MLB · resolved market
New York Mets vs. San Francisco Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f06835681456f38685e81c606f4bc4eba2b482f31dc7c939e4360f38d38ad33
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Metsof New York Mets, San Francisco Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $545,376
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $551,623
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $545,376 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 302 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ae1…9fadbacked New York Mets | 48c | 206,930$99,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107,603.51 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed San Francisco Giants | 52c | 178,160$92,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92,643.12 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed San Francisco Giants | 72c | 56,864$40,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,942.04 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked San Francisco Giants | 0c | 40,613$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.61 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked San Francisco Giants | 52c | 24,292$12,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,579.37 | 216 | 56.5%122 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed San Francisco Giants | 1c | 10,362$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.64 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed San Francisco Giants | 52c | 9,999$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,199.65 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed New York Mets | 58c | 8,466$4,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,513.98 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked San Francisco Giants | 2c | 8,313$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.87 | 147 | 24.5%36 W · 111 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed New York Mets | 60c | 7,809$4,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,105.85 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed San Francisco Giants | 53c | 7,465$3,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,956.2 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked New York Mets | 44c | 6,384$2,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,560.37 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec7e…5fddbacked San Francisco Giants | 60c | 5,842$3,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,505.34 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked New York Mets | 48c | 5,836$2,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,034.68 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked New York Mets | 30c | 4,481$1,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,153.31 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed New York Mets | 29c | 4,395$1,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,103.58 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed New York Mets | 33c | 4,315$1,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,903.56 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 3,596$1,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,725.61 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed New York Mets | 30c | 3,523$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,460.34 | 253 | 49.4%125 W · 128 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed New York Mets | 29c | 3,385$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400.96 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed New York Mets | 31c | 3,363$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,319.97 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked San Francisco Giants | 41c | 3,286$1,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,353.24 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked New York Mets | 52c | 3,244$1,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560.12 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed New York Mets | 48c | 3,143$1,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,634.25 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked New York Mets | 77c | 2,631$2,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.71 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed New York Mets | 44c | 2,470$1,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,382.99 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed San Francisco Giants | 52c | 2,079$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.09 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed San Francisco Giants | 52c | 2,036$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.61 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9d…8961backed San Francisco Giants | 1c | 1,996$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed San Francisco Giants | 53c | 1,944$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.11 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed New York Mets | 42c | 1,865$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.54 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8c…273fbacked San Francisco Giants | 3c | 1,849$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.23 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -30%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed San Francisco Giants | 34c | 1,732$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.85 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed New York Mets | 31c | 1,620$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.93 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed New York Mets | 47c | 1,594$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.88 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked New York Mets | 30c | 1,475$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.07 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked New York Mets | 72c | 1,461$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.98 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked New York Mets | 37c | 1,423$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.28 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked New York Mets | 31c | 1,378$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.29 | 243 | 48.1%117 W · 126 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked San Francisco Giants | 31c | 1,373$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.54 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3458…b5a7backed San Francisco Giants | 77c | 1,275$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.43 | 145 | 58.6%85 W · 60 L | -10.9wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed San Francisco Giants | 4c | 1,157$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.09 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed New York Mets | 69c | 1,135$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.32 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed New York Mets | 29c | 1,056$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.07 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed New York Mets | 49c | 1,055$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.9 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd714…9a62backed New York Mets | 48c | 1,051$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.62 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae7b…aec1backed New York Mets | 32c | 1,036$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.02 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked San Francisco Giants | 72c | 990.18$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.93 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked New York Mets | 47c | 934.73$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.41 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed New York Mets | 32c | 929.17$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.49 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed San Francisco Giants | 14c | 913.92$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.35 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed New York Mets | 31c | 901.58$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.47 | 515 | 55.7%287 W · 228 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed New York Mets | 39c | 883.7$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.12 | 157 | 40.1%63 W · 94 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed San Francisco Giants | 42c | 830.09$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.92 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…bb2abacked San Francisco Giants | 52c | 825.52$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.27 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed San Francisco Giants | 52c | 800.07$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.82 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed San Francisco Giants | 2c | 797.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1de1…ff6bbacked San Francisco Giants | 53c | 762.77$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.27 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…8723backed San Francisco Giants | 74c | 746.32$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.26 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked New York Mets | 50c | 716.29$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.63 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked New York Mets | 48c | 692.69$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.2 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked San Francisco Giants | 51c | 675.06$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.28 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed San Francisco Giants | 52c | 657.79$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.94 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a0…3a8abacked San Francisco Giants | 65c | 652.21$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked New York Mets | 36c | 639.85$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.56 | 301 | 40.5%122 W · 179 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed New York Mets | 48c | 629.72$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.45 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked New York Mets | 48c | 598.72$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.33 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked New York Mets | 47c | 556.05$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.71 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4650…f3f0backed San Francisco Giants | 32c | 554.68$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.5 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69c2…40cfbacked San Francisco Giants | 35c | 542.19$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.26 | 182 | 39.6%72 W · 110 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fd…b476backed San Francisco Giants | 52c | 541.63$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.65 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked San Francisco Giants | 11c | 516.55$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.16 | 374 | 44.4%166 W · 208 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed New York Mets | 48c | 513.46$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe08…10ebbacked New York Mets | 48c | 513.38$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.96 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc510…629abacked New York Mets | 61c | 503.3$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.16 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c31…ebdbbacked San Francisco Giants | 52c | 499.98$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.99 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…5259backed New York Mets | 48c | 497.96$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.94 | 122 | 57.4%70 W · 52 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed New York Mets | 49c | 494.59$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.24 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked San Francisco Giants | 56c | 478.48$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.34 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed San Francisco Giants | 53c | 458.4$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.95 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed San Francisco Giants | 41c | 457.82$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.76 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7517…0353backed New York Mets | 44c | 443.91$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.38 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed New York Mets | 62c | 405.86$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.41 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked New York Mets | 48c | 403.67$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.91 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf879…820ebacked New York Mets | 48c | 403.67$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.91 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce09…6b0bbacked New York Mets | 64c | 400$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed San Francisco Giants | 43c | 386.95$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.46 | 786 | 49.1%386 W · 400 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked San Francisco Giants | 17c | 385.09$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.84 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed New York Mets | 31c | 383.72$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.35 | 238 | 51.3%122 W · 116 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…fcd8backed New York Mets | 28c | 370.55$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.8 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed New York Mets | 40c | 357.89$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.25 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked New York Mets | 37c | 343.26$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.81 | 183 | 45.4%83 W · 100 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1968…8c66backed New York Mets | 28c | 341.71$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.03 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed New York Mets | 48c | 334.84$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.53 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef86…5afcbacked New York Mets | 48c | 334.24$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.8 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb89b…a39dbacked New York Mets | 48c | 334.24$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.8 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07d0…1310backed New York Mets | 42c | 333.39$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.6 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked New York Mets | 48c | 332.3$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.8 | 319 | 49.5%158 W · 161 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f4…92b2backed New York Mets | 64c | 327.15$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.77 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4722…2abfbacked San Francisco Giants | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Mets vs. San Francisco Giantsthis page
- New York Mets vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 3.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 4.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 5.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 6.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)New York Mets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.