NFL · resolved market
49ers vs. Saints
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2209d272f45481a4815f9311d94067c2cb2b932546298368f2a3322275169fc6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 49ersof 49ers, Saints
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,708,561
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,771,226
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,708,561 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 270 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f9b…3d2cbacked 49ers | 60c | 1,105,191$665,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440,108.09 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Saints | 40c | 279,142$111,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111,474.34 | 418 | 51.9%217 W · 201 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Saints | 39c | 205,384$80,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80,903.79 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Saints | 39c | 179,566$69,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69,946.07 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Saints | 40c | 59,191$23,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,676.48 | 206 | 34.5%71 W · 135 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Saints | 36c | 47,931$17,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,468.63 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Saints | 40c | 47,629$19,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,127.89 | 195 | 53.8%105 W · 90 L | +16.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ae…2a5fbacked Saints | 40c | 45,000$18,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,000 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Saints | 39c | 42,865$16,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,828.2 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9804…6896backed 49ers | 61c | 40,000$24,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,800 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 61cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Saints | 40c | 40,000$16,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,000 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked 49ers | 65c | 33,299$21,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,791.43 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Saints | 31c | 33,190$10,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,375.3 | 611 | 48.6%297 W · 314 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe686…13cbbacked Saints | 41c | 30,000$12,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,399.98 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Saints | 40c | 27,605$11,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,030.44 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed 49ers | 67c | 27,500$18,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,050 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Saints | 24c | 26,145$6,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,283.8 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked 49ers | 62c | 23,736$14,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,009.06 | 105 | 66.7%70 W · 35 L | +12.6wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Saints | 19c | 22,059$4,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,227.46 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Saints | 39c | 20,172$7,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,867.17 | 246 | 52%128 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked 49ers | 62c | 20,000$12,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,600 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Saints | 39c | 17,871$7,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,011.35 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Saints | 39c | 16,530$6,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,446.7 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Saints | 40c | 16,442$6,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,576.83 | 245 | 51%125 W · 120 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Saints | 33c | 15,595$5,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,158.25 | 115 | 44.3%51 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x843d…e617backed Saints | 39c | 15,000$5,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,850 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed 49ers | 72c | 14,402$10,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,007.88 | 195 | 51.3%100 W · 95 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea34…0a92backed Saints | 30c | 13,903$4,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,170.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Saints | 40c | 13,821$5,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,528.47 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Saints | 40c | 13,600$5,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,374.06 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Saints | 32c | 12,942$4,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,141.32 | 106 | 39.6%42 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed 49ers | 61c | 11,090$6,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,273.1 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Saints | 9c | 10,292$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.24 | 419 | 47.3%198 W · 221 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…c4e5backed Saints | 39c | 10,168$3,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,993 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Saints | 39c | 10,000$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5646…3819backed Saints | 39c | 10,000$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Saints | 40c | 6,250$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 373 | 50.9%190 W · 183 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Saints | 36c | 6,199$2,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,262.31 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Saints | 33c | 5,545$1,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,813.1 | 128 | 27.3%35 W · 93 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed 49ers | 59c | 5,403$3,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,212.47 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed 49ers | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Saints | 40c | 5,000$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,009.99 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Saints | 39c | 4,683$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,839.54 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Saints | 40c | 4,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed 49ers | 75c | 3,865$2,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.52 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked 49ers | 60c | 3,435$2,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,374.06 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Saints | 9c | 3,195$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.63 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb27f…8908backed 49ers | 69c | 3,000$2,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Saints | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 176 | 9.1%16 W · 160 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Saints | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…06ffbacked 49ers | 75c | 3,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…f010backed Saints | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.99 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Saints | 34c | 2,964$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.41 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Saints | 36c | 2,687$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.81 | 318 | 54.7%174 W · 144 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ff…c93bbacked Saints | 42c | 2,381$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked 49ers | 66c | 2,339$1,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.29 | 320 | 50.9%163 W · 157 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Saints | 40c | 2,100$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 397 | 54.4%216 W · 181 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Saints | 41c | 2,092$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.23 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bff…331cbacked 49ers | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Saints | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.95 | 121 | 38.8%47 W · 74 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Saints | 40c | 1,925$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.16 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked 49ers | 59c | 1,900$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779 | 206 | 61.2%126 W · 80 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd0…7b4fbacked Saints | 36c | 1,777$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.24 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…e305backed 49ers | 73c | 1,720$1,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.23 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed 49ers | 60c | 1,614$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.62 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Saints | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…114dbacked Saints | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Saints | 26c | 1,496$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.99 | 162 | 54.9%89 W · 73 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed 49ers | 67c | 1,464$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.98 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…c3b9backed 49ers | 60c | 1,400$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7308…c177backed Saints | 40c | 1,393$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.44 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Saints | 23c | 1,391$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.21 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Saints | 40c | 1,365$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.69 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Saints | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +6.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Saints | 40c | 1,175$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Saints | 2c | 1,165$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Saints | 40c | 1,100$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Saints | 39c | 1,012$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.68 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked 49ers | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked 49ers | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Saints | 40c | 1,000$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 415 | 40.2%167 W · 248 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Saints | 40c | 888$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.2 | 205 | 55.6%114 W · 91 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked Saints | 41c | 689.18$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.07 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed 49ers | 77c | 654.47$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.06 | 310 | 56.8%176 W · 134 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf05…70dabacked 49ers | 77c | 647.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.4 | 147 | 63.9%94 W · 53 L | +12.0wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Saints | 19c | 633.41$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.73 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | -6.5wins | -0.19per pick | 37cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Saints | 40c | 609.33$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.16 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Saints | 42c | 600$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Saints | 40c | 600$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -7.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Saints | 41c | 578$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.98 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…916bbacked 49ers | 62c | 564.52$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Saints | 24c | 533.41$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.02 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Saints | 14c | 522.12$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 142 | 15.5%22 W · 120 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…5412backed 49ers | 61c | 521.06$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.52 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Saints | 40c | 502.75$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.1 | 133 | 35.3%47 W · 86 L | -9.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6f…25f0backed 49ers | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0adb…7693backed Saints | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +5.9wins | +0.14per pick | 17cpaid | +86.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked 49ers | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Saints | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed 49ers | 62c | 500$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.5 | 139 | 35.3%49 W · 90 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 49ers vs. Saintsthis page
- 49ers vs. Saints: O/U 40.5Over won
- Spread: 49ers (-2.5)49ers won
- Spread: 49ers (-3.5)49ers won
- Spread: 49ers (-4.5)49ers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.