Bundesliga · resolved market
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4ed3a22f635b7e48fc3e35c5c90cec53a202f23fd812a9e28754cd9bfdf5908
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FC Bayern Münchenof FC Bayern München, 1. FC Köln
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $347,741
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $351,511
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $347,741 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 206 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3fd9…1ef0backed FC Bayern München | 53c | 106,897$56,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,203.83 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed 1. FC Köln | 47c | 58,591$27,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,537.58 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.26per pick | 54cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a91…c6b1backed FC Bayern München | 51c | 31,923$16,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,642.32 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed 1. FC Köln | 49c | 29,219$14,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,317.17 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed FC Bayern München | 53c | 24,151$12,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,350.94 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4939…9adebacked 1. FC Köln | 47c | 18,889$8,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,878 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed FC Bayern München | 51c | 14,883$7,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,292.51 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed 1. FC Köln | 47c | 14,420$6,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,777.4 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x108d…b85dbacked FC Bayern München | 52c | 13,031$6,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,223 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked FC Bayern München | 52c | 12,039$6,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,778.68 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7829…cfd3backed 1. FC Köln | 47c | 12,015$5,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,646.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed FC Bayern München | 53c | 10,817$5,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,083.99 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -9.2wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked 1. FC Köln | 47c | 9,919$4,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,661.83 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4c…1f30backed FC Bayern München | 52c | 9,667$5,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,605.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed 1. FC Köln | 47c | 8,511$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dce…c58ebacked 1. FC Köln | 47c | 8,398$3,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,947.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed 1. FC Köln | 37c | 7,932$2,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,935.94 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed FC Bayern München | 53c | 7,547$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,547.16 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked FC Bayern München | 53c | 7,053$3,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,314.83 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab2…8fdabacked 1. FC Köln | 47c | 6,776$3,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,189.75 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a15…dbacbacked 1. FC Köln | 50c | 6,714$3,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,357 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed 1. FC Köln | 49c | 6,400$3,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,136 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfb…0b3dbacked FC Bayern München | 53c | 6,226$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,926.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed 1. FC Köln | 47c | 6,175$2,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,905.06 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed 1. FC Köln | 48c | 5,890$2,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,827.18 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -6.7wins | -0.34per pick | 49cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed 1. FC Köln | 48c | 5,147$2,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,469.67 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 17cpaid | +193.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked 1. FC Köln | 49c | 4,800$2,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,352 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1a…ebcebacked 1. FC Köln | 48c | 4,167$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9747…961ebacked 1. FC Köln | 50c | 4,040$2,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,020 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14d4…c4bfbacked FC Bayern München | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed 1. FC Köln | 20c | 3,825$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed FC Bayern München | 53c | 3,774$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.58 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked 1. FC Köln | 41c | 3,734$1,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,549.08 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61e8…b283backed 1. FC Köln | 46c | 3,350$1,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,541.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked FC Bayern München | 53c | 3,321$1,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560.75 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15ab…97b6backed 1. FC Köln | 47c | 3,257$1,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed 1. FC Köln | 47c | 3,111$1,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,464.55 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed 1. FC Köln | 48c | 3,068$1,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,473.49 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked 1. FC Köln | 48c | 3,000$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450 | 386 | 46.9%181 W · 205 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0347…7e7abacked 1. FC Köln | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed 1. FC Köln | 49c | 2,800$1,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,372 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89bd…3f72backed 1. FC Köln | 49c | 2,585$1,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,266.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82c1…c2c6backed 1. FC Köln | 46c | 2,570$1,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,182.43 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked FC Bayern München | 52c | 2,520$1,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,202.39 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70d8…a237backed FC Bayern München | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.81 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed 1. FC Köln | 49c | 2,400$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,176 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked 1. FC Köln | 48c | 2,370$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,137.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed FC Bayern München | 50c | 2,368$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c0…1f1cbacked 1. FC Köln | 47c | 2,233$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191a…9d0dbacked 1. FC Köln | 47c | 2,219$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9618…6409backed 1. FC Köln | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed 1. FC Köln | 41c | 2,019$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.08 | 283 | 45.2%128 W · 155 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed 1. FC Köln | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89da…a6c2backed 1. FC Köln | 47c | 1,732$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed 1. FC Köln | 41c | 1,644$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.75 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed FC Bayern München | 50c | 1,643$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.5 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed 1. FC Köln | 49c | 1,600$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed 1. FC Köln | 49c | 1,600$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed 1. FC Köln | 48c | 1,585$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.8 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed 1. FC Köln | 48c | 1,552$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.91 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32e5…8b41backed 1. FC Köln | 47c | 1,469$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36f2…dab4backed 1. FC Köln | 48c | 1,277$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.02 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed 1. FC Köln | 47c | 1,200$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked 1. FC Köln | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed 1. FC Köln | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76aa…eff9backed FC Bayern München | 76c | 1,154$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…2485backed 1. FC Köln | 47c | 1,150$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed FC Bayern München | 52c | 1,148$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.16 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed 1. FC Köln | 49c | 1,040$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.6 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked 1. FC Köln | 49c | 1,040$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.6 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed 1. FC Köln | 49c | 1,016$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.56 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed 1. FC Köln | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 58 | 70.7%41 W · 17 L | +10.4wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbdcd…0fe6backed 1. FC Köln | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f0…3651backed FC Bayern München | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +145.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed FC Bayern München | 52c | 906.58$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.16 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaba…d031backed 1. FC Köln | 50c | 859.4$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked 1. FC Köln | 13c | 763.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57c3…44b8backed FC Bayern München | 71c | 732.39$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.39 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed 1. FC Köln | 49c | 640$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.6 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5192…df62backed 1. FC Köln | 48c | 624.78$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.93 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked 1. FC Köln | 49c | 624$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.76 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked 1. FC Köln | 49c | 624$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.76 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…86d3backed 1. FC Köln | 46c | 600$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed 1. FC Köln | 49c | 574$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.26 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked FC Bayern München | 53c | 571.04$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.39 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71da…bc9ebacked FC Bayern München | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1783backed 1. FC Köln | 47c | 542$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.74 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed 1. FC Köln | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8644…ad01backed FC Bayern München | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked FC Bayern München | 51c | 499.88$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.94 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed FC Bayern München | 51c | 498.98$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.11 | 84 | 20.2%17 W · 67 L | -8.7wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed 1. FC Köln | 23c | 483.02$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.59 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked 1. FC Köln | 25c | 443.24$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.74 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…1caabacked 1. FC Köln | 4c | 440.49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed 1. FC Köln | 47c | 404.4$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.07 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed 1. FC Köln | 48c | 400.01$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.69 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed 1. FC Köln | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked 1. FC Köln | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed 1. FC Köln | 48c | 396.08$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.12 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked FC Bayern München | 79c | 379.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)this page
- FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Köln: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 4.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: 1. FC Köln (-1.5)FC Bayern München won
- Spread: 1. FC Köln (-2.5)FC Bayern München won
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)FC Bayern München won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.