CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3bd681e01f1f203967c42d103de2c0ef16e7df2aba1d3008d03f3a54bd21c1d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,518
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,160
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,518 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 42c | 2,994$1,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,255.01 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 51c | 2,075$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.63 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0010…c3a8backed Under | 75c | 1,069$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.06 | 316 | 73.7%233 W · 83 L | +23.6wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x211d…3ab7backed Over | 52c | 930.12$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.66 | 193 | 51.8%100 W · 93 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…cab0backed Over | 53c | 786.68$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.94 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed Under | 47c | 618$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.54 | 418 | 47.1%197 W · 221 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Under | 49c | 586.18$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.95 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 63c | 477.44$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.84 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 50c | 439.22$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.27 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Over | 42c | 393.46$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.15 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 60c | 328.02$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.52 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3488…54c2backed Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 148 | 56.1%83 W · 65 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Over | 43c | 279.28$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.12 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Under | 56c | 232.59$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.22 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 47c | 206$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.18 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 51c | 199.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.99 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked Over | 53c | 199.71$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.84 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56bd…e58dbacked Under | 51c | 197.01$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.54 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a8…48c0backed Under | 52c | 187.83$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.73 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85a1…3e40backed Over | 50c | 184.3$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.15 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5782…8ce5backed Over | 54c | 180.07$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.24 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7514…49bebacked Under | 61c | 159.82$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.15 | 317 | 58%184 W · 133 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe303…401abacked Under | 59c | 156.09$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.42 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Under | 67c | 121.41$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.56 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74e3…242cbacked Over | 9c | 115.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…3c43backed Under | 53c | 113.68$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.43 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 48c | 110.93$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.69 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e083backed Over | 47c | 110$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.7 | 78 | 28.2%22 W · 56 L | -7.0wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Over | 50c | 107.84$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.11 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde7f…d8dbbacked Over | 27c | 106.24$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.69 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Over | 51c | 104.67$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.38 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6fd…30f0backed Over | 50c | 99.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…56aebacked Over | 49c | 98.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x675c…4341backed Over | 49c | 98.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 28c | 97.58$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.03 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba3…6c19backed Over | 50c | 97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b05…b133backed Over | 50c | 97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Over | 51c | 95.29$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.53 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3c…a34abacked Over | 51c | 95.16$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.53 | 264 | 43.2%114 W · 150 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed Over | 49c | 90.15$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.18 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x201b…a5fcbacked Over | 54c | 72.03$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…d47dbacked Over | 52c | 65.37$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 608 | 57.2%348 W · 260 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…5d92backed Under | 47c | 61.79$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.75 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -54%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 43c | 58.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.35 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Over | 36c | 58.93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 314 | 40.1%126 W · 188 L | -17.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed Over | 42c | 58.42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.71 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | -33.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1812…0db6backed Over | 28c | 58.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Over | 32c | 53.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 492 | 42.1%207 W · 285 L | -17.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc578…5c1ebacked Under | 50c | 51.96$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.74 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd31a…28f5backed Over | 51c | 48.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Over | 49c | 43.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.33 | 334 | 56.6%189 W · 145 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee8…7406backed Over | 35c | 41.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 217 | 41.5%90 W · 127 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc49d…91a8backed Over | 34c | 41.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked Over | 51c | 38.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1872…bcabbacked Under | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5717…58b4backed Over | 51c | 38.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -5.0wins | -0.22per pick | 61cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cb…0134backed Over | 52c | 37.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 201 | 45.8%92 W · 109 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 37c | 35.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Under | 44c | 32.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -17.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46dc…92c3backed Over | 48c | 31.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +7.0wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed Over | 51c | 29.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 370 | 50.5%187 W · 183 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea89…476abacked Over | 52c | 28.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 122 | 48.4%59 W · 63 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd23d…9d38backed Over | 52c | 28.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91df…fd49backed Under | 78c | 25.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 159 | 66%105 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf3…1eabbacked Under | 60c | 24.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.71 | 248 | 41.1%102 W · 146 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group StageFUT Esports won
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FUT Esports - Map 1 WinnerFUT Esports won
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FUT Esports - Map 2 WinnerFUT Esports won
- Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)FUT Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.