Tennis · resolved market
Murcia: Felix Gill vs Pablo Carreno Busta
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd258add64bb609cdc27d604dfcaf7a746e6db0620095467d2182d22bbef2ff38
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pablo Carreno Bustaof Felix Gill, Pablo Carreno Busta
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $138,159
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $138,159 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Felix Gill | 60c | 13,405$8,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,054.76 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Felix Gill | 39c | 9,440$3,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,637.02 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 39c | 4,835$1,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,972.85 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 63c | 4,347$2,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,591.16 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 61c | 3,911$2,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,537.19 | 556 | 46.4%258 W · 298 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 70c | 3,910$2,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172.63 | 464 | 73.3%340 W · 124 L | +27.0wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 76c | 3,796$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.92 | 369 | 68%251 W · 118 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 58c | 2,967$1,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,257.65 | 655 | 58.9%386 W · 269 L | -32.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ce…99f6backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 52c | 2,861$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360.65 | 179 | 36.9%66 W · 113 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…e574backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 33c | 2,640$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,768.77 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Felix Gill | 27c | 2,360$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.38 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Felix Gill | 46c | 2,127$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.67 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba81…dc35backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 33c | 2,019$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,362.7 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 37c | 1,936$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.5 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7896…c2ffbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 43c | 1,839$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.19 | 94 | 53.2%50 W · 44 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Felix Gill | 60c | 1,691$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.09 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Felix Gill | 31c | 1,320$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.09 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Felix Gill | 27c | 1,219$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.28 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Felix Gill | 26c | 1,156$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.35 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba3…6c19backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 74c | 1,014$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.51 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 69cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Felix Gill | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Felix Gill | 37c | 807.65$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.61 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 77c | 768.52$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.36 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 34c | 735.29$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.29 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Felix Gill | 28c | 719.43$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.14 | 363 | 33.9%123 W · 240 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 72c | 682.76$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.66 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c32…d322backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 74c | 675.68$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.68 | 120 | 66.7%80 W · 40 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 44c | 669.78$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.7 | 372 | 30.4%113 W · 259 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Felix Gill | 28c | 641.9$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.9 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 58c | 623.54$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.26 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Felix Gill | 55c | 616.2$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.12 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18e1…5916backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 46c | 598.17$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.17 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 52c | 583$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.58 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x152e…8285backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 72c | 555.56$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.56 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x893d…d65bbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 73c | 532.72$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.31 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Felix Gill | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 469 | 32%150 W · 319 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 50c | 431$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.48 | 347 | 44.4%154 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1df…16c1backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 72c | 416.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 70cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Felix Gill | 25c | 405.49$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.53 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…5c93backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 55c | 392.57$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.69 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 72c | 352$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.56 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 63c | 349.67$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.38 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf75b…50b0backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 58c | 346.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.74 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Felix Gill | 28c | 336.69$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.71 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 73c | 336.48$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.66 | 412 | 72.8%300 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb6…ba42backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 56c | 329.98$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1be0…dc27backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 72c | 312.65$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 378 | 54%204 W · 174 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 38c | 300$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…ea3bbacked Felix Gill | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 333 | 46.2%154 W · 179 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda22…6d2abacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 39c | 287.18$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.18 | 353 | 44.8%158 W · 195 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb32…787dbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 80 | 68.8%55 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 57c | 265.36$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.13 | 849 | 68.4%581 W · 268 L | +25.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x319e…de42backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 57c | 265.08$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.08 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 44c | 262.98$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.03 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…d3dabacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -20%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…83babacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 847 | 36%305 W · 542 L | -35.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc5…908abacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 63c | 240$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.2 | 587 | 53.7%315 W · 272 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…e187backed Felix Gill | 68c | 236.73$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.87 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Felix Gill | 55c | 220.88$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.2 | 349 | 50.4%176 W · 173 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4378…5bb8backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 44c | 212.87$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.69 | 103 | 63.1%65 W · 38 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 73c | 205.48$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.48 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Felix Gill | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 304 | 52%158 W · 146 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Felix Gill | 29c | 196$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.44 | 544 | 34.2%186 W · 358 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 74c | 189.49$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.49 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee4c…8572backed Felix Gill | 43c | 180$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.4 | 234 | 29.1%68 W · 166 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8922…6688backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 40c | 172.58$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.06 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Felix Gill | 50c | 166.66$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.36 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c97…4d17backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 38c | 165.55$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.64 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee9…1362backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 36c | 160.05$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.95 | 725 | 42.6%309 W · 416 L | -20.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 37c | 156.76$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.76 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a0…1f3dbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.25 | 179 | 30.7%55 W · 124 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Felix Gill | 27c | 150$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…8e67backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 55c | 150$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Felix Gill | 65c | 144.47$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.68 | 1,132 | 50.3%569 W · 563 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Felix Gill | 29c | 143.55$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.74 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 36c | 142$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.3 | 692 | 49.6%343 W · 349 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b64…a351backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 352 | 68.2%240 W · 112 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x231f…646fbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d24…9c89backed Felix Gill | 63c | 137.99$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.93 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 44c | 137.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.38 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 73c | 137$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 382 | 68.1%260 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 35c | 123$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.86 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf83…915dbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 33c | 120.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.89 | 645 | 37.2%240 W · 405 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc067…e97cbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 72c | 115$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Felix Gill | 26c | 110$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 147 | 46.3%68 W · 79 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Felix Gill | 11c | 109.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 65c | 109$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.16 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 35c | 108.22$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.44 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 34c | 102.94$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.94 | 265 | 48.7%129 W · 136 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd2…1f27backed Felix Gill | 59c | 101.4$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 54c | 100.88$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.83 | 572 | 52.3%299 W · 273 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Felix Gill | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91c0…e4ccbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 515 | 39.8%205 W · 310 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe33b…bfddbacked Felix Gill | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ff…08eabacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +59%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x176e…8f96backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 178 | 63.5%113 W · 65 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…0b60backed Felix Gill | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +5.9wins | +0.15per pick | 33cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6040…33a9backed Felix Gill | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x811c…fd36backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 73c | 95.89$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.89 | 156 | 55.8%87 W · 69 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Murcia: Felix Gill vs Pablo Carreno Bustathis page
- Gill vs. Busta: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Gill vs. Busta: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Gill vs BustaGill won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.