TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Lille OSC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$161,596

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $161,596 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd9c4…6f95backed Under43c100,851$43,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57,507.452161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+23%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over57c72,466$41,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,667.363,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over53c15,775$8,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,361.852243.9%229 W · 293 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under64c5,881$3,752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,129.262,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5d1…cdc9backed Under30c4,342$1,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,039.321163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.23per pick40cpaid+121.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Under66c2,717$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$916.652065%13 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+23%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d73…044bbacked Over39c2,257$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$880.232055%11 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc252…33e3backed Over49c2,190$1,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,067.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5a4…5780backed Over38c2,111$802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802.1740%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b09…2c43backed Under52c1,455$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$698.41742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Under40c1,430$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$850.7921835.8%78 W · 140 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Over39c1,282$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003050%15 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x62ff…5058backed Over71c1,190$845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845.171040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb52b…b156backed Under41c1,058$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.39250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2dc…b624backed Over40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001040%4 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+22.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b22…e5f7backed Over71c978.89$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1104…39fabacked Over71c961.97$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a0c…0beebacked Over38c916.99$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.91922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-63%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a9a…c308backed Over55c909.09$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over44c901.54$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.732330.4%7 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-33.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over36c700$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2521315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-29.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc02a…b43fbacked Over70c530.2$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.141154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Over58c483.57$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.117956.4%101 W · 78 L+13.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over41c458.42$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.3913040%52 W · 78 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd708…b9d2backed Over48c437.67$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-31.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Over43c434.53$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.462920.7%6 W · 23 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-45.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Over70c428.57$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+39.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Over72c416.8$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005464.8%35 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadf6…4eaabacked Over70c416.7$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over70c416.56$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.191950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72ab…30fcbacked Under60c325.91$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.91366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over34c304.63$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.1817941.9%75 W · 104 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Over60c304.36$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.286056.7%34 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf45e…6e29backed Under26c304.05$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2251100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15ce…6c45backed Over74c304.05$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7747…039cbacked Over74c304$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe20c…9dd0backed Under26c304$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Over45c300$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1354136.6%15 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over70c300$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21033349.8%166 W · 167 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Over43c286$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.242425%6 W · 18 L-4.3wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-53.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa8f5…fa2fbacked Over71c284.51$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.37per pick53cpaid-74.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under29c278.3$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.6638247.1%180 W · 202 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e2f…a3d8backed Over66c275.49$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.671020%2 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-54.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over35c270$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.25927.1%16 W · 43 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over40c250.97$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.393138.7%12 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1c8…023abacked Over58c250.13$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.175558.2%32 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a08…2e25backed Over52c250$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13030%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0aa4…ea76backed Over71c250$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.5633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.4wins-0.40per pick74cpaid-54.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa371…60c5backed Over54c248.43$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.19560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Over58c246.35$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.564663%29 W · 17 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3127…ff44backed Over37c245.3$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.82425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-61.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over55c238.34$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.577055.7%39 W · 31 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2791…2346backed Over35c233$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.5540%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa313…1f26backed Over34c214.61$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.841225%3 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe68d…a292backed Over71c214.54$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.32944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-34.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e0a…b9ccbacked Over56c211.9$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2109…55bfbacked Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002548%12 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7c3…8e29backed Over39c179.49$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under73c169.79$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.0914963.1%94 W · 55 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c8f…d581backed Over42c165$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.042433.3%8 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Over49c144.99$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.693857.9%22 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5dc4…99adbacked Over71c140.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+50.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57dc…01ffbacked Over71c140.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick60cpaid-46.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over47c138.44$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.438453.1%204 W · 180 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9868…907ebacked Over19c138.43$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.591030%3 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick13cpaid+119.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a94…769cbacked Over73c133.83$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.84235.7%15 W · 27 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over32c133.23$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.6317855.6%99 W · 79 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+13.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over41c132.97$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545554.5%30 W · 25 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d4f…ccbbbacked Over39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501040%4 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over49c126.53$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625149%25 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf463…4cc1backed Over61c125$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.5425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-68.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x14b2…013fbacked Over59c122.26$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.272250%11 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over45c120.22$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.9833522.4%75 W · 260 L-43.5wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-52.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x8614…ffc6backed Under30c117.86$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.991450%7 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+24.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Under31c112.9$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.911449.1%56 W · 58 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over27c112.54$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.983050%15 W · 15 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed Over70c111.94$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.69354.8%51 W · 42 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick61cpaid+52.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeb81…2dadbacked Under30c109.45$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over47c107.35$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010941.3%45 W · 64 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over50c105.96$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.297842.3%33 W · 45 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x75a4…c55fbacked Over38c105.32$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf57a…73ecbacked Under30c105.2$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over39c102.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407536%27 W · 48 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c4c…cec8backed Under30c102.27$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked Over71c101.41$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723464.7%22 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7094…a734backed Under30c100.96$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over69c100$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6913337.6%50 W · 83 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x49a8…b182backed Under69c97.71$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.71862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+15.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3bbf…f4e6backed Over71c95$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.451526.7%4 W · 11 L-4.4wins-0.29per pick56cpaid-49.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Under51c92.87$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.9417835.4%63 W · 115 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9403…7361backed Over40c87.5$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35650%3 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+104.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xacb4…7595backed Under62c86.88$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.12650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed Under40c80.24$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.911346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick32cpaid+19.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1052…67d0backed Over72c79.17$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5720%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc32…00bfbacked Over49c78.09$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.32842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8123…268cbacked Over65c77.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-39.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over39c76.92$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303030%9 W · 21 L-4.1wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-35.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdf27…67ebbacked Over52c76.92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4040%0 W · 4 L-2.4wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x983c…ee3dbacked Over39c76.92$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Over52c74.76$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393351.5%17 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.