TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Michael Olise: 1+ goals

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$110,065
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$110,823

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,065 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9f03…766dbacked Yes19c23,684$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,5003925.6%10 W · 29 L-5.0wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-45.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1d7f…a878backed Yes19c10,000$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9006737.3%25 W · 42 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+18.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3aa…de5bbacked Yes19c5,478$1,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,040.77742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Yes19c5,263$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00014445.8%66 W · 78 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf742…e039backed Yes19c5,000$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95026447.7%126 W · 138 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0537…5b0fbacked Yes1c5,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503135.5%11 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick26cpaid+24.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e41…3745backed Yes18c3,333$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6006338.1%24 W · 39 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+28.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec57…e0acbacked Yes18c3,056$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5501910.5%2 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-51.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7072…69acbacked Yes1c2,840$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22504%2 W · 48 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick3cpaid+22.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6d1…f4a9backed Yes19c1,714$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.58250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes19c1,629$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.4475729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8be…444ebacked Yes19c1,579$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick24cpaid-30.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x662a…77b7backed Yes18c1,500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27026618%48 W · 218 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1a2…6883backed Yes18c1,111$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005429.6%16 W · 38 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-32.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc67c…5047backed Yes18c1,082$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012529.6%37 W · 88 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa622…4448backed Yes19c1,053$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011325.7%29 W · 84 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed Yes19c1,053$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20023736.3%86 W · 151 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xefee…5c77backed Yes19c1,053$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006035%21 W · 39 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-29.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd437…ba37backed Yes18c1,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1807431.1%23 W · 51 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31e4…1f69backed Yes19c1,000$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19040%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc0fc…a05ebacked Yes19c924.74$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.71414.3%2 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-50.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30da…a11dbacked Yes19c789.47$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15027820.1%56 W · 222 L-17.2wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-26.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xad86…b39ebacked Yes18c611.11$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11011632.8%38 W · 78 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes18c580.11$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.398,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd73…4da1backed Yes18c560$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.819713.7%27 W · 170 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-43.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5026…dde1backed Yes18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007938%30 W · 49 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35c7…6021backed Yes18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018625.3%47 W · 139 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e44…affebacked Yes19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002416.7%4 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-63%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb87…3d70backed Yes19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004242.9%18 W · 24 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x89b9…119bbacked Yes19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f04…4d4cbacked Yes19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…c2f4backed Yes19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007936.7%29 W · 50 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x425b…18f1backed Yes19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003312.1%4 W · 29 L-5.1wins-0.15per pick27cpaid-52.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x15c2…345abacked Yes15c499.98$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758742.5%37 W · 50 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x535f…a83bbacked Yes19c441.89$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.9610523.8%25 W · 80 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95a6…b568backed Yes18c336.67$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.65937.3%22 W · 37 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb67…b610backed Yes19c324.32$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604617.4%8 W · 38 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd06d…e9ddbacked Yes18c300$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-24.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5ca…219bbacked Yes18c298.89$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.85219.2%10 W · 42 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-31%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6872…876fbacked Yes19c294.74$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563718.9%7 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-28.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c96…f26abacked Yes18c277.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509159.3%54 W · 37 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1306…c689backed Yes19c263.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015645.5%71 W · 85 L+9.3wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7f5d…de70backed Yes19c263.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505632.1%18 W · 38 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe88d…3db1backed Yes19c263.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506735.8%24 W · 43 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5427…bb86backed Yes19c260$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.46543.1%28 W · 37 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8ac…eab5backed Yes19c255.26$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.53910.3%4 W · 35 L-4.4wins-0.11per pick22cpaid-82.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd46e…d10dbacked Yes19c252.63$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4814528.3%41 W · 104 L-9.5wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-22.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No80c233.64$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.832,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa739…19c8backed Yes18c222.22$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4013141.2%54 W · 77 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x445e…423fbacked Yes18c222.22$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes16c212.54$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.011,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8cb…b294backed Yes19c206.58$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.258522.4%19 W · 66 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ae9…facabacked Yes18c204.06$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.736744.8%30 W · 37 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1907…85b9backed Yes19c202.58$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.499239.1%36 W · 56 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Yes21c202.44$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.4410438.5%40 W · 64 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-23.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee19…555ebacked Yes18c200$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366533.8%22 W · 43 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-33.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbb29…947abacked Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1018843.1%81 W · 107 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11d1…0b41backed Yes18c200$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3646319.9%92 W · 371 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf17…6cc6backed Yes20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21e0…1b99backed Yes19c200$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3880%0 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1646…2f81backed Yes18c200$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.4216747.3%79 W · 88 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f0b…f901backed Yes21c185.01$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.854634.8%16 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick37cpaid+8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf58b…51fdbacked Yes18c175$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.512550.4%63 W · 62 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc97…0cc5backed Yes12c171.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202937.9%11 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x118c…ae45backed Yes18c166.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3025115.5%39 W · 212 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick15cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d56…1c7dbacked Yes18c166.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305446.3%25 W · 29 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8e79…2d68backed Yes19c157.89$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010541.9%44 W · 61 L+9.9wins+0.09per pick32cpaid+41%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x4123…4954backed Yes19c157.89$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012024.2%29 W · 91 L-0.1wins0.00per pick24cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66bb…cd52backed Yes18c138.89$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2533123.6%78 W · 253 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed Yes18c138.89$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2529338.2%112 W · 181 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60a7…4a91backed Yes18c138.89$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510518.1%19 W · 86 L-7.8wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb29e…d14fbacked Yes19c138.43$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.31952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3abf…77f0backed Yes19c131.58$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259315.1%14 W · 79 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick13cpaid+28.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60e0…33fabacked Yes19c131.58$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2537526.1%98 W · 277 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5403…e4d2backed Yes19c123.84$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc37b…5395backed Yes18c118.78$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.38650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-26.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2356…ddf5backed Yes18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+16.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a56…a644backed Yes18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014043.6%61 W · 79 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93e5…3b8dbacked Yes18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013950.4%70 W · 69 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4868…91aebacked Yes18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203727%10 W · 27 L-4.3wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-35.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdb44…2770backed Yes18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206628.8%19 W · 47 L-6.1wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-36.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x52fd…5e7fbacked Yes18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202733.3%9 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-43.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfaeb…4a50backed Yes18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206714.9%10 W · 57 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-34.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2944…cf36backed Yes19c109.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.94425%11 W · 33 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-3.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No80c108$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.62,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa85d…faeabacked Yes19c107.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.482544%11 W · 14 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick35cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9785…2419backed Yes18c106.11$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.11565.8%9 W · 147 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7932…5b38backed Yes19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204944.9%22 W · 27 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7263…d771backed Yes19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015638.5%60 W · 96 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a60…a744backed Yes19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209436.2%34 W · 60 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe462…e436backed Yes19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2022919.2%44 W · 185 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22ae…af00backed Yes19c105.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.967550.7%38 W · 37 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb026…d4fdbacked Yes19c104.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.85030%15 W · 35 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9403…7361backed Yes20c104.22$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5615522.6%35 W · 120 L-0.1wins0.00per pick23cpaid-23.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb78d…835dbacked Yes18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1827242.3%115 W · 157 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc4d…f0b8backed Yes18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189042.2%38 W · 52 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4041…6f52backed Yes18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1812327.6%34 W · 89 L+0.4wins0.00per pick27cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80be…7ee7backed Yes19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195815.5%9 W · 49 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-37.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe60…5eb9backed Yes22c90.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207657.9%44 W · 32 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b8f…b420backed Yes19c86.21$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 99. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.