Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbad977ba8ebff93290463eccd343e818068e1c5ceaae43e3e15bc2d507151d48
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,902
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,288
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,902 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 207 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1a31…df1fbacked Yes | 0c | 7,798$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 15c | 2,560$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.87 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 40c | 1,219$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.72 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 65c | 595.84$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.97 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 59c | 561.66$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.38 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…93f5backed Yes | 67c | 560.25$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.78 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 58c | 499.61$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.43 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d8…cea4backed No | 45c | 491.52$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.22 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe4…4841backed No | 38c | 449.98$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.49 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2876…752fbacked No | 44c | 377.39$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.16 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 72c | 337$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.65 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed Yes | 41c | 331.95$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.46 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5948…56cbbacked Yes | 10c | 299.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 159 | 23.3%37 W · 122 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 51c | 282.51$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.12 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33ab…b958backed Yes | 68c | 275.6$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked Yes | 63c | 271$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 15c | 266.25$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.97 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 50c | 260.55$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.64 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd661…2750backed No | 32c | 250.3$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.08 | 880 | 28.9%254 W · 626 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed No | 42c | 242.71$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.05 | 535 | 25.2%135 W · 400 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8302…8b44backed No | 42c | 240.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.17 | 117 | 37.6%44 W · 73 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…4d23backed No | 53c | 239.77$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.84 | 987 | 38.1%376 W · 611 L | +80.8wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 31c | 236.75$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.56 | 999 | 63.5%634 W · 365 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15b1…a8e8backed Yes | 30c | 230.14$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.73 | 163 | 35%57 W · 106 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30fa…5444backed Yes | 68c | 220.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea2…d75bbacked Yes | 20c | 220.06$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…5f54backed Yes | 48c | 217.83$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.74 | 671 | 58.6%393 W · 278 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd5…4390backed Yes | 72c | 199.99$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.99 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3972…a677backed No | 46c | 198.8$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.52 | 817 | 56.4%461 W · 356 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd8…2183backed Yes | 51c | 197.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…ba81backed Yes | 54c | 196.04$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.46 | 617 | 60.1%371 W · 246 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked No | 58c | 190.37$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.18 | 335 | 35.2%118 W · 217 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3970…d4dcbacked Yes | 62c | 176$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed Yes | 60c | 175.53$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.78 | 1,203 | 48.9%588 W · 615 L | -24.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x731c…e430backed Yes | 58c | 175.36$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…f5f9backed Yes | 7c | 169.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 304 | 28%85 W · 219 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 48c | 165$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.29 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb98d…86e4backed Yes | 8c | 164.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f2…96d7backed Yes | 71c | 153.84$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.69 | 244 | 66.8%163 W · 81 L | +20.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbe…5bcfbacked Yes | 65c | 153.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd3…ccacbacked Yes | 21c | 152.09$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.35 | 346 | 24.3%84 W · 262 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7231…5afebacked Yes | 56c | 149.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.99 | 96 | 34.4%33 W · 63 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f74…8774backed Yes | 46c | 148.59$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.79 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +14.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6447…d527backed Yes | 70c | 140.05$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1648…c24bbacked Yes | 44c | 133$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.21 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…a0b0backed Yes | 51c | 131.24$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.43 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43b1…aba6backed No | 36c | 129.74$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.59 | 774 | 28.6%221 W · 553 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 22c | 127.06$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.37 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8d…038bbacked Yes | 70c | 125$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.3 | 294 | 69.7%205 W · 89 L | +26.7wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9bd…e555backed No | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -8.4wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae43…5727backed Yes | 75c | 122.24$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed No | 43c | 120.46$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.37 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed Yes | 57c | 116.12$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.31 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb696…02d9backed Yes | 49c | 112.22$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.46 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1775…85b0backed Yes | 29c | 111.38$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.11 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +25.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5e…ec7bbacked Yes | 76c | 107.55$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.55 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed Yes | 65c | 106.67$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.15 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 42c | 105.23$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.12 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 51c | 104.24$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.98 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc9d…f963backed Yes | 68c | 103.15$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 52c | 102.57$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.69 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…f949backed Yes | 68c | 101.48$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee2…8a14backed Yes | 72c | 100.79$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked No | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42f6…76e2backed Yes | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed No | 39c | 99.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57cb…7219backed Yes | 70c | 99.78$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d6…8f66backed No | 52c | 95.19$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.69 | 180 | 52.8%95 W · 85 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11c2…922bbacked Yes | 67c | 94.1$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.77 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92f4…63a4backed Yes | 71c | 92.55$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c4…7387backed Yes | 26c | 90.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08cd…af49backed Yes | 72c | 90.51$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…886abacked Yes | 36c | 87.49$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08be…c3b0backed Yes | 28c | 87.07$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…8a71backed No | 45c | 83.79$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.85 | 123 | 29.3%36 W · 87 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a8…9f68backed Yes | 48c | 82.2$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 346 | 33.8%117 W · 229 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked No | 33c | 81.39$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.82 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked No | 36c | 78.98$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.67 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x46f0…e338backed Yes | 64c | 77.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06ef…84d1backed Yes | 66c | 77.13$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5c…ef7fbacked No | 36c | 74.57$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.67 | 123 | 65%80 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked Yes | 52c | 74$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.37 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 32c | 73.71$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.87 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1615…7b3dbacked Yes | 76c | 70$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe867…4e6ebacked No | 68c | 69.82$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 35c | 69$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.15 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5671…f39bbacked Yes | 68c | 65.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0bf…0fb0backed Yes | 17c | 64.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742c…bb75backed No | 31c | 63.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…7a48backed Yes | 74c | 62.96$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8e…05a4backed Yes | 22c | 61.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 430 | 50.2%216 W · 214 L | +21.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…69b0backed Yes | 46c | 61.38$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.22 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 44c | 60.73$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.72 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 32c | 59.94$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.46 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76b8…1c88backed Yes | 71c | 59.81$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.32 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef2…faa5backed Yes | 54c | 59.06$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.06 | 428 | 49.5%212 W · 216 L | +45.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…e5debacked Yes | 29c | 57.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 312 | 19.9%62 W · 250 L | -40.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xffae…7b48backed Yes | 65c | 54.94$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c7…be3bbacked No | 36c | 54.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacca…8996backed No | 37c | 52.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.02 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 16?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C or below on May 16?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 16?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 16?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 16?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 16?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 16?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.