MLB · resolved market
Marlins vs. Nationals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc2fc823a1419ad643c946261cc4aa67a7e3370e0cfeb21cc082cae5b3f29463d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nationalsof Marlins, Nationals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $115,880
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $113,454
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,880 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Nationals | 55c | 20,512$11,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,275.57 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Marlins | 45c | 12,222$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,499.9 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nationals | 69c | 11,406$7,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,550.51 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a27…b9ddbacked Marlins | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Nationals | 52c | 9,907$5,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,755.45 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…f010backed Marlins | 48c | 9,181$4,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,366.28 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe84…779ebacked Nationals | 52c | 9,098$4,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,367.14 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Marlins | 30c | 6,378$1,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,922.57 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Marlins | 45c | 6,300$2,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,835 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Nationals | 54c | 5,448$2,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,513.6 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Marlins | 34c | 4,925$1,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680.68 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Nationals | 52c | 4,139$2,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,986.83 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Nationals | 51c | 2,891$1,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,416.53 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03d4…5f79backed Marlins | 49c | 2,400$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,176 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -47%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Marlins | 39c | 2,337$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Marlins | 46c | 2,142$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.27 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Marlins | 46c | 2,099$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.61 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Marlins | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4a…048ebacked Marlins | 46c | 2,000$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Nationals | 55c | 1,855$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.54 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Marlins | 46c | 1,829$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.06 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9afdbacked Marlins | 46c | 1,413$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62d7…90babacked Nationals | 51c | 1,392$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.08 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Marlins | 48c | 1,332$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.28 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Nationals | 73c | 1,286$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.51 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Nationals | 52c | 1,245$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.89 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Marlins | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Marlins | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.97 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Marlins | 19c | 1,186$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.46 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Nationals | 53c | 1,019$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.87 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…b134backed Nationals | 51c | 1,008$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.92 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 52cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Marlins | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Marlins | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 326 | 51.5%168 W · 158 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Marlins | 48c | 996.54$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.34 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Marlins | 37c | 912$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.88 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Marlins | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Marlins | 48c | 721.19$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.17 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Marlins | 48c | 703.7$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.78 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Marlins | 49c | 637.76$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.5 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Marlins | 47c | 622.03$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.52 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Nationals | 52c | 615.47$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.08 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Marlins | 7c | 600$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 223 | 12.1%27 W · 196 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Marlins | 49c | 583$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.33 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Nationals | 50c | 566$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Nationals | 67c | 565.84$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.7 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Marlins | 47c | 564.61$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.37 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Marlins | 50c | 499.99$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.5 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Marlins | 46c | 499$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.41 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40ab…fbb5backed Marlins | 47c | 476.57$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.99 | 166 | 54.8%91 W · 75 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Marlins | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Marlins | 48c | 385$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.8 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Nationals | 53c | 364.66$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.87 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Nationals | 51c | 362$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.38 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd64b…483cbacked Marlins | 48c | 356.73$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.23 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…4768backed Nationals | 53c | 356.62$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.61 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Marlins | 47c | 349.98$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.49 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Marlins | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Nationals | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f9…3a36backed Marlins | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x870b…2181backed Marlins | 48c | 244.69$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.45 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab9…4669backed Nationals | 53c | 244.62$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.97 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b6…97b7backed Marlins | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Nationals | 53c | 205.06$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.38 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…ff23backed Marlins | 47c | 205$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.35 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa501…9f0fbacked Marlins | 49c | 203$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.47 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -5.6wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa21a…53f7backed Marlins | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Nationals | 51c | 195.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.03 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344d…1278backed Nationals | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ac…76ffbacked Nationals | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -7.0wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Marlins | 6c | 179$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Marlins | 49c | 173.47$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Marlins | 45c | 150$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadc4…1ce3backed Marlins | 44c | 150$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Marlins | 22c | 137.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 544 | 41.2%224 W · 320 L | -22.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1888…e1cbbacked Nationals | 56c | 137.74$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.74 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Nationals | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Marlins | 45c | 111$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Marlins | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Marlins | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b84…9d3bbacked Nationals | 68c | 101.36$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.28 | 183 | 50.3%92 W · 91 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Marlins | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Marlins | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcde…dc58backed Nationals | 52c | 98.08$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.08 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf72…a19fbacked Nationals | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4243…35d1backed Nationals | 65c | 93.65$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.78 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88f5…ee20backed Marlins | 32c | 93.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Marlins | 47c | 82.23$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.65 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2c…4ae8backed Marlins | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffc3…8fffbacked Marlins | 19c | 67.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f54…bd9ebacked Marlins | 49c | 66$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Nationals | 62c | 65.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed2…53f6backed Nationals | 53c | 60.07$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.48 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…ddd7backed Nationals | 52c | 59.69$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.65 | 128 | 57%73 W · 55 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5693…71fdbacked Marlins | 50c | 58.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.19 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfafb…6de6backed Nationals | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Marlins | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.61 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…b3e8backed Nationals | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 291 | 45.4%132 W · 159 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4b…94d4backed Nationals | 52c | 48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 251 | 55.4%139 W · 112 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Marlins | 49c | 47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Marlins | 46c | 44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Marlins vs. Nationalsthis page
- Spread: Marlins (-1.5)Nationals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.