CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce419dc13b85150e5cc43daa711cd161e5b18782887c711f016ce2ed443e97e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FUT Esportsof PARIVISION, FUT Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,507
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,039
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,507 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b39…3234backed PARIVISION | 35c | 2,814$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.52 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed PARIVISION | 34c | 2,813$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.39 | 352 | 36.4%128 W · 224 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…9d8cbacked FUT Esports | 65c | 2,490$1,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.57 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked FUT Esports | 66c | 1,610$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.46 | 358 | 50.8%182 W · 176 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked FUT Esports | 66c | 776.99$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.18 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…ec52backed FUT Esports | 66c | 293.84$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.59 | 389 | 54.5%212 W · 177 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed FUT Esports | 67c | 199.97$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.99 | 238 | 51.7%123 W · 115 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd68d…1f62backed PARIVISION | 34c | 196.48$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.24 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8381…a304backed FUT Esports | 66c | 148.42$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.46 | 122 | 73.8%90 W · 32 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…3afdbacked FUT Esports | 65c | 143.65$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed FUT Esports | 73c | 121.29$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.75 | 210 | 63.3%133 W · 77 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed PARIVISION | 27c | 117.4$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.7 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad1…7653backed FUT Esports | 66c | 108.86$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.01 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked FUT Esports | 50c | 99.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.52 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f5…95e9backed PARIVISION | 34c | 92.73$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.43 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed FUT Esports | 66c | 72.96$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.81 | 2,429 | 44.6%1,083 W · 1,346 L | -63.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6347…3047backed PARIVISION | 35c | 70$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 181 | 45.9%83 W · 98 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21b8…47f4backed PARIVISION | 35c | 59.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…e183backed FUT Esports | 69c | 56.89$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | -10.3wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb7…a4b4backed FUT Esports | 71c | 55.36$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.05 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd07c…26fdbacked PARIVISION | 33c | 43.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf6…2971backed FUT Esports | 67c | 40.96$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed FUT Esports | 66c | 40.07$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 334 | 56.6%189 W · 145 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47e1…c2babacked PARIVISION | 42c | 36.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 471 | 46.7%220 W · 251 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed PARIVISION | 33c | 36.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 165 | 27.9%46 W · 119 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked FUT Esports | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…b45fbacked FUT Esports | 63c | 23.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed FUT Esports | 70c | 20.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 498 | 41.8%208 W · 290 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd23d…9d38backed FUT Esports | 73c | 20.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.59 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9010…df3ebacked FUT Esports | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 75 | 80%60 W · 15 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…9123backed FUT Esports | 68c | 19.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group StageFUT Esports won
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FUT Esports - Map 1 WinnerFUT Esports won
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FUT Esports - Map 2 WinnerFUT Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.