Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83d526e71269f4ab664194011b78a119d6111d405c0c83818ab84111e52b83ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,032
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,032 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 76c | 6,461$4,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,579.34 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 26c | 5,130$1,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,346.4 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 79c | 4,316$3,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.86 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0df…8f41backed No | 75c | 2,309$1,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.28 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1b…62c9backed Yes | 22c | 2,279$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Yes | 23c | 2,174$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe427…c02bbacked Yes | 22c | 1,995$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 78c | 1,637$1,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.77 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x702b…dedebacked Yes | 22c | 1,364$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +3.6wins | +0.17per pick | 26cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b93…e941backed No | 78c | 1,282$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.07 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe726…4c87backed Yes | 21c | 1,197$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.27 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.7 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 27c | 701.06$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.09 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes | 22c | 701$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.22 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +5.7wins | +0.14per pick | 27cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 78c | 689.38$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.33 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 78c | 596.75$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.25 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d4…7d90backed Yes | 21c | 477.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba09…5142backed Yes | 21c | 357.56$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6355…9b32backed Yes | 21c | 356.84$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 78c | 346.35$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.32 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb0…f7edbacked Yes | 23c | 292.2$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ee…fe51backed No | 77c | 292.2$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 78cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Yes | 21c | 292$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.32 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…7976backed Yes | 17c | 291.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed No | 79c | 274.68$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.68 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 78c | 243.2$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.5 | 311 | 45%140 W · 171 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Yes | 21c | 243$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.03 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…0b60backed No | 79c | 220$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 37c | 216.64$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.98 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6040…33a9backed No | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Yes | 21c | 176.25$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.01 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 36cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…145cbacked No | 80c | 173.75$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 20c | 170$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf1c…7b26backed No | 80c | 164.34$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.87 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +90%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c7…007dbacked Yes | 7c | 160$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Yes | 23c | 150$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 21c | 150$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x631c…7bfebacked Yes | 28c | 139.39$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.28 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 25c | 133.63$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.87 | 147 | 34.7%51 W · 96 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b54…db07backed Yes | 23c | 131.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a30…0061backed No | 80c | 130.92$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.18 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd983…d92dbacked Yes | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x516c…985dbacked No | 80c | 130.28$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97dc…f686backed No | 80c | 121.31$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 21c | 120$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 13c | 120$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 222 | 21.6%48 W · 174 L | -34.2wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29d9…91a2backed No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 72cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x449c…eaf5backed No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed No | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes | 18c | 98.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x938b…46c0backed No | 80c | 95.64$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…bf20backed Yes | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 27cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 27c | 80.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.13 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x657b…423cbacked Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 76c | 76.12$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.52 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3773…57f9backed No | 80c | 71.91$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5d…e3f4backed Yes | 22c | 67.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed No | 79c | 65$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked No | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 373 | 44.5%166 W · 207 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…b277backed Yes | 21c | 59.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 78c | 55.93$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.14 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…afc9backed No | 72c | 54.32$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Yes | 26c | 54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed9…bbd3backed No | 68c | 52.44$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.78 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 74c | 51.28$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 131 | 39.7%52 W · 79 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 29c | 50.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 306 | 47.1%144 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 330 | 47.3%156 W · 174 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 258 | 55.4%143 W · 115 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…da69backed No | 79c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 102 | 58.8%60 W · 42 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 33c | 43.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed No | 75c | 40.07$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.07 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8441…7925backed No | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb196…33d5backed No | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06b…0e9ebacked No | 75c | 26.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9014…db4abacked No | 77c | 25.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…ba55backed No | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 121 | 65.3%79 W · 42 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e76…47fabacked No | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 95 | 64.2%61 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed No | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 115 | 63.5%73 W · 42 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked No | 75c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 78c | 23.81$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.24 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a6…44edbacked No | 78c | 23.47$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.16 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 76c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4d…ebdebacked No | 80c | 20.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b38…a036backed No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 69cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 69c | 19.32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.99 | 446 | 55.4%247 W · 199 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1465…9f10backed No | 70c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked No | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 77c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.68 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffff…4413backed No | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.38 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x093b…4e14backed No | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked No | 80c | 14.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.84 | 72 | 65.3%47 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 end in a draw?this page
- Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-03-14?No won
- Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-03-14?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.