943.55$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.08 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Over | 54c | 905.08$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.74 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 38c | 838.75$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.91 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 64c | 822.34$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.86 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…32c9backed Over | 55c | 733.37$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.95 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x371e…0f81backed Over | 62c | 655.87$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.52 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Over | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +6.3wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 48c | 555.8$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.62 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1196…fe97backed Under | 50c | 482.26$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…9ee4backed Over | 50c | 480$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 46c | 447.01$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.97 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a87…4e00backed Under | 48c | 385.2$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.3 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…6952backed Over | 62c | 350$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 45c | 350$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.5 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 53c | 322.64$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 241 | 32%77 W · 164 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Over | 53c | 320.77$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.01 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Under | 48c | 310$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Over | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -7.6wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Under | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97f6…66e2backed Under | 47c | 300$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9403…7361backed Over | 49c | 243.02$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.5 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +5.7wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 47c | 228$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.84 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Under | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…afd5backed Under | 48c | 207.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.32 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…2e45backed Under | 49c | 205$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.05 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 52c | 199.98$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.99 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x117a…a264backed Over | 61c | 196.72$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 68cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…8cc7backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -51%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f51…41edbacked Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 53c | 182.46$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.7 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8a…398ebacked Over | 55c | 180.65$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.36 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…6ba3backed Over | 53c | 178.75$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.74 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…c413backed Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd35…17debacked Over | 63c | 170$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Over | 55c | 166$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.62 | 131 | 39.7%52 W · 79 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ce…5310backed Over | 71c | 165.12$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.67 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Under | 48c | 163.08$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.8 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc98c…6596backed Over | 55c | 145.45$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 33c | 139.21$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.83 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa55f…a377backed Under | 49c | 130.3$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2961…cfcfbacked Over | 54c | 125.93$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcff1…f8debacked Over | 53c | 125.28$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 48c | 114.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.79 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdec…7ad6backed Over | 53c | 111.72$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.21 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 373 | 44.5%166 W · 207 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 47c | 106$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.22 | 128 | 32%41 W · 87 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…fb0bbacked Over | 53c | 101.7$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4523…0be0backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…762dbacked Over | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee43…ae9dbacked Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5f…5e78backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -7.2wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…0674backed Over | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +473.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8b…51f7backed Over | 54c | 96.39$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57e8…9a6fbacked Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd18b…876dbacked Under | 75c | 93.33$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7700…2d07backed Under | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.02 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.9wins | +0.43per pick | 46cpaid | +96.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3590…68f1backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc1…3512backed Under | 48c | 90.91$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4730…cdb1backed Under | 48c | 90.76$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under | 48c | 90$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 48c | 90$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SV Werder Bremen vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5this page
- SV Werder Bremen vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- SV Werder Bremen vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 1.5Over won
- SV Werder Bremen vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5Over won
- SV Werder Bremen vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.