Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Real Betis Balompié vs. Panathinaikós AO end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x230797c9f2704d3ecbf4055b84ea63f82da6dbfabad6459bd5ae45866f280f8b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,057
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,054
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,057 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2de6…e187backed Yes | 0c | 12,250$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -86.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 17c | 3,951$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.21 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…db0abacked Yes | 20c | 2,660$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 80c | 2,477$1,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.34 | 1,046 | 50.2%525 W · 521 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x631c…7bfebacked Yes | 13c | 1,105$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.95 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 80c | 922.74$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.55 | 920 | 50.9%468 W · 452 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Yes | 4c | 813.66$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.66 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60fc…03b0backed Yes | 20c | 775$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…12cebacked Yes | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +27%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 21c | 498.74$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.75 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7c…37c5backed Yes | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…4568backed Yes | 21c | 383$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.43 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f6…1a99backed No | 80c | 375$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 79c | 302.03$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.43 | 382 | 47.1%180 W · 202 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 20c | 294.2$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.84 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed No | 80c | 287.5$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 20c | 277.37$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.47 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c69…51cabacked Yes | 21c | 250$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbc…bdfbbacked Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 80c | 231.84$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.37 | 1,026 | 47.4%486 W · 540 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Yes | 5c | 214.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 20c | 213.28$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.62 | 318 | 42.1%134 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 200 | 56.5%113 W · 87 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…6fb4backed No | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 80c | 188.67$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.73 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed No | 79c | 181.52$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.12 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d2…2f04backed Yes | 20c | 167$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Yes | 9c | 142.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb813…f0efbacked No | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 20c | 120$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 451 | 35.9%162 W · 289 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3435…a117backed Yes | 20c | 104.15$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 56 | 76.8%43 W · 13 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 128 | 49.2%63 W · 65 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6040…33a9backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…92febacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 145 | 33.1%48 W · 97 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29d9…91a2backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed No | 79c | 99.94$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Yes | 20c | 99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked No | 80c | 98.99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…0b60backed No | 80c | 95$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 80c | 75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 115 | 62.6%72 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe46e…c07dbacked Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 80c | 70.77$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.15 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 20c | 70$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…da69backed No | 80c | 68.88$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed No | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 20c | 56.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 20c | 55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 100 | 35%35 W · 65 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x093b…4e14backed No | 80c | 26.76$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.35 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e76…47fabacked No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…ba55backed No | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 45 | 80%36 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Betis Balompié vs. Panathinaikós AO end in a draw?this page
- Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2026-03-19?No won
- Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-03-19?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.