TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6659…2010

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
31
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: MLB, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 53 out of 100; worst NBA at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT2254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$9
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.2
Dodgers vs. Philliesbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$9
Tigers vs. Guardiansbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$7.8
Rays vs. Oriolesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.4
Brewers vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$9.2
Guardians vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.2
Cubs vs. Piratesbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.8
Will the Washington Nationals win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$160
Nationals vs. Marlinsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$15.66
Dodgers vs. Piratesbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$15.6
Marlins vs. Nationalsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$9.6
Braves vs. Philliesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.4
Rays vs. Guardiansbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.4
Rockies vs. Piratesbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.2
Cardinals vs. Marlinsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.7
Mariners vs. Oriolesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$17.46
Cubs vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$9.22
Astros vs. Yankeesbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$10.26
Athletics vs. Nationalsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$16.8
Brewers vs. Nationalsbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$7.6
All 22 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick63cpaid-57.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Celtics vs. Pacersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$13.4
Bucks vs. Hornetsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+69.5%+$8.2
Hornets vs. Netsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$12.8
Warriors vs. Magicbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$12.6
All 4 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dolphins vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+61.3%+$7.6
Bears vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$11.8
49ers vs. Saintsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$7.8
All 3 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Rangersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+81.8%+$9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brad Lander win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$27.69
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.