Bundesliga · resolved market
FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13ef5b7ca00bf9324bf9c35b9660006d7c9d7b45bd91eb46ef1daf05a0ba6fb0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $84,201
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,611
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,201 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3d1a…ebcebacked Under | 36c | 8,445$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 64c | 5,172$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,871.56 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 36c | 4,998$1,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,775.61 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16e5…6373backed Over | 54c | 3,277$1,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,507.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 29c | 2,257$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.94 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5a…7070backed Under | 71c | 2,204$1,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,554.76 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.5wins | -0.50per pick | 70cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 61c | 2,067$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.21 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 68c | 1,690$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.51 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 65c | 1,544$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.59 | 157 | 42%66 W · 91 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 39c | 1,541$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.67 | 435 | 32.2%140 W · 295 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Under | 1c | 1,498$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 68c | 1,463$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.23 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 60c | 1,437$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.82 | 283 | 45.2%128 W · 155 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Over | 32c | 1,021$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.09 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76aa…eff9backed Under | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.91 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0a…c1d9backed Under | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc56d…c484backed Under | 61c | 999.97$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.98 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +84.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Over | 32c | 965.94$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.84 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Under | 20c | 783.56$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.24 | 84 | 20.2%17 W · 67 L | -8.7wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5127…de1ebacked Under | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…dd8fbacked Over | 35c | 677.48$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.98 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 44c | 615.89$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.96 | 446 | 55.4%247 W · 199 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Under | 66c | 608.46$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -7.5wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Under | 64c | 560.56$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.76 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fca…1938backed Under | 31c | 513.22$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 32c | 500$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Under | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x055a…12ddbacked Over | 34c | 438.32$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.29 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +122.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 35c | 419.98$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.99 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf22b…8f84backed Under | 15c | 333.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 65c | 300$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 36c | 277.79$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.79 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 33c | 271$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.57 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f42…a8febacked Over | 36c | 260$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.4 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked Under | 64c | 250$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23e4…e501backed Under | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed Over | 43c | 232.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.74 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2102…087dbacked Under | 14c | 217.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91dd…2730backed Over | 56c | 215$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a1…d6ecbacked Under | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 34c | 192$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.52 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ca…6e94backed Under | 15c | 179.43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…5856backed Over | 77c | 175.94$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.47 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Over | 62c | 169.99$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.6 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 35c | 154.95$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.97 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…7cb7backed Over | 60c | 150$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.26 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…c5dcbacked Under | 66c | 149.76$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf58c…0b79backed Under | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 36c | 121.19$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.57 | 264 | 45.5%120 W · 144 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 35c | 120$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a67…52edbacked Under | 50c | 110.26$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…1e2ebacked Under | 40c | 105.6$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc076…d987backed Under | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a75…e444backed Over | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Under | 65c | 96.58$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.78 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc986…e7bfbacked Under | 19c | 85.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e6…79b5backed Under | 70c | 83.66$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 72cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd13c…98a7backed Under | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5634…d81abacked Under | 50c | 80.4$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked Over | 65c | 77.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.14 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Over | 35c | 66.46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5617…a1f2backed Over | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 35c | 63.05$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.01 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf6…ceebbacked Under | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Under | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…68a0backed Under | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79c4…1d1fbacked Over | 51c | 58.27$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d91…6816backed Over | 35c | 57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.05 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 45cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53eb…90ebbacked Under | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2078…2d66backed Over | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed Under | 38c | 51.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -4.0wins | -0.40per pick | 50cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 65c | 50.46$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.79 | 185 | 54.1%100 W · 85 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x404f…f2a1backed Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 62c | 49.18$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc338…974ebacked Over | 36c | 49$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.36 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +62%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Under | 31c | 48.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1020…580ebacked Under | 43c | 46.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd57d…590ebacked Under | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ca…f380backed Under | 25c | 44.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c3…443ebacked Under | 64c | 43.75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb435…b97cbacked Over | 53c | 43.59$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x621b…853fbacked Under | 67c | 43.18$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1c…390dbacked Under | 65c | 42.15$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8cae…177ebacked Under | 61c | 40.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 32c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 228 | 54.8%125 W · 103 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 110 | 65.5%72 W · 38 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed Under | 64c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 42c | 34.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd254…9858backed Over | 49c | 34.45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.45 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 69cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb5…d4d6backed Over | 55c | 32.2$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6782…c437backed Under | 64c | 30.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4c…ad2fbacked Under | 65c | 29.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -6.3wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x79de…2ea1backed Under | 65c | 29.69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x708e…d03fbacked Over | 62c | 27.52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Under | 55c | 27.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 5.5this page
- FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Köln: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: 1. FC Köln (-1.5)FC Bayern München won
- Spread: 1. FC Köln (-2.5)FC Bayern München won
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)FC Bayern München won
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)FC Bayern München won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.