TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs TEAM VISION - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Virtus.proof Virtus.pro, TEAM VISION
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$581,974
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$793,380

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $581,974 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 237 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6d20…a165backed Virtus.pro27c193,941$51,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142,545.819733%32 W · 65 L-8.9wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-25.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe16d…5e30backed TEAM VISION74c67,661$50,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,0101,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xef62…cf76backed TEAM VISION73c17,812$12,945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,944.9143344.8%194 W · 239 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked TEAM VISION71c13,036$9,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,296.221,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked TEAM VISION72c12,859$9,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,272.151,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0f5…3d04backed TEAM VISION80c12,009$9,586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,586.0551049%250 W · 260 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed TEAM VISION72c11,999$8,683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,682.931,03647.2%489 W · 547 L+15.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked Virtus.pro17c11,801$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,841.031,18643.2%512 W · 674 L+42.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked Virtus.pro31c10,016$3,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,932.161,20259.3%713 W · 489 L+64.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3413…8ff2backed Virtus.pro25c10,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,499.9847646.4%221 W · 255 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked TEAM VISION71c8,120$5,768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,767.9522340.4%90 W · 133 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed TEAM VISION71c7,722$5,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,45096557.4%554 W · 411 L+49.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x93bd…bbc5backed TEAM VISION74c5,337$3,937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,936.6553764.4%346 W · 191 L+26.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x533e…47f4backed TEAM VISION76c4,885$3,698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,698.2411359.3%67 W · 46 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x581f…9d8ebacked TEAM VISION73c3,376$2,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,479.99543.2%41 W · 54 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xefdd…1e8abacked TEAM VISION72c3,082$2,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,214.7315050%75 W · 75 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fbc…f944backed TEAM VISION79c2,715$2,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,144.4820767.1%139 W · 68 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d85…c436backed Virtus.pro31c2,577$802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,775.3550832.9%167 W · 341 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Virtus.pro9c2,268$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,074.5965625.6%168 W · 488 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0f0…26edbacked TEAM VISION79c2,220$1,762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,761.9733867.8%229 W · 109 L+16.0wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xca1f…ed28backed TEAM VISION72c2,102$1,513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,512.5660552.6%318 W · 287 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2deb…2b13backed TEAM VISION72c2,087$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50011551.3%59 W · 56 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8430…3961backed TEAM VISION76c2,074$1,576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,576.3930356.4%171 W · 132 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a86…cc01backed TEAM VISION73c1,985$1,458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,457.5410051%51 W · 49 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Virtus.pro26c1,946$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,448.4280256%449 W · 353 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b4a…3b84backed Virtus.pro9c1,889$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,723.963053.3%16 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+56.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf3a…fbfdbacked TEAM VISION68c1,862$1,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,268.7150850.8%258 W · 250 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19ae…395cbacked Virtus.pro17c1,765$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,464.7131936.7%117 W · 202 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked TEAM VISION52c1,729$891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$890.7499844.4%443 W · 555 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked Virtus.pro17c1,706$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,420.5142145.4%191 W · 230 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x958c…a328backed Virtus.pro27c1,581$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,154.0128347%133 W · 150 L+10.9wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked Virtus.pro15c1,496$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,277.0389741.5%372 W · 525 L+22.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Virtus.pro20c1,487$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,182.0625143.4%109 W · 142 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Virtus.pro20c1,411$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,123.071,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc214…105dbacked Virtus.pro46c1,410$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$760.1548843.6%213 W · 275 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x149a…49d0backed TEAM VISION72c1,400$1,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,01450769.2%351 W · 156 L+33.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+10.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Virtus.pro11c1,337$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,190.0488539.7%351 W · 534 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfab…f067backed TEAM VISION76c1,310$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00048057.1%274 W · 206 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7d6…cab5backed TEAM VISION63c1,300$822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821.951364.9%333 W · 180 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe6f…b760backed TEAM VISION61c1,251$761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$760.5825547.8%122 W · 133 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7020…d655backed TEAM VISION41c1,207$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.4315150.3%76 W · 75 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d0a…07c7backed TEAM VISION76c1,201$913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$913.089063.3%57 W · 33 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x070f…ed83backed Virtus.pro16c1,132$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$954.4426247.7%125 W · 137 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb877…4601backed Virtus.pro27c1,111$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811.0241455.6%230 W · 184 L+41.4wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+19.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed TEAM VISION71c1,080$771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77154246.7%253 W · 289 L-2.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc714…d152backed TEAM VISION70c1,070$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.6221158.3%123 W · 88 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Virtus.pro11c1,069$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$952.8643067%288 W · 142 L+31.9wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+11.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2f2a…9c0abacked TEAM VISION76c1,049$798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$797.564238.1%16 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd8b5…54c4backed Virtus.pro49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.4129240.8%119 W · 173 L+0.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked TEAM VISION57c1,007$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.8489238.1%340 W · 552 L-42.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-33.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc646…e394backed Virtus.pro30c1,000$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70037655.1%207 W · 169 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked TEAM VISION74c1,000$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7401,28045%576 W · 704 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08cf…22b9backed TEAM VISION77c988.74$757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757.4453758.8%316 W · 221 L+0.2wins0.00per pick59cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Virtus.pro27c972.89$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.2117757.6%102 W · 75 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed TEAM VISION22c960.72$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.469132.6%225 W · 466 L-26.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-27.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce20…0b7bbacked Virtus.pro64c944.05$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.0512060.8%73 W · 47 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick58cpaid-4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c67…d062backed Virtus.pro67c937.96$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.41,13742.3%481 W · 656 L-27.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a77…e59dbacked Virtus.pro38c932.15$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.0222031.8%70 W · 150 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-31.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bac…d241backed TEAM VISION76c912.8$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697.3610138.6%39 W · 62 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked TEAM VISION57c839.73$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.291,70241.2%701 W · 1,001 L-44.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x443c…d83abacked TEAM VISION72c826.54$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59525851.2%132 W · 126 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x473f…9892backed TEAM VISION75c803.57$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60050053%265 W · 235 L+14.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e54…511ebacked TEAM VISION68c800.15$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54428145.6%128 W · 153 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31b9…150bbacked TEAM VISION71c800$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56859254.1%320 W · 272 L+1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x703b…e371backed TEAM VISION43c799.99$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.251544.9%231 W · 284 L+40.9wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+3.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3167…32a2backed TEAM VISION76c789.47$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60012151.2%62 W · 59 L+6.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3741…517ebacked TEAM VISION70c750$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52537047%174 W · 196 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc925…6d24backed TEAM VISION59c717.53$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.2141632.7%136 W · 280 L-37.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-41.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x13ee…01aebacked TEAM VISION70c714$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.266744.8%30 W · 37 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e01…b0b5backed TEAM VISION66c701.74$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46020642.7%88 W · 118 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked TEAM VISION78c701.11$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.31,45848.5%707 W · 751 L+27.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc159…f3c8backed TEAM VISION75c667.16$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50019238.5%74 W · 118 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked Virtus.pro28c617.23$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.4161456%344 W · 270 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1943…1561backed TEAM VISION69c601.92$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.1845352.1%236 W · 217 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5d9…b188backed Virtus.pro42c577.23$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.469855.1%54 W · 44 L+7.5wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked TEAM VISION61c568.8$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.4758746.5%273 W · 314 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e2f…9123backed TEAM VISION73c544.86$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.97341.1%30 W · 43 L-6.1wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked TEAM VISION79c529.32$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.656945.2%257 W · 312 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a3a…269fbacked TEAM VISION76c526.32$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4004050%20 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Virtus.pro16c514.31$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.0210036%36 W · 64 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc564…e89dbacked Virtus.pro10c500$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4489242.4%39 W · 53 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0bd8…a74abacked TEAM VISION19c499.98$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.993116.1%5 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-50.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked TEAM VISION73c490.82$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.2789938%342 W · 557 L-45.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-30%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc3e5…519dbacked TEAM VISION77c440.2$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.0812764.6%82 W · 45 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick70cpaid-8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked TEAM VISION65c439.21$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.3230146.2%139 W · 162 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01b8…82c1backed TEAM VISION60c428.14$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.57728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.32per pick60cpaid-56.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6cb1…1002backed TEAM VISION65c427.25$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.867251.4%37 W · 35 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0758…9532backed TEAM VISION67c414$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.3818437.5%69 W · 115 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked TEAM VISION60c409.61$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.5753538.5%206 W · 329 L-26.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-31.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb787…ad0abacked TEAM VISION76c391.88$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.8314446.5%67 W · 77 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfeb…763ebacked TEAM VISION71c380.28$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27011535.7%41 W · 74 L-6.7wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-24.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed TEAM VISION69c380$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.41,79755.8%1,003 W · 794 L+37.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c9c…e006backed Virtus.pro64c361.38$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.4522663.3%143 W · 83 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5799…db25backed Virtus.pro56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.1446049.8%229 W · 231 L+2.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb82d…c40dbacked Virtus.pro58c343.39$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.395949.2%29 W · 30 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2342…12d6backed Virtus.pro30c334.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.457757.1%44 W · 33 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1318…0af2backed TEAM VISION30c332.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.917633.5%59 W · 117 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked TEAM VISION50c329$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.166545.6%303 W · 362 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Virtus.pro56c318.35$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.072,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x450e…4fddbacked Virtus.pro29c308.61$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.1111758.1%68 W · 49 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.