TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will Olympique Lyonnais vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$105,462
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$105,609

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,462 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Yes35c27,654$9,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,551.623,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No71c12,162$8,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,501.772,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No62c10,960$6,817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,143.0484850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes28c6,623$1,853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,853.381,03950%520 W · 519 L+26.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed No70c4,954$3,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,486.161060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed No70c4,809$3,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,442.731478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick63cpaid+38.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No70c3,836$2,689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,147.291950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe726…4c87backed Yes29c3,441$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9981020%2 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Yes29c2,072$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.993836.8%14 W · 24 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+65%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes30c1,646$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.833349.8%166 W · 167 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Yes36c1,240$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.572142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes29c1,200$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3484050%20 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b93…e941backed Yes30c1,135$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.42742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-30.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8627…5382backed No72c1,000$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2801353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed No55c999.99$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4504573.3%33 W · 12 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick66cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes38c965.71$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.9752243.9%229 W · 293 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x49fa…f904backed Yes4c861.28$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.451533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb68b…7044backed Yes29c831.03$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24120%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No69c830.69$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.6238247.1%180 W · 202 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked No70c724.3$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.573125.8%8 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-59.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes29c700$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2032814.3%4 W · 24 L-3.8wins-0.13per pick28cpaid-64.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcd0f…27d7backed No72c541$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes39c530.84$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.0944952.6%236 W · 213 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31b0…8c4cbacked Yes38c528.45$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.81540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes4c526.55$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.355123.5%12 W · 39 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf438…de5dbacked Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503522.9%8 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick21cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes24c483.33$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1158117.3%14 W · 67 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-34.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ae9…facabacked Yes29c466.55$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.31127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Yes29c448.28$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1303231.3%10 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes29c431.03$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1256363.5%40 W · 23 L+6.4wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+19.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5d21…abc5backed Yes5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201250%6 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4cd5…8afbbacked Yes9c400$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3650%0 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed No62c396.82$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.792920.7%6 W · 23 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-45.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No62c350.82$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.3110956%61 W · 48 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes32c345$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.9521835.8%78 W · 140 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No61c334.05$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13112345.5%56 W · 67 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5104…a114backed Yes31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes29c319.45$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.6455545.8%254 W · 301 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fdc…47a4backed Yes8c312.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-55.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed No55c308.75$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.3915376.5%117 W · 36 L+37.4wins+0.24per pick52cpaid+61.3%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes30c307.48$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.3717956.4%101 W · 78 L+13.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No70c300$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$909054.4%49 W · 41 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a2f…c5d0backed No71c281.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.69450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-30.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fcd…f84fbacked Yes38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003243.8%14 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9943…54a9backed No72c258$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed No70c250$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758261%50 W · 32 L+7.4wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes29c250$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.520056.5%113 W · 87 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4951…3038backed No72c247.22$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.222356.5%13 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa32a…8ba3backed No72c244$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa58…daa8backed No72c230$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.42100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc3f…182fbacked No72c230$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes35c228.54$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.0635158.1%204 W · 147 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92e8…bde5backed No72c225$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbd9…230abacked No72c222$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Yes30c217.9$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.3710254.9%56 W · 46 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74ac…8f58backed No72c217$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.762100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed No70c213.31$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.573956.4%22 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x59ab…c505backed No72c210$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.82100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2331…684dbacked No72c204$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5b9…f128backed No72c203$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.842100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+39.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Yes14c200.46$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9217249.4%85 W · 87 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9684…a461backed No71c200$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac24…576ebacked Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb1a…0b60backed No71c199.99$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581770.6%12 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f00…bd63backed No72c198$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0fb…5446backed No72c197$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.162100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick72cpaid+39.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaaf3…05f6backed No72c196$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Yes30c187.98$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.399048.9%44 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf70c…4d5bbacked No72c184$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bb8…df4ebacked No72c182$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.962100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick72cpaid+39.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56fa…19f2backed No72c182$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3504…6f84backed No72c181$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No71c178.74$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.4766150.5%334 W · 327 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fc1…075ebacked Yes38c178.16$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.720%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40f7…ab3cbacked No72c177$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa183…d2a1backed No72c176$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.282100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick72cpaid+39.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87e7…5a3abacked No72c176$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.282100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick72cpaid+39.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6e5…878abacked No72c176$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Yes35c175.84$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.877848.7%38 W · 40 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x568e…65e6backed No72c175$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fec…60b3backed No72c173$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d52…f748backed Yes29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0aa0…4c98backed No72c169$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6764…ae37backed No72c169$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.32366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a14…3d59backed No72c169$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a17…282bbacked No72c167$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d98…2b1abacked No72c167$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde80…d8b9backed Yes30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick30cpaid-60.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x874b…6acfbacked No72c164$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe360…7d01backed No72c159$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x279a…ffc2backed Yes11c158.64$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.453040%12 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb950…efcabacked No72c157$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x720f…6984backed No72c154$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes28c153.8$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.0615949.1%78 W · 81 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf746…f297backed No72c151$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e40…7d1fbacked Yes10c150$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1570%0 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x531a…27e7backed No72c149$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No73c148$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.2514740.8%60 W · 87 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1194…b14dbacked No72c146$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda97…b61ebacked No72c144$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.