Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f05dbc6273b89aed46bb79a961c1d8771c01925d92d439e9a81fa6241900661
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof Aurora, Team Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $403,078
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $477,192
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $403,078 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 347 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Aurora | 53c | 59,046$31,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,000 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3936…366dbacked Team Liquid | 44c | 20,492$8,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,517.99 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Team Liquid | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,400 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +76.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Aurora | 27c | 16,602$4,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,422.7 | 1,179 | 43.1%508 W · 671 L | +41.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Aurora | 1c | 15,200$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Team Liquid | 46c | 12,000$5,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,480 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Aurora | 50c | 11,340$5,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,678.17 | 963 | 57.3%552 W · 411 L | +48.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7df…5eeebacked Team Liquid | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team Liquid | 53c | 8,509$4,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,994.9 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0352…86b0backed Aurora | 54c | 7,232$3,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,893.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Team Liquid | 48c | 6,500$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,379.97 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Team Liquid | 43c | 4,710$2,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,673.78 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd1…285dbacked Team Liquid | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Aurora | 48c | 3,705$1,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,779.62 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…434bbacked Aurora | 55c | 3,592$1,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,982.89 | 228 | 42.1%96 W · 132 L | -25.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Aurora | 53c | 3,343$1,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,771.74 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Team Liquid | 26c | 3,250$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,419.99 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Liquid | 70c | 3,060$2,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.04 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Team Liquid | 60c | 3,049$1,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,228.03 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Team Liquid | 50c | 3,045$1,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,533.84 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Team Liquid | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Team Liquid | 43c | 2,898$1,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,652.39 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Aurora | 54c | 2,615$1,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,412.33 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed Team Liquid | 48c | 2,561$1,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323.17 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x611f…b58fbacked Team Liquid | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Aurora | 61c | 2,464$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…f5eebacked Team Liquid | 45c | 2,309$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275.51 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Liquid | 45c | 2,161$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,181.19 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Team Liquid | 48c | 2,140$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.55 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Team Liquid | 67c | 2,047$1,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.86 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Aurora | 18c | 2,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Team Liquid | 46c | 2,000$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.98 | 291 | 43.6%127 W · 164 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Team Liquid | 59c | 1,999$1,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.34 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Team Liquid | 31c | 1,992$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,370.06 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Aurora | 61c | 1,975$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.04 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Team Liquid | 35c | 1,961$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,269.39 | 711 | 42.6%303 W · 408 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Aurora | 65c | 1,709$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.33 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaf…d959backed Aurora | 53c | 1,617$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.23 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Aurora | 55c | 1,616$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895 | 1,197 | 59.2%709 W · 488 L | +63.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Team Liquid | 46c | 1,600$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Team Liquid | 69c | 1,586$1,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.2 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…40dfbacked Aurora | 53c | 1,560$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.3 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Team Liquid | 47c | 1,517$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.81 | 197 | 42.1%83 W · 114 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Team Liquid | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Team Liquid | 35c | 1,404$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.87 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Liquid | 67c | 1,388$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.33 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…59d0backed Team Liquid | 80c | 1,332$1,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Aurora | 63c | 1,308$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.62 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Team Liquid | 78c | 1,292$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.62 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed Team Liquid | 48c | 1,262$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.36 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf7…6d62backed Aurora | 52c | 1,210$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.7 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Aurora | 5c | 1,179$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.14 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2efa…8a01backed Team Liquid | 50c | 1,117$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.38 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Aurora | 58c | 1,108$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.42 | 1,270 | 45.1%573 W · 697 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked Aurora | 46c | 1,082$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.61 | 372 | 23.1%86 W · 286 L | -38.2wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd892…14d3backed Aurora | 53c | 1,060$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.04 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Team Liquid | 45c | 1,019$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.47 | 1,113 | 36.2%403 W · 710 L | -37.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac3…5572backed Team Liquid | 47c | 1,002$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +91.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89bd…cc95backed Team Liquid | 43c | 999.99$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.15 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…aad4backed Aurora | 51c | 999.99$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.99 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Aurora | 34c | 999.98$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 201 | 45.3%91 W · 110 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe97…e979backed Aurora | 53c | 984.95$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Team Liquid | 46c | 977.15$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.78 | 1,247 | 44.4%554 W · 693 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04d3…cdacbacked Aurora | 50c | 971$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.5 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | -7.2wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Aurora | 50c | 946.4$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.29 | 376 | 32.2%121 W · 255 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked Aurora | 60c | 875.56$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.22 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Team Liquid | 46c | 869.4$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.06 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Aurora | 45c | 861.68$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.32 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9772…4867backed Aurora | 61c | 849.8$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.38 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 69cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Team Liquid | 48c | 833.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.33 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54f6…b0f2backed Aurora | 55c | 823.97$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37ea…9b3ebacked Aurora | 56c | 815.54$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62a9…3bb6backed Aurora | 62c | 807.66$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…cab0backed Team Liquid | 78c | 802.16$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.48 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd679…91a0backed Aurora | 53c | 799.98$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Aurora | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Aurora | 66c | 763.3$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.68 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Aurora | 56c | 751.07$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.37 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Aurora | 57c | 750.98$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.72 | 1,443 | 48.7%703 W · 740 L | +29.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked Aurora | 53c | 705.43$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.88 | 612 | 49.7%304 W · 308 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Aurora | 53c | 702$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.34 | 889 | 38%338 W · 551 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b0…2aaebacked Aurora | 52c | 677.85$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Team Liquid | 30c | 660.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.56 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89ff…a8f2backed Team Liquid | 43c | 651.16$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.16 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Team Liquid | 43c | 607.77$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.77 | 223 | 40.4%90 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Team Liquid | 38c | 601.26$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.41 | 372 | 41.9%156 W · 216 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Team Liquid | 48c | 600$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25c5…0031backed Aurora | 18c | 600$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 89 | 18%16 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Team Liquid | 49c | 600$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.37 | 1,151 | 47.8%550 W · 601 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Aurora | 56c | 595.33$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.57 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b12…5f8fbacked Team Liquid | 43c | 586.18$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.12 | 295 | 48.5%143 W · 152 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Aurora | 53c | 573.96$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.96 | 108 | 33.3%36 W · 72 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Aurora | 53c | 568.1$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 893 | 41.5%371 W · 522 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…702dbacked Aurora | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc4…7c1dbacked Aurora | 54c | 555.65$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Team Liquid | 48c | 555$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.6 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Team Liquid | 47c | 555$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.15 | 187 | 39%73 W · 114 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2591…b7c1backed Aurora | 57c | 554$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.78 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Team Liquid | 47c | 551.91$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.51 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Aurora | 53c | 550$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.5 | 125 | 36%45 W · 80 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Athis page
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid - Game 1 WinnerAurora won
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid - Game 2 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.