Will Scott McTominay score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd4f3f9f2a28e367429094fcc3c2c0a8effbf05b22f70e6661d2edbd7d318026

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 27, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $7,206
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $6,240

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,206 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8f7b…2a5fbacked No	46c	589.33$269 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$320.77	201	42.8%86 W · 115 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb410…7736backed Yes	39c	510.58$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.53	139	57.6%80 W · 59 L	+18.4wins	+0.13per pick	44cpaid	+26.4%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No	57c	440.85$253 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$187.87	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd572…a526backed No	44c	414.37$182 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$232.39	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-43.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2956…d31bbacked No	78c	251$196 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.51	71	42.3%30 W · 41 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78ae…143abacked Yes	57c	249.71$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.33	116	32.8%38 W · 78 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e69…a4b5backed Yes	47c	214.28$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	27	29.6%8 W · 19 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed No	33c	200.65$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$134.44	481	40.1%193 W · 288 L	-17.3wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes	24c	199.81$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.63	662	39.6%262 W · 400 L	-48.1wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8d85…f4e0backed No	42c	183.07$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.91	26	65.4%17 W · 9 L	+5.3wins	+0.20per pick	45cpaid	+41.4%equal weight	62+0.10 edge/pick
0xa75c…895ebacked No	64c	181.33$117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.67	78	38.5%30 W · 48 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99c4…0c89backed Yes	46c	134.16$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62	117	30.8%36 W · 81 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	+25%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52eb…67acbacked Yes	52c	120$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.4	163	36.2%59 W · 104 L	-9.2wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x59fb…eceabacked Yes	59c	118.66$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.84	38	39.5%15 W · 23 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41f9…84e6backed Yes	57c	110$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.39	30	43.3%13 W · 17 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed No	40c	109.27$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.56	318	51.9%165 W · 153 L	+16.3wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc104…f24fbacked Yes	60c	100$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	-1.4wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb902…10c0backed No	41c	100$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59	111	35.1%39 W · 72 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2e6e…7f53backed Yes	56c	100$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.5	101	31.7%32 W · 69 L	-6.8wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9073…13b3backed No	34c	95.01$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.71	72	48.6%35 W · 37 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb27f…2c41backed Yes	61c	94.26$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.5	114	45.6%52 W · 62 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes	56c	80$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.8	1,306	44.7%584 W · 722 L	-9.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03ef…6f4fbacked Yes	56c	71.43$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x328c…6715backed Yes	58c	68.97$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	54	59.3%32 W · 22 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e08…e99bbacked No	56c	66.03$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.85	138	55.1%76 W · 62 L	+6.2wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd11a…5ffdbacked No	38c	60$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.2	18	72.2%13 W · 5 L	+3.7wins	+0.21per pick	52cpaid	+47.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8cb3…60d2backed No	38c	60$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.4	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcceb…f030backed Yes	66c	57.62$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.03	130	51.5%67 W · 63 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ffc…57e5backed Yes	58c	51.72$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.58per pick	58cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a67…df6fbacked Yes	60c	50.3$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.93	169	27.8%47 W · 122 L	-4.6wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-31%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x10ad…827cbacked Yes	55c	50$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.7	129	33.3%43 W · 86 L	-8.0wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x59d6…0704backed Yes	38c	50$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	40	42.5%17 W · 23 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8a4e…b38cbacked No	50c	50$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.1	54	44.4%24 W · 30 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x967b…46babacked Yes	54c	50$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	93	59.1%55 W · 38 L	+2.4wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18dc…5e90backed No	56c	50$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22	144	36.1%52 W · 92 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d5…6b2bbacked Yes	43c	45.3$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.48	74	48.6%36 W · 38 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e28…f043backed Yes	42c	45.24$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	172	44.8%77 W · 95 L	+6.4wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a51…05adbacked No	38c	43.42$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.92	63	65.1%41 W · 22 L	+6.9wins	+0.11per pick	54cpaid	+18%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf672…c3c4backed Yes	63c	41$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.63	259	45.2%117 W · 142 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8647…d870backed No	41c	40$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.6	64	43.8%28 W · 36 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4607…7811backed Yes	59c	40$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.6	122	53.3%65 W · 57 L	+5.4wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe404…d074backed Yes	50c	38.82$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.41	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x167a…91d5backed Yes	51c	35$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.85	36	55.6%20 W · 16 L	+4.4wins	+0.12per pick	43cpaid	+93.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfcf2…7279backed Yes	56c	34.77$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.47	40	20%8 W · 32 L	-6.0wins	-0.15per pick	35cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1694…8badbacked Yes	56c	34.62$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.39	10	30%3 W · 7 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	+23.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x64be…c653backed Yes	36c	30.99$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.16	54	44.4%24 W · 30 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0b7a…86cfbacked No	38c	30$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.6	234	29.1%68 W · 166 L	-10.4wins	-0.04per pick	33cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c81…4c46backed Yes	60c	30$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-5.7wins	-0.25per pick	68cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x168f…9e00backed No	41c	29.36$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.41	235	43%101 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e73…9150backed Yes	51c	24.48$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.5	83	60.2%50 W · 33 L	-3.0wins	-0.04per pick	64cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4916…f56fbacked Yes	42c	24.48$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.3	85	42.4%36 W · 49 L	-11.7wins	-0.14per pick	56cpaid	-25%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x55dc…19a3backed Yes	44c	23.58$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.41	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	-1.2wins	-0.08per pick	21cpaid	-74.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed Yes	61c	21$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.87	147	39.5%58 W · 89 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb437…cfb3backed Yes	58c	20.01$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.54	124	54%67 W · 57 L	+7.9wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e81…864bbacked Yes	61c	20$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.2	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.30per pick	63cpaid	-50.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd51d…1578backed Yes	66c	20$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.2	35	45.7%16 W · 19 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 146. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Scott McTominay score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event