Bundesliga · resolved market

FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 4.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9b7227f1114cb78f68c1395771250a861f8a1ee8cbf70c6adb4f1bea19f78f8

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: May 16, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $239,106
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $240,052

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $239,106 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 210 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x3fd9…1ef0backed Over	56c	93,139$52,228 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40,910.79	20	55%11 W · 9 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a91…c6b1backed Over	54c	35,000$18,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,100.14	67	61.2%41 W · 26 L	+6.1wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfd29…77aebacked Over	53c	34,537$18,348 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,189.04	63	58.7%37 W · 26 L	+5.5wins	+0.09per pick	50cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under	47c	29,149$13,699 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,698.56	481	41.8%201 W · 280 L	-5.3wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under	6c	22,612$1,415 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,414.79	43	18.6%8 W · 35 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	16cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under	38c	17,763$6,736 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,735.88	283	45.2%128 W · 155 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Under	44c	9,091$4,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,000	84	48.8%41 W · 43 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7829…cfd3backed Under	44c	9,000$3,960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,960	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.4wins	-0.45per pick	45cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	40c	7,396$2,969 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,969.15	3,284	42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L	-74.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under	46c	6,400$2,944 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,944	65	49.2%32 W · 33 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Under	46c	6,000$2,760 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,760	100	41%41 W · 59 L	+4.0wins	+0.04per pick	37cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4939…9adebacked Under	44c	4,841$2,130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,130	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+59.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Under	46c	4,800$2,208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,208	58	43.1%25 W · 33 L	-4.9wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	43c	4,645$1,994 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,994.06	2,538	39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L	-8.1wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Under	45c	3,474$1,563 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,563.09	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-2.4wins	-0.17per pick	46cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Under	44c	3,000$1,320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,320	42	54.8%23 W · 19 L	+2.5wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Under	45c	3,000$1,350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,350	51	33.3%17 W · 34 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-22%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15ab…97b6backed Under	44c	3,000$1,320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,320	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.12per pick	45cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under	46c	2,800$1,288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,288	67	44.8%30 W · 37 L	-4.9wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x70dc…1783backed Under	44c	2,657$1,169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,169.14	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over	54c	2,653$1,432 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,220.26	40	50%20 W · 20 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under	46c	2,400$1,104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,104	59	44.1%26 W · 33 L	-4.1wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Under	31c	2,350$717 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$717.5	30	50%15 W · 15 L	+2.3wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under	44c	2,273$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	49	49%24 W · 25 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Under	46c	2,179$1,003 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,002.51	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	43c	2,118$912 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$911.77	264	45.5%120 W · 144 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under	46c	2,000$920 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$920	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	-1.3wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	44c	2,000$875 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$875.18	698	51.9%362 W · 336 L	+22.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0cef…fa91backed Under	43c	2,000$860 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$860	5	60%3 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	60cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x46f1…b1eebacked Under	46c	1,959$901 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$901.32	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+20.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under	44c	1,803$793 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$792.87	220	47.3%104 W · 116 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Under	46c	1,645$752 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$751.89	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-2.0wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under	46c	1,600$736 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$736	66	47%31 W · 35 L	-3.0wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under	46c	1,600$736 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$736	53	49.1%26 W · 27 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Over	54c	1,511$816 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$694.92	98	54.1%53 W · 45 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70d8…a237backed Over	53c	1,313$696 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$617.16	28	57.1%16 W · 12 L	+1.7wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Under	44c	1,200$528 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$528	81	58%47 W · 34 L	+4.8wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under	46c	1,200$552 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$552	57	45.6%26 W · 31 L	-3.5wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Under	46c	1,200$552 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$552	65	49.2%32 W · 33 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over	55c	1,112$616 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$496.08	287	55.1%158 W · 129 L	+12.3wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under	45c	1,111$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.95	157	42%66 W · 91 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under	43c	1,100$473 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$473	46	41.3%19 W · 27 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x874e…ab32backed Under	43c	1,053$453 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$452.96	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.43per pick	43cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under	50c	1,043$522 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$521.74	40	40%16 W · 24 L	-2.0wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Under	46c	1,040$478 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$478.4	64	46.9%30 W · 34 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under	46c	1,040$478 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$478.4	57	45.6%26 W · 31 L	-3.3wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb15…8393backed Under	45c	1,017$458 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$457.55	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.33per pick	33cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Under	44c	1,000$440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$440	42	40.5%17 W · 25 L	-4.0wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9366…a9f6backed Under	44c	1,000$440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$440	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.41per pick	41cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e3e…ea35backed Under	44c	1,000$440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$440	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.44per pick	44cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Under	44c	1,000$440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$440	89	50.6%45 W · 44 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over	56c	999.86$555 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$444.48	298	55.4%165 W · 133 L	+11.2wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under	44c	900$396 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$396	88	51.1%45 W · 43 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under	44c	900$396 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$396	89	49.4%44 W · 45 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over	65c	836.46$542 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$294.94	446	55.4%247 W · 199 L	+22.4wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Under	44c	813.95$358 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$357.95	98	50%49 W · 49 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Under	50c	750.6$375 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$375.3	92	48.9%45 W · 47 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Under	46c	724$333 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$333.04	15	73.3%11 W · 4 L	+1.9wins	+0.12per pick	61cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc29…383bbacked Under	47c	700$329 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$329	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-3.6wins	-0.20per pick	48cpaid	-35.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x53eb…90ebbacked Under	14c	698$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.72	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-1.9wins	-0.14per pick	28cpaid	-58.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under	11c	666.11$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	531	40.7%216 W · 315 L	-13.3wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Under	45c	662$298 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$297.9	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.18per pick	46cpaid	-34.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Over	70c	640.93$451 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$189.81	84	20.2%17 W · 67 L	-8.7wins	-0.10per pick	31cpaid	-51.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under	46c	640$294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$294.4	57	43.9%25 W · 32 L	-4.7wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Under	43c	626.5$272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$272.18	39	48.7%19 W · 20 L	-3.1wins	-0.08per pick	57cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf055…02b5backed Over	56c	625$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$275	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-1.9wins	-0.12per pick	49cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Under	46c	624$287 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$287.04	70	50%35 W · 35 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under	46c	624$287 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$287.04	56	46.4%26 W · 30 L	-3.0wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	44c	605.75$267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$266.53	817	32.8%268 W · 549 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under	43c	581$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.83	636	45.1%287 W · 349 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b69…dfcabacked Over	55c	525.6$289 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$236.52	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.2wins	+0.41per pick	59cpaid	+72.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under	44c	515.93$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228.24	1,083	50.8%550 W · 533 L	+8.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over	55c	500$275 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$225	54	55.6%30 W · 24 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde25…c0a5backed Under	28c	496.08$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.24	31	45.2%14 W · 17 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x811c…fd36backed Under	44c	494.44$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	27	55.6%15 W · 12 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under	46c	486$224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$223.56	74	43.2%32 W · 42 L	-9.2wins	-0.12per pick	56cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2b81…88e7backed Under	44c	465.08$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204.64	6	50%3 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under	43c	465$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.95	481	46.4%223 W · 258 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Over	54c	428.08$231 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$196.92	95	51.6%49 W · 46 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under	44c	420.66$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184.06	84	51.2%43 W · 41 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb428…74c8backed Under	46c	411.57$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.46per pick	46cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed Under	44c	406.7$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.6	34	29.4%10 W · 24 L	-6.2wins	-0.18per pick	48cpaid	-42.6%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x133b…5856backed Over	69c	404.01$280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123.68	45	57.8%26 W · 19 L	+2.3wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+14%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Under	46c	400$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184	54	51.9%28 W · 26 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked Under	46c	400$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184	46	50%23 W · 23 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed Under	44c	399.4$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177.47	67	43.3%29 W · 38 L	-3.7wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8ca…f380backed Under	3c	366.67$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under	44c	363.67$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.92	168	46.4%78 W · 90 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed Under	12c	351.09$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.46	43	39.5%17 W · 26 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40f7…1f5ebacked Under	39c	350$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.5	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+30.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8b76…c036backed Under	7c	336$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.96	20	5%1 W · 19 L	-2.4wins	-0.12per pick	17cpaid	-36.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5054…0aafbacked Over	54c	328.94$178 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$151.31	25	68%17 W · 8 L	+4.5wins	+0.18per pick	50cpaid	+43.9%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under	19c	328.46$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.54	88	44.3%39 W · 49 L	+3.1wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Under	46c	320$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.2	50	46%23 W · 27 L	-2.7wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Under	46c	320$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.2	45	44.4%20 W · 25 L	-2.7wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under	46c	320$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.2	56	50%28 W · 28 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under	37c	310$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.92	491	43.2%212 W · 279 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf58c…0b79backed Under	50c	300.88$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-3.1wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6888…4c79backed Under	44c	272.73$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.07per pick	64cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf22b…8f84backed Under	37c	270.27$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.0wins	+0.15per pick	57cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 4.5this page
FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Köln: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 0.5Over won
FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 1.5Over won
FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 2.5Over won
FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 3.5Over won
FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 5.5Over won
Spread: 1. FC Köln (-1.5)FC Bayern München won
Spread: 1. FC Köln (-2.5)FC Bayern München won
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)FC Bayern München won
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)FC Bayern München won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 4.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event