Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Swiatek (-1.5) vs Eala (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d6ac816234ec7c5f54e2579ac30483c4a9ccb8cc24fb546ba2ecdc7c9b6907b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ealaof Swiatek, Eala
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,739
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,125
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,739 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Eala | 49c | 12,503$6,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,376.53 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Swiatek | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,099.98 | 374 | 50%187 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e88…b235backed Swiatek | 55c | 7,049$3,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,876.81 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Eala | 45c | 6,733$3,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,702.96 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Swiatek | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9644…d03bbacked Swiatek | 51c | 940$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.38 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Eala | 49c | 619.47$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.93 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Swiatek | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Swiatek | 51c | 486$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.86 | 240 | 51.3%123 W · 117 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Swiatek | 52c | 386.75$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 233 | 53.2%124 W · 109 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Swiatek | 50c | 360$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 172 | 44.8%77 W · 95 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e5b2backed Eala | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 401 | 44.4%178 W · 223 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Eala | 48c | 294.85$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.32 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Swiatek | 49c | 242.88$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.01 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb6…96d1backed Eala | 77c | 233.77$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.77 | 465 | 65.6%305 W · 160 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85a9…4e21backed Eala | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Eala | 50c | 115$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 389 | 47.3%184 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Eala | 48c | 101.26$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.66 | 1,178 | 46.3%545 W · 633 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Swiatek | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeee6…cbfebacked Eala | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x353b…e535backed Eala | 49c | 98.25$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.11 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa802…4575backed Eala | 50c | 88.81$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.12 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Swiatek | 51c | 81$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.31 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee5a…9f70backed Swiatek | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 356 | 41.3%147 W · 209 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb902…10c0backed Eala | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b89…9183backed Swiatek | 52c | 50.36$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.19 | 205 | 66.8%137 W · 68 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cf…6b0bbacked Swiatek | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Swiatek | 52c | 34.77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 940 | 58.4%549 W · 391 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Eala | 48c | 34.38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.88 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Eala | 49c | 23.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbe…e45bbacked Swiatek | 51c | 21.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 330 | 48.8%161 W · 169 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Swiatek (-1.5) vs Eala (+1.5)this page
- Alexandra Eala vs. Iga Swiatek: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Eala vs. Swiatek: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Eala vs SwiatekEala won
- Set 2 Winner: Eala vs SwiatekEala won
- Wimbledon WTA: Alexandra Eala vs Iga SwiatekAlexandra Eala won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.