Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x892adbbdbdfe19ebf8f975bb8d26a38e8337f2de42de723ee2d6a8f971900058
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,717
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,256
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,717 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 19c | 1,973$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.28 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd3…ccacbacked Yes | 26c | 1,733$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.43 | 346 | 24.3%84 W · 262 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…4d23backed No | 79c | 1,236$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.1 | 987 | 38.1%376 W · 611 L | +80.8wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd661…2750backed No | 64c | 1,102$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.5 | 880 | 28.9%254 W · 626 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1be…3a18backed Yes | 23c | 1,021$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae2e…40adbacked Yes | 4c | 999.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 295 | 20.7%61 W · 234 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39a7…d1cbbacked Yes | 31c | 871.45$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbe…5bcfbacked Yes | 45c | 736.15$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x030d…7ce5backed Yes | 19c | 677.13$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.12 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 32c | 671.5$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.82 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d8…cea4backed Yes | 41c | 642.92$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.72 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 57c | 595.3$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.57 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f8…0f11backed Yes | 2c | 559.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 966 | 20.7%200 W · 766 L | +59.8wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b6…20febacked Yes | 54c | 523.12$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5948…56cbbacked Yes | 8c | 431.91$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.88 | 159 | 23.3%37 W · 122 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 30c | 428.09$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.19 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 79c | 400.08$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.25 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6c…8cc1backed No | 76c | 394.39$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.39 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked No | 79c | 379.35$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.03 | 335 | 35.2%118 W · 217 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 25c | 352.18$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.73 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 72c | 337.74$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.71 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed No | 75c | 330$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.47 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15b1…a8e8backed Yes | 12c | 325.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.8 | 163 | 35%57 W · 106 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 60c | 322.47$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.14 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6973…b296backed Yes | 18c | 311.55$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.75 | 137 | 28.5%39 W · 98 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed No | 60c | 299.51$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.99 | 1,203 | 48.9%588 W · 615 L | -24.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f2…96d7backed No | 76c | 290.12$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.79 | 244 | 66.8%163 W · 81 L | +20.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a2…c0c5backed No | 78c | 289.86$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.86 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 26c | 284.29$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.01 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 74c | 270$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.38 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…ea54backed Yes | 18c | 269.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 284 | 41.2%117 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd540…f3dbbacked Yes | 23c | 259.51$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 73c | 255.89$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.59 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…35d4backed No | 73c | 255.66$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.89 | 212 | 68.4%145 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed No | 70c | 239.11$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 61c | 234.49$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.08 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1775…85b0backed Yes | 31c | 230.28$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.43 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +25.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed No | 50c | 211.22$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.61 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8302…8b44backed Yes | 55c | 206.84$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.65 | 117 | 37.6%44 W · 73 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 72c | 205.06$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.05 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf132…c706backed Yes | 11c | 200$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 308 | 13.6%42 W · 266 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 14c | 199.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 28c | 192.59$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.85 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…6ca1backed No | 65c | 189.55$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.71 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0bf…0fb0backed Yes | 16c | 187.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.65 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed Yes | 26c | 180.47$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.54 | 111 | 22.5%25 W · 86 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 19c | 176.37$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865d…47aabacked Yes | 26c | 174.79$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.18 | 164 | 32.9%54 W · 110 L | +12.7wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1648…c24bbacked Yes | 39c | 169.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.7 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 73c | 169.88$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.13 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x846b…dd84backed Yes | 18c | 163.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 19c | 163.38$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.04 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f7…f8debacked Yes | 15c | 151.58$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 287 | 42.5%122 W · 165 L | +24.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…f5f9backed Yes | 14c | 149.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 304 | 28%85 W · 219 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…4490backed Yes | 28c | 149.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1,285 | 19.5%250 W · 1,035 L | +44.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce3…4291backed Yes | 22c | 147.61$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.75 | 2,165 | 23.8%516 W · 1,649 L | +83.8wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 68c | 139.17$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.91 | 999 | 63.5%634 W · 365 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacca…8996backed Yes | 27c | 134.93$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11c2…922bbacked Yes | 52c | 134.2$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.91 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe752…2200backed Yes | 14c | 129.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 1,204 | 25.3%305 W · 899 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 55c | 129.34$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.05 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 77c | 129$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.89 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 68c | 128.12$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.37 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c8…b823backed No | 63c | 124.69$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.63 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…8262backed Yes | 17c | 121.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 379 | 42.2%160 W · 219 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 19c | 120.3$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8330…bc69backed Yes | 53c | 116.06$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf2…7432backed Yes | 17c | 115.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 65c | 114.79$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.17 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…8a71backed No | 56c | 113.54$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.8 | 123 | 29.3%36 W · 87 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 15c | 111.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…b7d3backed No | 68c | 110.95$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.95 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 39c | 110.21$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.26 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19fc…1a12backed Yes | 14c | 105.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7086…78a2backed Yes | 17c | 103.75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ae…890cbacked Yes | 29c | 102.29$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…b083backed No | 66c | 101.3$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.03 | 188 | 37.2%70 W · 118 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2cd…00c4backed Yes | 20c | 101.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…f6b9backed No | 59c | 99.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 251 | 75.7%190 W · 61 L | +24.7wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +14%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…886abacked Yes | 55c | 95.5$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.56 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…52a2backed Yes | 56c | 89.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 36cpaid | -74%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 21c | 87.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed No | 65c | 84.29$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 1,011 | 61.2%619 W · 392 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5d…eab9backed Yes | 38c | 84.08$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a6…9e63backed Yes | 18c | 83.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 332 | 32.8%109 W · 223 L | +18.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b72…a958backed Yes | 15c | 82.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 686 | 45.8%314 W · 372 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb696…02d9backed Yes | 38c | 81.41$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.89 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b4…13b1backed Yes | 16c | 79.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3970…d4dcbacked Yes | 47c | 76.19$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.09 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 20c | 75.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x7c41…500dbacked Yes | 25c | 75.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cae…e877backed Yes | 19c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64df…fa8fbacked Yes | 20c | 73.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f1…c062backed No | 55c | 70.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.59 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 31c | 69.93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.38 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc017…a219backed Yes | 16c | 67.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 35c | 67.13$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.84 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742c…bb75backed No | 68c | 66.61$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.61 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5da…27b7backed Yes | 35c | 65.66$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 17?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 17?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.