MLB · resolved market
Houston Astros vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57f34924f1cc09d1bc71758d37eaf25412983d7de41da6adf96549ee7bc9b0fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $87,283
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,759
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,283 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5234…4c4fbacked Over | 39c | 20,700$8,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,590.93 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Over | 44c | 12,252$5,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,861.22 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 70c | 11,963$8,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,343.37 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Under | 54c | 11,650$6,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,241.47 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Over | 31c | 10,000$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,900.09 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 61c | 6,861$4,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,152.58 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Under | 55c | 3,446$1,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,895.52 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Over | 45c | 3,367$1,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,851.67 | 390 | 47.4%185 W · 205 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 43c | 2,642$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,506.08 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 57c | 2,292$1,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,306.33 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 47c | 1,660$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.27 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…40febacked Over | 46c | 1,611$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.46 | 215 | 50.2%108 W · 107 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 61c | 1,592$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.34 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 34c | 1,567$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.85 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 60c | 1,455$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.14 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 55c | 1,400$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.99 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 45c | 1,357$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.57 | 475 | 45.9%218 W · 257 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1da3…2f94backed Under | 57c | 1,320$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 43c | 1,245$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.58 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Under | 54c | 1,217$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.77 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 56c | 1,200$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfd…a4bbbacked Under | 57c | 1,116$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.92 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Over | 47c | 1,057$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.42 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 59c | 1,054$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.31 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Under | 52c | 1,008$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.06 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…b78abacked Under | 64c | 1,000$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 53c | 999.99$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 43c | 999.97$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.98 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 56c | 850$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Over | 45c | 735$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.25 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 63c | 673$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.99 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 63c | 673$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.99 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 69c | 623.03$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 47c | 613.65$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.04 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed Under | 60c | 518.8$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.25 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +7.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 56c | 501.99$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.11 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 63c | 500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 38c | 467.92$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.81 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 62c | 451.87$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.24 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 46c | 440$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.13 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…13c0backed Under | 61c | 384.8$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.62 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.37 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Under | 56c | 327.65$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.48 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Under | 40c | 325.73$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.9 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Under | 62c | 318.89$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.55 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b55…1167backed Under | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Over | 45c | 301.98$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.57 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Under | 57c | 286.63$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.38 | 230 | 60%138 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 34c | 267.24$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.38 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed Under | 61c | 233.35$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.99 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ae…7aa6backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Under | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 249 | 50.6%126 W · 123 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Over | 30c | 165.1$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.78 | 335 | 15.5%52 W · 283 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Under | 64c | 154.31$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.56 | 1,367 | 54.3%742 W · 625 L | +16.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Over | 45c | 148.02$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.41 | 186 | 48.4%90 W · 96 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…bb1dbacked Under | 67c | 135.81$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.99 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0199…4e86backed Under | 59c | 118.73$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.57 | 174 | 60.3%105 W · 69 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Over | 45c | 117$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.35 | 176 | 45.5%80 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…cfdebacked Under | 62c | 113.79$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.55 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca4e…f97ebacked Under | 53c | 101.26$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.67 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 39c | 101.21$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.41 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac24…576ebacked Over | 31c | 100.44$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 229 | 48%110 W · 119 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Over | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2c…dac5backed Under | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 60 | 70%42 W · 18 L | +8.6wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeba1…44dfbacked Over | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x167f…fa5ebacked Over | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +6.3wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +60%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa233…dfe8backed Over | 36c | 97.22$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.87 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1b…106cbacked Under | 60c | 92.23$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.69 | 86 | 69.8%60 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…4cbabacked Over | 27c | 91.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.16 | 309 | 63.1%195 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed Over | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 47c | 85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.05 | 213 | 53.5%114 W · 99 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 44c | 84.49$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.31 | 232 | 48.7%113 W · 119 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa95…d397backed Under | 61c | 82.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 56c | 77.73$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.48 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa9e…2264backed Over | 25c | 67.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.72 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Under | 52c | 67.15$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.58 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Over | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d6…e952backed Over | 45c | 66.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Over | 47c | 64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.92 | 722 | 47.6%344 W · 378 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 53c | 59.23$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.59 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed Over | 44c | 57.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 841 | 40.2%338 W · 503 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…3d0ebacked Under | 51c | 57.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.33 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa17e…cfcdbacked Over | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Over | 27c | 57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.61 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 34c | 55.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 465 | 57.2%266 W · 199 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 62c | 51.64$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.02 | 580 | 54.5%316 W · 264 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 34c | 50.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Over | 48c | 50.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.26 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2045…c77cbacked Under | 80c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81d7…32d8backed Under | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 27c | 46.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.69 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b90…8a6dbacked Under | 67c | 44.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 43c | 43.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95e4…5134backed Over | 26c | 42.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.53 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over | 48c | 41.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 115 | 35.7%41 W · 74 L | -12.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Houston Astros vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5this page
- Houston Astros vs. Cincinnati RedsHouston Astros won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Houston Astros vs. Cincinnati RedsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.