TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 228.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$125,303
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$126,604

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $125,303 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 220 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6832…831fbacked Over56c6,356$3,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,529.9219246.4%89 W · 103 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under27c5,431$1,474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,956.511,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under48c4,882$2,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,561.781,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over61c4,098$2,484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,483.5593148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over43c3,053$1,309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,308.853842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under76c2,603$1,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.1425352.6%133 W · 120 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over53c2,368$1,249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,248.761,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2ab…8432backed Over28c1,869$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5255446.3%25 W · 29 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7275…8b45backed Under69c1,780$1,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.374245.2%19 W · 23 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-21.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Over1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15981%1 W · 97 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-49%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dba…1d6cbacked Under77c1,407$1,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.57666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over46c1,291$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.722,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Over42c1,290$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.420851.4%107 W · 101 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Over24c1,250$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.995435.2%19 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-31.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Over3c1,154$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.7678639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x47bc…9504backed Over50c1,072$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5365459.3%32 W · 22 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+27.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Under28c1,060$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758.4730551.5%157 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf42a…4b3cbacked Under62c1,024$635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.132259.1%13 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaab1…9678backed Under71c991.02$704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.42268.2%15 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5062…0b34backed Under52c949.66$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.312268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.8wins+0.17per pick51cpaid+75.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under71c896.5$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.072,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb502…9d8bbacked Under65c895.55$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.5530055.7%167 W · 133 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x901d…b6dbbacked Over48c815.4$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.09850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Under52c795.4$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.795937.3%22 W · 37 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over23c760.63$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.5971449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over24c757.99$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.9218445.7%84 W · 100 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6569…a053backed Under15c754.32$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.766141%25 W · 36 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+35.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf752…101cbacked Under79c600$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick65cpaid-30.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under62c548.39$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.3995452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1315…a84abacked Over22c509$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.074850%24 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+28.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd99…76efbacked Under66c500$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1701566.7%10 W · 5 L+3.9wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+94.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under48c499.51$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.191,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x613b…823abacked Under48c475.87$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.0811344.2%50 W · 63 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9a6…0009backed Over29c465.92$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.124254.8%23 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x156e…cf6fbacked Over65c455.29$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.412650%13 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Over38c449.35$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.751,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb82…0675backed Over24c403.75$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.94645.7%21 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb7c…8eabbacked Over51c388.71$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008843.2%38 W · 50 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under55c352.16$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.2152150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd23…e31fbacked Over22c325.76$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.6747354.8%259 W · 214 L+14.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under78c309$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.9854549.5%270 W · 275 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Over51c302.29$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.1236051.7%186 W · 174 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb29c…8acabacked Under67c300$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa712…982cbacked Under54c299.51$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.454261.9%26 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a61…bbb2backed Over24c291.16$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704551.1%23 W · 22 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+28.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Under39c288.42$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.5321848.2%105 W · 113 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+0.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x614b…ca37backed Over47c285.81$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.053043.3%13 W · 17 L-4.1wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-17.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1f1d…5ae6backed Under71c282.84$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.842080%16 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under32c257$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.722,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over47c254.8$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.152861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under58c253.89$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.7668838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5127…de1ebacked Over40c250.54$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017944.1%79 W · 100 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cba…c882backed Over77c250$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.520%0 W · 2 L-1.6wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xaa8f…fd07backed Under40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1502441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5902…59fabacked Over23c250$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.514845.9%68 W · 80 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba3…c891backed Under78c248.76$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.94875%6 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+25.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Over50c244.08$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.0418557.3%106 W · 79 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd34c…10b4backed Under62c241.46$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.462556%14 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+53.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under64c238.3$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.9542842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over24c234$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.9234255.6%190 W · 152 L+28.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+36%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under35c212.61$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.0560250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e4…d1f7backed Over20c210.45$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.1811232.1%36 W · 76 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe94b…5abebacked Under50c210$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1052642.3%11 W · 15 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick33cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xae10…16c4backed Under23c207.95$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.24431.8%14 W · 30 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick36cpaid+1.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over5c206$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.345445.2%205 W · 249 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa706…4b9ebacked Over79c200$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1584259.5%25 W · 17 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa596…15e9backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1008246.3%38 W · 44 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82aa…fe2fbacked Under31c200$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Under76c193.64$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.4318653.2%99 W · 87 L+9.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xca85…7453backed Over25c193.64$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.416346%29 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bc0…af1abacked Over43c190.84$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.66233.9%21 W · 41 L-7.5wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-20.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3c92…c646backed Under53c190.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.27666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+23.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed Over54c182.67$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.646038.3%23 W · 37 L-9.6wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-28.5%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xe9f5…9e94backed Under56c180$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801080%8 W · 2 L+3.1wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+76.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under48c175.65$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.3410944%48 W · 61 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1980…3340backed Over50c174.61$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887152.1%37 W · 34 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2728…4f96backed Over49c171.27$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.9213037.7%49 W · 81 L-14.4wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-24.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x69b9…a5d5backed Under47c170.29$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.543256.3%18 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Under75c167.83$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.963461.8%21 W · 13 L+4.8wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+28.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under48c167.22$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.1925340.3%102 W · 151 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Under75c162.89$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.7227553.5%147 W · 128 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e3e…a78abacked Over24c161.64$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3914237.3%53 W · 89 L-11.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-19.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbe56…0fa6backed Over55c160.78$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.43520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-42.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe827…5209backed Under60c158.16$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.263568.6%24 W · 11 L+6.9wins+0.20per pick49cpaid+35.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x9abb…3f96backed Under64c156.72$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.724052.5%21 W · 19 L-4.3wins-0.11per pick63cpaid-20.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdd1a…b217backed Under31c155$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.12475%3 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.48per pick27cpaid+345.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x07cd…fbebbacked Under52c153.77$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.817360.3%44 W · 29 L+6.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x98bd…8a55backed Over31c153$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.074560%27 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+25.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4c1…6b32backed Under67c148.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.411947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa0…9528backed Over72c145.21$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.920%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5fd6…81f6backed Over80c140.4$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.321782.4%14 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick73cpaid+15.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x55da…74efbacked Under71c140.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.063259.4%19 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x738e…dc37backed Over43c138.55$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.275536.4%20 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Under74c138$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.7820558.5%120 W · 85 L+19.6wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+26.3%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xdb98…0f80backed Under45c132.24$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.731526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-47.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed Over31c129$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9916429.9%49 W · 115 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+24.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Under78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2111239.3%44 W · 68 L-11.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-31%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7de0…7429backed Over78c127.91$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddc4…0270backed Over44c123.93$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5527745.8%127 W · 150 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over23c122.47$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1725954.4%141 W · 118 L+34.1wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+68.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 98. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.