Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Vekic (-1.5) vs Eala (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb9d42593b7679f955752009bb3d391a429c2ee81183c158cd0a86163083fe3b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ealaof Vekic, Eala
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,724
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,506
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,724 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc0c…218abacked Vekic | 38c | 3,100$1,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,176.93 | 541 | 38.1%206 W · 335 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Eala | 62c | 1,418$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.81 | 421 | 41.8%176 W · 245 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6c…d56cbacked Vekic | 33c | 1,341$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.51 | 244 | 51.6%126 W · 118 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Eala | 62c | 1,290$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.32 | 1,158 | 41.4%479 W · 679 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Eala | 67c | 840.94$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.51 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Vekic | 33c | 766.46$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.93 | 384 | 46.4%178 W · 206 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Eala | 67c | 498.57$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.53 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x332e…df71backed Vekic | 37c | 312.11$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.1 | 429 | 34.7%149 W · 280 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Vekic | 33c | 270.97$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.42 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Eala | 63c | 180$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.6 | 1,580 | 42.3%668 W · 912 L | +18.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Eala | 62c | 151.18$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.16 | 7,183 | 49.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L | +112.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf9…fc07backed Vekic | 61c | 95.08$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 150 | 46%69 W · 81 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Eala | 39c | 95.08$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 2,433 | 50.8%1,236 W · 1,197 L | +81.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Vekic | 37c | 81.05$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 374 | 36.4%136 W · 238 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Eala | 62c | 76.69$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.14 | 2,440 | 51.7%1,261 W · 1,179 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…049abacked Eala | 63c | 71.43$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.43 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb902…10c0backed Eala | 50c | 56.24$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.12 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Eala | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 692 | 53.3%369 W · 323 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c97…5c66backed Eala | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 483 | 55.1%266 W · 217 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…733cbacked Eala | 62c | 41.79$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.88 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Eala | 62c | 41.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3643…d645backed Eala | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Vekic | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3,457 | 38.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L | -15.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbee…30b9backed Eala | 62c | 29.19$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.09 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Vekic | 38c | 27.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5edb…00a9backed Eala | 63c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | -21.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Vekic | 50c | 22.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Eala | 63c | 17.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.53 | 190 | 64.7%123 W · 67 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Vekic (-1.5) vs Eala (+1.5)this page
- Donna Vekic vs. Alexandra Eala: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Grass Court Championships: Donna Vekic vs Alexandra EalaAlexandra Eala won
- Set 1 Winner: Vekic vs EalaEala won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.