MLB · resolved market
Brewers vs. Nationals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaeedc25a8afb10ab80478905350bd610a7c62ea6e9ea5aec69a552e5fd6e0442
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brewersof Brewers, Nationals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $362,662
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $368,461
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $362,662 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x461f…7a07backed Brewers | 58c | 174,172$101,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73,152.36 | 120 | 43.3%52 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Nationals | 42c | 77,663$32,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,440.58 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Brewers | 59c | 46,623$27,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,114.84 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Nationals | 41c | 35,520$14,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,705.67 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Nationals | 42c | 23,809$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,999.78 | 171 | 56.1%96 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Nationals | 42c | 23,044$9,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,678.34 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Nationals | 40c | 22,822$9,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,128.82 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Nationals | 42c | 20,349$8,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,546.58 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Nationals | 42c | 20,000$8,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,400.04 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Brewers | 60c | 20,000$12,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,000 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Nationals | 42c | 10,400$4,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,368 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1275…5b87backed Nationals | 0c | 8,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 129 | 24.8%32 W · 97 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Nationals | 31c | 7,666$2,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,401.23 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Brewers | 61c | 6,922$4,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,716.6 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Nationals | 39c | 6,618$2,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,574.76 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Nationals | 0c | 5,100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe84…779ebacked Nationals | 39c | 5,021$1,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,958.19 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Nationals | 42c | 4,800$1,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,996.5 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dae…f8b2backed Nationals | 38c | 4,567$1,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,735.42 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18ca…9bf2backed Brewers | 61c | 3,636$2,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,418.04 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Nationals | 42c | 3,322$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395.25 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Nationals | 20c | 2,874$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.32 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9afdbacked Brewers | 61c | 2,623$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.95 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Nationals | 40c | 2,513$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.14 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nationals | 13c | 2,410$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.84 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ad…45f9backed Nationals | 42c | 2,381$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Brewers | 66c | 2,163$1,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.11 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Nationals | 41c | 2,106$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.36 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Brewers | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Nationals | 17c | 1,850$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.5 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Brewers | 61c | 1,834$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.5 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…66abbacked Brewers | 80c | 1,788$1,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Nationals | 42c | 1,700$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Nationals | 42c | 1,440$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.8 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Nationals | 42c | 1,346$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.34 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Nationals | 42c | 1,191$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.22 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Nationals | 41c | 1,094$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.69 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Nationals | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Nationals | 40c | 965.82$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.16 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Nationals | 13c | 907.69$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c53…c9b0backed Nationals | 39c | 828.4$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.61 | 64 | 25%16 W · 48 L | -8.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Brewers | 62c | 800$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Brewers | 59c | 800$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Nationals | 40c | 761.68$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.67 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Brewers | 60c | 735.88$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.35 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Nationals | 1c | 729.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Nationals | 26c | 696.94$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.05 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Brewers | 61c | 657.6$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.46 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Brewers | 62c | 645.16$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.16 | 230 | 60%138 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba9e…97c0backed Brewers | 59c | 515.1$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.19 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeefb…d354backed Nationals | 42c | 509.52$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Nationals | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Brewers | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Brewers | 61c | 499.96$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.98 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7836…6bc4backed Nationals | 38c | 497.37$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa2bf…2ab3backed Brewers | 59c | 484.44$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.62 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x051a…98b9backed Nationals | 41c | 482$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Nationals | 42c | 468$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.56 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41e…d27dbacked Brewers | 63c | 467.5$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.5 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Nationals | 9c | 448.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.38 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Brewers | 58c | 413.79$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.79 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Nationals | 39c | 350$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.5 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Nationals | 36c | 349.96$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.99 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x954b…ad5ebacked Nationals | 24c | 333.33$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Nationals | 37c | 319.99$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.4 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Nationals | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed Nationals | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…f330backed Brewers | 58c | 294.71$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.78 | 146 | 49.3%72 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d41…b025backed Nationals | 39c | 290$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…d594backed Brewers | 62c | 288$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +123.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Nationals | 38c | 264$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Brewers | 62c | 254.84$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.84 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Brewers | 62c | 250$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Nationals | 42c | 250$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Brewers | 61c | 239.99$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Brewers | 57c | 232.56$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x108d…508abacked Nationals | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Nationals | 18c | 231.44$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.66 | 223 | 12.1%27 W · 196 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88ae…41a4backed Nationals | 41c | 223.16$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.5 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Brewers | 59c | 220$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.2 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Nationals | 42c | 216.42$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.26 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Nationals | 19c | 215.58$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.96 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Nationals | 9c | 200$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Nationals | 5c | 200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Nationals | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 171 | 39.2%67 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Nationals | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 312 | 44.2%138 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Nationals | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x639e…a9d4backed Nationals | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Brewers | 58c | 190$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.8 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…2486backed Brewers | 60c | 185.27$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.11 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Brewers | 71c | 174.47$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.27 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Brewers | 59c | 170.73$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 122 | 48.4%59 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed Brewers | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 212 | 42.5%90 W · 122 L | -13.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb5…da2cbacked Brewers | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Brewers | 59c | 169.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.14 | 312 | 54.5%170 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02c…2cf8backed Brewers | 59c | 168$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.88 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…d9a9backed Brewers | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7d…7e36backed Brewers | 64c | 157.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.31 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Brewers | 64c | 157.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.03 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Brewers | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.