Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd45a62d71fe9e0056468e364f78657b549dfb334a85ec25ef0139967dce7af0c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Auroraof Aurora, Team Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $125,749
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $151,117
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $125,749 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Aurora | 57c | 15,767$8,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,838.73 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…40dfbacked Aurora | 54c | 8,491$4,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,940.2 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Team Liquid | 44c | 8,141$3,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,599.28 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Aurora | 49c | 7,966$3,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,083.82 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team Liquid | 34c | 5,399$1,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,835.47 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Aurora | 57c | 4,798$2,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,051.28 | 963 | 57.3%552 W · 411 L | +48.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Team Liquid | 32c | 3,865$1,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,234.37 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Team Liquid | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Aurora | 54c | 3,691$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,690.51 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Liquid | 47c | 3,684$1,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,747.02 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e62…f6ffbacked Aurora | 52c | 3,500$1,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,684.54 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Liquid | 46c | 3,453$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,589.96 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Liquid | 46c | 3,354$1,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,542.73 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked Team Liquid | 49c | 3,271$1,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,606.97 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Team Liquid | 46c | 3,239$1,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,497.02 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Team Liquid | 20c | 3,040$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.64 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Team Liquid | 51c | 2,750$1,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,402.5 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Aurora | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.99 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Team Liquid | 47c | 1,688$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.63 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Aurora | 80c | 1,468$1,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.73 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Team Liquid | 44c | 1,384$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.59 | 563 | 48.1%271 W · 292 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Team Liquid | 45c | 1,356$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.88 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Team Liquid | 47c | 1,246$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.62 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Team Liquid | 47c | 1,158$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.26 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2efa…8a01backed Team Liquid | 49c | 1,094$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.08 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Aurora | 68c | 964.73$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.41 | 1,691 | 41.4%700 W · 991 L | -40.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…d1a4backed Aurora | 57c | 950.22$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.63 | 241 | 54.8%132 W · 109 L | +13.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Aurora | 55c | 881.59$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.56 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Team Liquid | 47c | 842.39$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.19 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Team Liquid | 46c | 746.29$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.56 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa271…f308backed Team Liquid | 46c | 680$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x361b…046cbacked Aurora | 53c | 680$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x758f…dfb7backed Aurora | 61c | 660.93$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.93 | 346 | 67.9%235 W · 111 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked Team Liquid | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6db2…1338backed Aurora | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Team Liquid | 30c | 600$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.1 | 917 | 56.5%518 W · 399 L | +79.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Team Liquid | 48c | 600$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.12 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde3c…9656backed Team Liquid | 48c | 599.99$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Team Liquid | 49c | 530$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.7 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Team Liquid | 47c | 526.44$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Aurora | 54c | 521.84$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.03 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Team Liquid | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 1,247 | 44.4%554 W · 693 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Aurora | 46c | 494$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.76 | 944 | 42.3%399 W · 545 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Team Liquid | 28c | 473$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.66 | 1,113 | 36.2%403 W · 710 L | -37.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8106…bd36backed Team Liquid | 46c | 471.59$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.93 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Aurora | 55c | 456.4$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.38 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea8…0412backed Aurora | 55c | 450.46$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.19 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Aurora | 52c | 450$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 474 | 50.8%241 W · 233 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…a7abbacked Team Liquid | 48c | 417$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.16 | 165 | 41.2%68 W · 97 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Team Liquid | 40c | 401.35$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.08 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Aurora | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89bd…cc95backed Aurora | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Liquid | 37c | 395$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.15 | 1,894 | 47.7%903 W · 991 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x443c…d83abacked Aurora | 52c | 379.15$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.99 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…51dbbacked Team Liquid | 27c | 359.26$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Aurora | 49c | 306.47$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.47 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe66e…946bbacked Aurora | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.18 | 210 | 43.8%92 W · 118 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Aurora | 61c | 288.78$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.31 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Aurora | 52c | 288.11$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.11 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed Team Liquid | 47c | 275.63$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.81 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Team Liquid | 44c | 271.59$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.33 | 1,151 | 47.8%550 W · 601 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Team Liquid | 43c | 270.65$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.05 | 1,443 | 48.7%703 W · 740 L | +29.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f79…434abacked Team Liquid | 20c | 250$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.9 | 496 | 44.6%221 W · 275 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48ba…d81dbacked Team Liquid | 23c | 249.11$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.62 | 563 | 43.9%247 W · 316 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb953…5393backed Team Liquid | 49c | 230$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.7 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked Team Liquid | 36c | 209.56$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.27 | 372 | 23.1%86 W · 286 L | -38.2wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed Aurora | 53c | 207.24$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.48 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Team Liquid | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd439…21d3backed Aurora | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 316 | 44.9%142 W · 174 L | -18.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Aurora | 77c | 191.59$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.97 | 889 | 38%338 W · 551 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed Aurora | 52c | 175$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 581 | 56.6%329 W · 252 L | +27.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3216…0cc7backed Aurora | 65c | 150$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked Aurora | 49c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 280 | 50%140 W · 140 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Team Liquid | 29c | 143$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.94 | 259 | 35.5%92 W · 167 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Aurora | 71c | 132.62$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.46 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Aurora | 70c | 125$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.05 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Liquid | 34c | 111.49$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.03 | 2,367 | 47.3%1,119 W · 1,248 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Aurora | 45c | 109$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.95 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Team Liquid | 46c | 104.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.1 | 185 | 44.9%83 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe843…0699backed Aurora | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 111 | 31.5%35 W · 76 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Team Liquid | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 268 | 46.6%125 W · 143 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked Team Liquid | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 666 | 48.6%324 W · 342 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed Aurora | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 675 | 55%371 W · 304 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Aurora | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc646…e394backed Aurora | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 376 | 55.1%207 W · 169 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb829…4f5ebacked Aurora | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 176 | 36.9%65 W · 111 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…0f5cbacked Aurora | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 582 | 50.5%294 W · 288 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2957…b26abacked Aurora | 48c | 99.8$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.8 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62f8…abfebacked Aurora | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa4…865cbacked Aurora | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…d567backed Aurora | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Team Liquid | 47c | 90$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73e6…eca0backed Aurora | 56c | 85$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.05 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed Aurora | 73c | 81.54$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.36 | 354 | 30.5%108 W · 246 L | -27.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Aurora | 74c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Liquid | 31c | 79.73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.66 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Aurora | 70c | 74.5$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.35 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Team Liquid | 50c | 74.24$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.12 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Aurora | 65c | 73$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.55 | 276 | 36.2%100 W · 176 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Team Liquid | 39c | 70$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.58 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Group ATeam Liquid won
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid - Game 2 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.