MLB · resolved market
Houston Astros vs. Cincinnati Reds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8bec5ce2d629d255f62f7250a17c8238c248f731ba2f021ae91f8b5bf2c332f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Houston Astrosof Houston Astros, Cincinnati Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $699,296
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $741,633
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $699,296 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 395 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Houston Astros | 46c | 77,776$35,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,176.76 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 67,003$36,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,181.88 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 66,562$29,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,771.34 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Houston Astros | 46c | 55,612$25,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,780.61 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 34,738$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 34,632$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 22,754$12,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,286.96 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Houston Astros | 46c | 21,345$9,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,526.08 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Houston Astros | 44c | 16,628$7,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,311.68 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 15,848$7,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,364.86 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Houston Astros | 41c | 15,555$6,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,177.7 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 15,043$8,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,273.39 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Houston Astros | 43c | 14,567$6,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,303.18 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 12,927$6,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,512.33 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cincinnati Reds | 28c | 12,791$3,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,631.21 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Houston Astros | 48c | 12,636$6,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,551.61 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Cincinnati Reds | 26c | 12,545$3,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,281.01 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Cincinnati Reds | 17c | 12,274$2,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,098.88 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Houston Astros | 45c | 11,620$5,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,391.13 | 260 | 56.5%147 W · 113 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Houston Astros | 42c | 11,310$4,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,559.52 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Houston Astros | 64c | 11,300$7,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,025.31 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Houston Astros | 44c | 10,159$4,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,689.1 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 10,032$5,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,517.53 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Houston Astros | 71c | 10,025$7,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,937.5 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 124 | 57.3%71 W · 53 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 8,079$4,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,203.08 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Houston Astros | 45c | 8,001$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,400.53 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Houston Astros | 45c | 7,951$3,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,373.31 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Houston Astros | 70c | 6,936$4,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,083.86 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 6,837$3,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,705.9 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cincinnati Reds | 28c | 5,963$1,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,695.61 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Cincinnati Reds | 0c | 5,300$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Cincinnati Reds | 16c | 4,330$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.29 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 4,297$2,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,319.14 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 3,842$2,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,112.9 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Houston Astros | 79c | 3,451$2,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.97 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Cincinnati Reds | 3c | 3,380$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.56 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 3,333$1,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,657.1 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 3,268$1,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,797.5 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cincinnati Reds | 14c | 3,102$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.5 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe757…c161backed Cincinnati Reds | 17c | 3,083$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.64 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Houston Astros | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Houston Astros | 70c | 2,904$2,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Houston Astros | 44c | 2,800$1,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,566.99 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Cincinnati Reds | 57c | 2,632$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 384 | 44.3%170 W · 214 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 2,271$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +7.4wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Houston Astros | 43c | 2,135$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,217.21 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 2,061$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103.49 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Houston Astros | 79c | 2,000$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.07 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.99 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Cincinnati Reds | 21c | 1,987$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.33 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Houston Astros | 42c | 1,786$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.71 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 1,607$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 21c | 1,427$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.19 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Houston Astros | 45c | 1,391$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.9 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 1,388$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.63 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Cincinnati Reds | 34c | 1,280$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.21 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa969…1a84backed Houston Astros | 43c | 1,238$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.66 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Cincinnati Reds | 5c | 1,200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 228 | 31.6%72 W · 156 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07b6…ca65backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 1,197$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Houston Astros | 72c | 1,168$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.01 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Cincinnati Reds | 26c | 1,160$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.52 | 603 | 48.6%293 W · 310 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb99…dda5backed Cincinnati Reds | 30c | 1,137$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 1,100$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616 | 210 | 52.9%111 W · 99 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Houston Astros | 79c | 1,063$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.23 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b71…80ecbacked Houston Astros | 72c | 1,035$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.77 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Cincinnati Reds | 13c | 1,005$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.65 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Houston Astros | 78c | 1,000$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.2 | 475 | 89.1%423 W · 52 L | +84.9wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Houston Astros | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Houston Astros | 42c | 925$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.5 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…fc42backed Houston Astros | 44c | 913.46$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.87 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 899.77$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.88 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Houston Astros | 77c | 878$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.68 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 876$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.66 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 865.35$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.05 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Houston Astros | 52c | 865$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.91 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed Houston Astros | 69c | 836.53$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.08 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +7.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Houston Astros | 70c | 762.47$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.83 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 719.44$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.69 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Houston Astros | 46c | 718.99$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.45 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 695.51$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.53 | 515 | 55.7%287 W · 228 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Houston Astros | 62c | 670.87$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.24 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08f9…c741backed Cincinnati Reds | 30c | 655$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 619.44$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.63 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…4cbabacked Houston Astros | 78c | 609.21$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.24 | 309 | 63.1%195 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Houston Astros | 42c | 608.98$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.21 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Cincinnati Reds | 24c | 604.81$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.82 | 335 | 15.5%52 W · 283 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 599.99$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Houston Astros | 59c | 598.7$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.96 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe201…9c49backed Houston Astros | 68c | 588.24$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed Cincinnati Reds | 35c | 567.15$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 293 | 31.7%93 W · 200 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 552.78$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.96 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48ee…0db4backed Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 532.58$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9283…ba85backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 510.91$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Houston Astros | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed Houston Astros | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 268 | 57.8%155 W · 113 L | +26.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 3c | 500$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 191 | 43.5%83 W · 108 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Houston Astros | 64c | 500$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.52 | 508 | 60.2%306 W · 202 L | +29.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Houston Astros | 44c | 480$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.2 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Houston Astros vs. Cincinnati Redsthis page
- Houston Astros vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Houston Astros vs. Cincinnati RedsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.