Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2026-03-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2de0ff571c0bd9cbce66c36497bfe89e0a6c3ebc5347b7303a0b33a7548c460
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $153,719
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $153,719 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 11c | 16,738$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900.1 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…e187backed Yes | 0c | 10,999$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -86.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 1c | 7,148$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 123 | 36.6%45 W · 78 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x203b…acd1backed Yes | 10c | 4,919$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.28 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 12c | 4,100$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492 | 260 | 22.3%58 W · 202 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Yes | 12c | 3,333$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +5.3wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x631c…7bfebacked Yes | 5c | 2,170$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.9 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa79…f645backed Yes | 12c | 1,667$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes | 9c | 1,383$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.62 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66c4…f90dbacked Yes | 12c | 1,339$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked Yes | 13c | 1,112$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.57 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x867b…9fbabacked Yes | 11c | 908.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 11c | 896$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.56 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 11c | 716.75$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.96 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Yes | 6c | 715.45$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.51 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb200…8163backed Yes | 11c | 689$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…1d66backed Yes | 12c | 633$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 18cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x782e…e910backed Yes | 13c | 556.46$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Yes | 11c | 545.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 6c | 516.23$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bce…a18cbacked Yes | 4c | 500.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 11c | 500$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.8 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +6.8wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2997…cf48backed Yes | 4c | 497.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 12c | 452$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.24 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d55…1e94backed Yes | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x422f…da1abacked Yes | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Yes | 10c | 332.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 11c | 316.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2d…54cfbacked Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 11c | 295$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.45 | 318 | 42.1%134 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x469e…d9ccbacked Yes | 11c | 292$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.12 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d52…f748backed Yes | 11c | 272.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2595…aa0fbacked Yes | 11c | 256.73$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.24 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 13c | 251.28$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.98 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce9e…10bebacked Yes | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bf…c1dabacked Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4988…d21cbacked Yes | 12c | 161.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 13c | 152$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x155d…3ec8backed Yes | 12c | 150$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf3…80abbacked Yes | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…6c97backed Yes | 11c | 127.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…431dbacked Yes | 12c | 120.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…025cbacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd754…7857backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b66…b2b5backed Yes | 11c | 93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 11c | 92.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 179 | 56.4%101 W · 78 L | +13.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 11c | 91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 379 | 26.1%99 W · 280 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8eb…e130backed Yes | 11c | 90.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…95cfbacked Yes | 12c | 85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 27cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2026-03-19?this page
- Will Real Betis Balompié vs. Panathinaikós AO end in a draw?No won
- Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-03-19?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.