Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Brad Lander win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34c989bada239153e86a009b3d25539db4c86fc4df3e01d320f0bee58a7aef45
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,246,888
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,068,848
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,246,888 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 268 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c66…6b66backed Yes | 0c | 9,788,206$10,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,513.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf54…e5bebacked Yes | 0c | 726,478$1,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,452.96 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8795…7544backed Yes | 0c | 484,444$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.89 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3d…f5d2backed Yes | 0c | 459,713$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.43 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Yes | 0c | 299,998$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aed…e7bbbacked Yes | 0c | 235,377$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 233,999$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316 | 55 | 1.8%1 W · 54 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf8…7e78backed Yes | 0c | 217,003$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.26 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…5db2backed Yes | 0c | 200,366$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 0c | 200,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2336…9e65backed Yes | 0c | 200,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd817…ac33backed Yes | 0c | 199,999$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd0a…c642backed Yes | 0c | 175,141$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.28 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90d9…074abacked Yes | 0c | 140,200$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 0c | 140,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa130…441bbacked Yes | 0c | 139,000$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca9…a160backed Yes | 0c | 125,900$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b80…a225backed Yes | 0c | 124,860$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb01c…2229backed Yes | 0c | 121,950$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf37c…e5aebacked Yes | 0c | 119,770$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3db9…be56backed Yes | 0c | 110,955$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73c3…993ebacked Yes | 0c | 100,999$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +103%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd716…6deabacked Yes | 0c | 100,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4138…2a24backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06ed…b30cbacked Yes | 0c | 97,595$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48f2…1240backed Yes | 0c | 95,704$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca58…5f63backed Yes | 0c | 93,142$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…0974backed Yes | 0c | 92,636$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…58a3backed Yes | 0c | 90,260$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e59…6070backed Yes | 0c | 89,550$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c6…8e6abacked Yes | 0c | 88,900$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2246…d7d0backed Yes | 0c | 85,000$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6caf…f5adbacked Yes | 0c | 82,715$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10e1…7596backed Yes | 0c | 82,070$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41ab…4a03backed Yes | 0c | 82,020$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6532…865abacked Yes | 0c | 75,909$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…e23fbacked Yes | 0c | 75,250$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 72,309$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.62 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdff…d87cbacked Yes | 0c | 69,600$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…580abacked Yes | 0c | 66,300$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…1abcbacked Yes | 0c | 63,950$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 0c | 62,405$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.41 | 44 | 2.3%1 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47ab…95dfbacked Yes | 0c | 50,500$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…f887backed Yes | 0c | 50,385$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7079…2a60backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…82cfbacked Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf74…022cbacked Yes | 0c | 47,000$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5681…cac8backed Yes | 0c | 44,000$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x278b…aa35backed Yes | 0c | 42,840$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa45e…0bfcbacked Yes | 0c | 41,750$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x868e…25a3backed Yes | 0c | 41,000$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf829…1c0ebacked Yes | 0c | 38,000$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd663…cc67backed Yes | 0c | 38,000$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6296…5b9cbacked Yes | 0c | 37,500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 37,353$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.06 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8225…162fbacked Yes | 0c | 37,300$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Yes | 0c | 37,222$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.22 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2138…fc22backed Yes | 0c | 34,000$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 33,398$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.22 | 132 | 0.8%1 W · 131 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e4…6ebfbacked Yes | 0c | 33,196$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9915…d139backed Yes | 0c | 30,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x454c…bd22backed Yes | 0c | 29,207$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.41 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb662…8f55backed Yes | 0c | 28,999$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd6…f6cbbacked Yes | 0c | 28,295$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc6…caf6backed Yes | 0c | 28,200$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Yes | 0c | 27,537$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.07 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…3307backed Yes | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd710…4ce9backed Yes | 0c | 25,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd383…d0bdbacked Yes | 0c | 25,000$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21a1…806bbacked Yes | 0c | 22,500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d26…43aabacked Yes | 0c | 22,224$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x332b…9063backed Yes | 0c | 21,500$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52da…a771backed Yes | 0c | 21,078$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e0…8cc8backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc81…dfc4backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe16a…f402backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea36…f272backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc672…d342backed Yes | 0c | 19,720$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb4b…931bbacked Yes | 0c | 19,295$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd540…d5e8backed Yes | 0c | 18,104$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb7…7e01backed Yes | 0c | 17,197$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d75…e92cbacked Yes | 0c | 16,535$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdfa…07a5backed Yes | 0c | 16,401$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d65…3781backed Yes | 0c | 16,163$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.14 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9186…e111backed Yes | 0c | 15,549$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd05e…8902backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e0…bdf3backed Yes | 0c | 14,700$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb5…83c0backed Yes | 0c | 14,648$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe160…3205backed Yes | 0c | 14,573$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac8…0170backed Yes | 0c | 14,565$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x411f…548cbacked Yes | 0c | 14,000$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac1…5f44backed Yes | 0c | 14,000$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6659…2010backed Yes | 0c | 13,844$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0d…132dbacked Yes | 1c | 13,747$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.3 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f65…3bf1backed Yes | 0c | 13,441$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481e…934fbacked Yes | 0c | 13,246$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3c…1474backed Yes | 0c | 11,150$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e08…3df4backed Yes | 0c | 11,006$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Brad Lander win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?this page
- Will Adrienne Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No won
- Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No won
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No won
- Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No won
- Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No won
- Will Jim Walden win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No won
- Will Michael Bloomberg win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No won
- Will Rudy Giuliani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No won
- Will Scott Stringer win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No won
- Will Zellnor Myrie win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No won
- Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.