Tennis · resolved market
Eala vs. Swiatek: Match O/U 21.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb015fe1d9348c55798ee5fbe03f44fdacd42f431281eb44ed1946e7328230200
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,165
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,166
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,165 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Over | 46c | 1,520$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.4 | 1,031 | 50.3%519 W · 512 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc6…4b55backed Under | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 53c | 328.73$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.27 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…9197backed Under | 54c | 250.35$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.26 | 335 | 58.5%196 W · 139 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 54c | 242.15$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.39 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd01…73a5backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 54c | 95.08$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.74 | 508 | 45.9%233 W · 275 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 46c | 68.31$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.42 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cce…4b52backed Over | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 165 | 88.5%146 W · 19 L | +37.7wins | +0.23per pick | 66cpaid | +33%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Over | 47c | 50.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7734…017dbacked Under | 53c | 41.13$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.33 | 141 | 58.9%83 W · 58 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over | 54c | 31.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…ed0dbacked Under | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 324 | 52.5%170 W · 154 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 53c | 24.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Over | 47c | 24.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 829 | 58.1%482 W · 347 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Eala vs. Swiatek: Match O/U 21.5this page
- Alexandra Eala vs. Iga Swiatek: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Eala vs SwiatekEala won
- Set 2 Winner: Eala vs SwiatekEala won
- Set Handicap: Swiatek (-1.5) vs Eala (+1.5)Eala won
- Wimbledon WTA: Alexandra Eala vs Iga SwiatekAlexandra Eala won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.