Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Eala vs Swiatek
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a14578c819b8ba55f5d62fcf882949cf056f39f8c25d92c310494c2168645df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ealaof Eala, Swiatek
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,899
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,364
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,899 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Swiatek | 1c | 2,936$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.36 | 1,960 | 43.8%858 W · 1,102 L | -20.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Swiatek | 34c | 1,896$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653 | 2,433 | 50.8%1,236 W · 1,197 L | +81.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97a1…d1eebacked Swiatek | 57c | 1,891$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084.11 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebfd…fd63backed Eala | 57c | 1,812$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.32 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Eala | 47c | 1,799$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.31 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6b6fbacked Swiatek | 57c | 1,472$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…698cbacked Eala | 45c | 1,263$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.9 | 210 | 46.2%97 W · 113 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb4…3839backed Swiatek | 29c | 1,034$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe28c…ffb3backed Swiatek | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +89.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Swiatek | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 755 | 43.4%328 W · 427 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5de…cabebacked Eala | 29c | 686.21$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.21 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa981…ab19backed Swiatek | 2c | 600$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 52 | 0%0 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc627…47b2backed Swiatek | 70c | 571.43$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 392 | 56.6%222 W · 170 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8787…da0abacked Swiatek | 58c | 541.29$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.95 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 36cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc779…8e4fbacked Swiatek | 70c | 519.74$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.82 | 77 | 67.5%52 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Swiatek | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Eala | 76c | 455.41$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.43 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Eala | 41c | 444.52$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.14 | 4,650 | 48.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe741…a9d1backed Swiatek | 52c | 369.21$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.99 | 259 | 48.6%126 W · 133 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd35d…ea31backed Swiatek | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Eala | 62c | 300$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 582 | 48.3%281 W · 301 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Swiatek | 65c | 281.54$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 632 | 52.8%334 W · 298 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8373…7475backed Eala | 36c | 263.28$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.5 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Eala | 48c | 250.32$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.12 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Eala | 39c | 250.26$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.32 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Eala | 29c | 221$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.91 | 4,975 | 38.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L | -19.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…4699backed Swiatek | 60c | 213.33$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Eala | 26c | 185.75$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.77 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d70…8c66backed Swiatek | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x65a7…a216backed Swiatek | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c79…ddf6backed Eala | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -18.8wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -27%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6844…7633backed Eala | 39c | 126.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.45 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1226…f998backed Eala | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 299 | 40.1%120 W · 179 L | -15.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Eala | 45c | 110.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.42 | 1,579 | 39.8%629 W · 950 L | -34.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Eala | 45c | 101.05$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.58 | 3,798 | 54.9%2,087 W · 1,711 L | +111.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…fb20backed Eala | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.51 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Swiatek | 55c | 98.16$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.8 | 745 | 47.4%353 W · 392 L | -28.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a8…b1f7backed Eala | 41c | 85.82$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.82 | 287 | 38.3%110 W · 177 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Swiatek | 69c | 68.55$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.96 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Eala | 42c | 65.21$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.82 | 243 | 49.4%120 W · 123 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2819…c2fcbacked Swiatek | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +10.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Eala | 28c | 35.56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Swiatek | 72c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 303 | 39.9%121 W · 182 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Eala vs Swiatekthis page
- Alexandra Eala vs. Iga Swiatek: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Eala vs. Swiatek: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Set 2 Winner: Eala vs SwiatekEala won
- Set Handicap: Swiatek (-1.5) vs Eala (+1.5)Eala won
- Wimbledon WTA: Alexandra Eala vs Iga SwiatekAlexandra Eala won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.