Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65e5cabd4493562b3d7dedb75588234d3695b25a2e7a6431352a2e702f818f01
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,129
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,353
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,129 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe3a6…9e63backed Yes | 1c | 1,063$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 332 | 32.8%109 W · 223 L | +18.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 2c | 1,043$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Yes | 33c | 600$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.12 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…f5f9backed Yes | 17c | 321.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.7 | 304 | 28%85 W · 219 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeee0…f00ebacked Yes | 31c | 320.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 171 | 40.4%69 W · 102 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 68c | 275.48$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.34 | 886 | 28.9%256 W · 630 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f9…adbabacked Yes | 22c | 255.22$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 77c | 248$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.92 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…372dbacked Yes | 32c | 238.12$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.88 | 1,531 | 24.2%371 W · 1,160 L | +15.4wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 16c | 229.9$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a2…c0c5backed No | 68c | 218.41$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.9 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 71c | 213.81$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.47 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 69c | 212.53$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.83 | 767 | 55.4%425 W · 342 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd661…2750backed Yes | 33c | 199.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.54 | 880 | 28.9%254 W · 626 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80bd…a8cdbacked No | 76c | 199.86$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.76 | 168 | 40.5%68 W · 100 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 29c | 198.32$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.67 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f2…96d7backed No | 71c | 192.1$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.96 | 244 | 66.8%163 W · 81 L | +20.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…8a71backed No | 70c | 190.85$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.37 | 123 | 29.3%36 W · 87 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3478…211cbacked Yes | 28c | 181.73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +121.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2acf…f9bbbacked Yes | 16c | 177.01$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.32 | 1,227 | 33.9%416 W · 811 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…ba81backed No | 77c | 174.08$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.64 | 617 | 60.1%371 W · 246 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 24c | 165.25$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.33 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 78c | 164$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.03 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d8…cea4backed Yes | 34c | 160$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.82 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80e1…47a8backed No | 63c | 158.72$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.18 | 242 | 62.4%151 W · 91 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11c2…922bbacked Yes | 31c | 157.4$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…b7d3backed No | 76c | 145.77$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…de1cbacked Yes | 37c | 128.69$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.88 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5948…56cbbacked Yes | 14c | 125.26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 159 | 23.3%37 W · 122 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…a0b0backed Yes | 27c | 110.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 26c | 107.34$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…4d23backed Yes | 25c | 107.16$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.86 | 987 | 38.1%376 W · 611 L | +80.8wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 28c | 105$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x425d…6cb0backed Yes | 38c | 103.88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.84 | 253 | 44.7%113 W · 140 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 15c | 102.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…5198backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,401 | 27.3%383 W · 1,018 L | +69.5wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…9558backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc9f…e346backed No | 72c | 99.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 72c | 98.67$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.17 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2733…5ae8backed Yes | 14c | 95.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x259b…453ebacked Yes | 41c | 95.23$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.89 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked Yes | 28c | 90.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 335 | 35.2%118 W · 217 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1648…c24bbacked Yes | 18c | 90$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe99…9ca7backed Yes | 24c | 83.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 669 | 26.2%175 W · 494 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 18c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe16a…dd6dbacked No | 71c | 70.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 22c | 69.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked No | 66c | 68.96$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.26 | 1,026 | 60.8%624 W · 402 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x054d…aa95backed Yes | 22c | 66.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 77c | 64.05$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf87…f6d4backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15b1…a8e8backed Yes | 20c | 58.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 163 | 35%57 W · 106 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 18c | 57.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 76c | 57.7$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…11f4backed Yes | 32c | 57.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e8…2bd9backed Yes | 30c | 54.39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7c41…500dbacked Yes | 24c | 53.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 26c | 52.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed Yes | 28c | 52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 914 | 44.7%409 W · 505 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6f…e9fabacked Yes | 31c | 51.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…3360backed Yes | 31c | 51.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.03 | 281 | 42%118 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad58…7624backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 542 | 32.3%175 W · 367 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fb…b01bbacked Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 104 | 34.6%36 W · 68 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa636…95f3backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x521e…a47bbacked Yes | 23c | 47.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x432e…8062backed Yes | 33c | 46.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed No | 68c | 43.17$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 111 | 22.5%25 W · 86 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe867…4e6ebacked Yes | 35c | 42.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 79c | 41.75$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 79c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.53 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f0…6450backed Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 141 | 19.1%27 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe9…64adbacked Yes | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 213 | 39%83 W · 130 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…ea54backed Yes | 26c | 39.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 284 | 41.2%117 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb227…ef1ebacked Yes | 26c | 38.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x276b…a5fabacked Yes | 31c | 38.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 58c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5da…27b7backed No | 72c | 33.42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x865d…47aabacked No | 69c | 31.91$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 164 | 32.9%54 W · 110 L | +12.7wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…886abacked Yes | 32c | 31.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27c5…0d4cbacked No | 71c | 31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 127 | 58.3%74 W · 53 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa4…f4eabacked No | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 70c | 28.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 67c | 25.58$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 503 | 73.2%368 W · 135 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed No | 78c | 25.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa318…ccb3backed No | 71c | 22.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 72c | 22.6$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.41 | 999 | 63.5%634 W · 365 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f7…f8debacked No | 66c | 22.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 287 | 42.5%122 W · 165 L | +24.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ab…5cf7backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 208 | 52.4%109 W · 99 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…8262backed No | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 379 | 42.2%160 W · 219 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5c…ef7fbacked No | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 123 | 65%80 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebf0…2330backed No | 72c | 17.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.03 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +24.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb040…ef71backed No | 70c | 17.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 113 | 62.8%71 W · 42 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6409…9411backed No | 76c | 17.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.11 | 825 | 62.2%513 W · 312 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e1a…888bbacked No | 61c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x547b…d0babacked No | 77c | 16.82$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.87 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 65c | 15.54$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 17?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 17?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.