Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Team Shpilit (BO3) - CCT Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc8346aeebac2cb8a062c9d52405c7c09aa0eb9b0bbfdf6885ac6e73b79eb4bc0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Lynxof Team Lynx, Team Shpilit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,093
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,093 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Team Shpilit | 33c | 6,185$2,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,016.21 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a46…ab25backed Team Lynx | 75c | 3,174$2,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.16 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Team Lynx | 67c | 2,703$1,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.23 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked Team Shpilit | 31c | 2,346$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.06 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…bd9abacked Team Lynx | 68c | 1,979$1,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.94 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Team Shpilit | 27c | 1,544$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.36 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Team Lynx | 69c | 1,338$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.65 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…a5b8backed Team Shpilit | 16c | 1,114$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.21 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Team Shpilit | 34c | 881.52$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Lynx | 77c | 839.31$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.75 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…394cbacked Team Lynx | 66c | 772.73$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.73 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Team Lynx | 68c | 735.59$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.59 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…7e65backed Team Lynx | 68c | 499.98$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +152.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc578…5c1ebacked Team Shpilit | 25c | 461.42$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.39 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Team Lynx | 71c | 453.39$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.14 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Team Lynx | 67c | 383.29$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.49 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Team Shpilit | 17c | 382.62$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.05 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Team Shpilit | 30c | 378.71$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.63 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Team Shpilit | 31c | 343.24$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.42 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e8…ed04backed Team Lynx | 70c | 320$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.2 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Team Lynx | 66c | 274.64$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.38 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Team Lynx | 70c | 270$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 410 | 50.2%206 W · 204 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa706…4b9ebacked Team Lynx | 66c | 267$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Team Lynx | 70c | 243.74$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Team Lynx | 69c | 210$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.1 | 253 | 48.6%123 W · 130 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Team Shpilit | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 208 | 38.9%81 W · 127 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed Team Shpilit | 33c | 194$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.85 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedce…412ebacked Team Shpilit | 16c | 189.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed Team Shpilit | 22c | 181.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 340 | 45.9%156 W · 184 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea49…434fbacked Team Shpilit | 28c | 179.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.21 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Team Lynx | 70c | 178.89$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.89 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed Team Shpilit | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24a6…be39backed Team Lynx | 65c | 152$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2818…04a2backed Team Lynx | 69c | 145.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.07 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Team Shpilit | 8c | 137.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Shpilit | 29c | 119.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.51 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Team Lynx | 68c | 117.65$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.65 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Team Shpilit | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 502 | 47.6%239 W · 263 L | +31.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Team Lynx | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 66cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed Team Shpilit | 24c | 99.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 536 | 34%182 W · 354 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Team Lynx | 70c | 95.54$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.01 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9b…3de2backed Team Shpilit | 32c | 94.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Team Shpilit | 32c | 87.25$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.14 | 187 | 39%73 W · 114 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Team Shpilit | 32c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb99…e585backed Team Lynx | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked Team Shpilit | 21c | 71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked Team Lynx | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 354 | 61.3%217 W · 137 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…db89backed Team Lynx | 70c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe320…e0c5backed Team Shpilit | 29c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Team Shpilit | 34c | 58.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 595 | 56.6%337 W · 258 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Team Shpilit | 31c | 55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76a5…555cbacked Team Lynx | 76c | 51.72$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 58cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Team Shpilit | 32c | 51.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Team Lynx | 77c | 51.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.63 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdf58…711fbacked Team Lynx | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Team Lynx | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…e187backed Team Lynx | 77c | 49.79$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18aa…2287backed Team Shpilit | 34c | 47.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Team Shpilit | 31c | 44.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0caa…b2bdbacked Team Lynx | 69c | 44.05$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.74 | 147 | 62.6%92 W · 55 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3829…5971backed Team Lynx | 68c | 39.71$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6b…591abacked Team Lynx | 69c | 39.57$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.34 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda1c…197dbacked Team Lynx | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeac9…4092backed Team Lynx | 79c | 36.76$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Team Lynx | 67c | 31.48$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.39 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95cc…3533backed Team Lynx | 64c | 31.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.03 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…222bbacked Team Lynx | 68c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd91c…985ebacked Team Lynx | 72c | 26.39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Team Lynx | 70c | 24.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.34 | 125 | 68%85 W · 40 L | +12.7wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x43d3…5ea8backed Team Lynx | 68c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Team Lynx | 70c | 22.89$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.87 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -7.1wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3999…c2bbbacked Team Lynx | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Team Lynx | 65c | 20.43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Team Lynx | 63c | 17.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 260 | 50.4%131 W · 129 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc187…efaabacked Team Lynx | 78c | 16.65$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.65 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40ca…36d3backed Team Lynx | 66c | 15.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb567…4d4abacked Team Lynx | 75c | 14.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Team Lynx | 73c | 14.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.88 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Team Shpilit (BO3) - CCT Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Team Shpilit - Game 1 WinnerTeam Lynx won
- Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Team Shpilit - Game 2 WinnerTeam Lynx won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.