Tennis · resolved market
Vicenza: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Samuele Pieri
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbdec162b24a0a18b6fe986af8ee8bdd3e226f9ec92d6cdbd24f0cabbcb558045
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Diego Dedura-Palomeroof Diego Dedura-Palomero, Samuele Pieri
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,102
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,832
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,102 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Samuele Pieri | 8c | 5,913$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.53 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Samuele Pieri | 9c | 3,687$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.77 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…78eabacked Diego Dedura-Palomero | 77c | 3,464$2,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.34 | 1,040 | 58.2%605 W · 435 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…5715backed Samuele Pieri | 12c | 2,851$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.14 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Samuele Pieri | 11c | 2,185$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.96 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Samuele Pieri | 25c | 1,882$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.85 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Diego Dedura-Palomero | 76c | 1,316$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.78 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Samuele Pieri | 22c | 1,078$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.5 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Samuele Pieri | 33c | 999.99$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 67c | 892.98$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.68 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcd…b8dbbacked Samuele Pieri | 17c | 749.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…9158backed Samuele Pieri | 8c | 734.27$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.36 | 788 | 40.6%320 W · 468 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Diego Dedura-Palomero | 70c | 649.07$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.43 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd8c…dfbebacked Diego Dedura-Palomero | 75c | 526.93$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.73 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Samuele Pieri | 16c | 500.86$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.89 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Samuele Pieri | 7c | 446.53$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 668 | 34.3%229 W · 439 L | -43.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Samuele Pieri | 32c | 362.18$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.9 | 578 | 42.4%245 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74bd…d371backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 68c | 333$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.56 | 421 | 25.7%108 W · 313 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 68c | 289.86$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.76 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Samuele Pieri | 24c | 279.12$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.27 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c3…55a3backed Samuele Pieri | 32c | 257.24$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.32 | 148 | 35.8%53 W · 95 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79d0…4dffbacked Samuele Pieri | 5c | 236.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 312 | 20.5%64 W · 248 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…04edbacked Samuele Pieri | 15c | 226.67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Samuele Pieri | 11c | 205.45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 853 | 48.7%415 W · 438 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…3b1bbacked Samuele Pieri | 26c | 185.46$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.22 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Samuele Pieri | 14c | 159.72$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1400…765dbacked Samuele Pieri | 11c | 151.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 327 | 32.1%105 W · 222 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Samuele Pieri | 17c | 133.34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6f…e887backed Samuele Pieri | 26c | 125.84$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.98 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Samuele Pieri | 25c | 116.87$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.13 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54ac…47e6backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 76c | 100.33$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.33 | 194 | 74.7%145 W · 49 L | +34.2wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Samuele Pieri | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.86 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb902…10c0backed Samuele Pieri | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbee0…7dffbacked Samuele Pieri | 11c | 97.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 144 | 15.3%22 W · 122 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Samuele Pieri | 31c | 97.01$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.07 | 232 | 47%109 W · 123 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Samuele Pieri | 23c | 85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 72c | 71.69$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.19 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9311…e731backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 80c | 51.19$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 917 | 55.5%509 W · 408 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Samuele Pieri | 32c | 49.49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 70c | 44.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee0a…36d8backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 68c | 40.79$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 382 | 62.3%238 W · 144 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb0…408cbacked Samuele Pieri | 29c | 37.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x782d…8211backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 70c | 35.51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 704 | 56.8%400 W · 304 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 66c | 33.93$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Samuele Pieri | 34c | 29.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 67c | 28.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.31 | 752 | 62%466 W · 286 L | +25.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 75c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Diego Dedura-Palomero | 74c | 23.51$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 853 | 48.9%417 W · 436 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Diego Dedura-Palomero | 69c | 21.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.77 | 585 | 39.5%231 W · 354 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe4…f12fbacked Diego Dedura-Palomero | 66c | 21.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.23 | 586 | 65.5%384 W · 202 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 66c | 18.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 222 | 55.4%123 W · 99 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 66c | 18.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 73c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Diego Dedura-Palomero | 77c | 12.92$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.91 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.