Mls · resolved market
Will Inter Miami CF vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x006017a38a463d06b4e9b9902b8f1672159ec3635c4e588f067cea2baf5baac6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,922
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,850
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,922 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Yes | 36c | 2,987$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 71c | 1,217$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.15 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 23c | 1,177$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.94 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked No | 77c | 1,173$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 67c | 980.18$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.33 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Yes | 24c | 945.26$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 24c | 500.11$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.03 | 263 | 45.2%119 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed No | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 65c | 492.43$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.52 | 235 | 48.9%115 W · 120 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 22c | 442.61$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.37 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8061…9eb5backed Yes | 49c | 325.82$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Yes | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 62cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 23c | 285.2$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.37 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 53c | 253$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.07 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 22c | 242.32$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.75 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 28c | 225.97$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.24 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61b9…5937backed Yes | 23c | 220$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0d…1d6dbacked Yes | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9403…7361backed Yes | 24c | 145.83$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed No | 76c | 94$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -42%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 24c | 85.94$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 27c | 85.62$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbd…1bf5backed Yes | 30c | 66.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7f…d5bdbacked No | 79c | 49.09$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8406…0176backed Yes | 23c | 44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 74c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…bbb5backed No | 78c | 30.91$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Yes | 46c | 24.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed No | 75c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 71c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -10.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -43%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Inter Miami CF vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Inter Miami CF win on 2025-12-06?Yes won
- Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2025-12-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.