NHL · resolved market
KHL: Avangard Omsk vs. Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3a2675fc06f9157ee7878b57c5e6da1c801402d891481443b4d4f1874b65175
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Neftekhimik Nizhnekamskof Avangard Omsk, Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,241
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,864
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,241 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Avangard Omsk | 77c | 2,937$2,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,258.53 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 23c | 1,991$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.23 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 23c | 1,102$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.3 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 22c | 909.65$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.77 | 519 | 49.5%257 W · 262 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Avangard Omsk | 75c | 882.36$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.11 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 24c | 655.5$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.35 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -9.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b6…c569backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 26c | 546$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.04 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb855…90b2backed Avangard Omsk | 75c | 522.73$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.76 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe489…8fd8backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 26c | 518$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.32 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Avangard Omsk | 76c | 503.29$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.69 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdcc…e679backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 26c | 451$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.74 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.44per pick | 41cpaid | +144%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9412…ecdbbacked Avangard Omsk | 74c | 424$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…695dbacked Avangard Omsk | 74c | 423$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.02 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d3…52d9backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 26c | 359$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.66 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +98.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab06…3617backed Avangard Omsk | 74c | 327$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.98 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Avangard Omsk | 73c | 312.55$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.16 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Avangard Omsk | 76c | 300$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.66 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…daa5backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 27c | 300$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd816…a60ebacked Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 24c | 291.67$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b1…5d52backed Avangard Omsk | 74c | 241$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 24c | 230$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.67 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 21c | 217.46$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.87 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…c830backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 21c | 216.39$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.39 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9635…ae57backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 24c | 215$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +128.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x025d…c171backed Avangard Omsk | 75c | 198.71$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdff2…2e27backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 21c | 193.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.47 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebf6…c629backed Avangard Omsk | 78c | 183.65$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.86 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 43c | 159$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.2 | 270 | 37.4%101 W · 169 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 36c | 154.65$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.44 | 239 | 50.6%121 W · 118 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa706…4b9ebacked Avangard Omsk | 80c | 144$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 48c | 135$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.85 | 173 | 63%109 W · 64 L | +16.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 24c | 128.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.94 | 470 | 24%113 W · 357 L | -44.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2448…86d3backed Avangard Omsk | 74c | 124$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc78…ce73backed Avangard Omsk | 74c | 122$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +74%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 23c | 121.39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.99 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xedf4…e54bbacked Avangard Omsk | 74c | 117$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.58 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 24c | 99.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 924 | 44.5%411 W · 513 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a9…118cbacked Avangard Omsk | 58c | 97.48$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.17 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…97d6backed Avangard Omsk | 74c | 95$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Avangard Omsk | 55c | 94.91$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -7.7wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…a4f0backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 26c | 76.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.02 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 32c | 70.59$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.32 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 20cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed Avangard Omsk | 76c | 62.6$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.78 | 524 | 51%267 W · 257 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…eeb8backed Avangard Omsk | 77c | 57$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.89 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b6…c914backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 42c | 55.11$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.05 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8278…ad93backed Avangard Omsk | 75c | 54.42$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 56 | 76.8%43 W · 13 L | +10.8wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…e4d9backed Avangard Omsk | 57c | 44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.13 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 38c | 40.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.81 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 780 | 38.5%300 W · 480 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5db…b42dbacked Avangard Omsk | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 76cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…b3b6backed Avangard Omsk | 56c | 36.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff7…d3c9backed Avangard Omsk | 70c | 36.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdcc…4601backed Avangard Omsk | 68c | 26.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe10f…c59fbacked Avangard Omsk | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 75cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e80…6910backed Avangard Omsk | 75c | 15.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.