MLB · resolved market
Athletics vs. Nationals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf687214f7b99d40e7ec2ac558c630475f1cdd23ec6bdca22fc8104e37da1972f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Athleticsof Athletics, Nationals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $112,395
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $114,598
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,395 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x033b…2f6bbacked Nationals | 9c | 11,479$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.27 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Nationals | 10c | 11,170$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114.13 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Nationals | 0c | 10,611$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Nationals | 55c | 8,943$4,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,917.47 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Nationals | 56c | 6,900$3,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,863.88 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nationals | 10c | 5,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Nationals | 16c | 3,791$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.43 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Athletics | 45c | 3,634$1,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,998.87 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…1742backed Nationals | 15c | 3,387$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.08 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Athletics | 44c | 2,743$1,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,536.18 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Nationals | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e4…2b48backed Athletics | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81ad…7cfabacked Nationals | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x002d…c2a5backed Athletics | 45c | 1,956$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Athletics | 46c | 1,833$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.52 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Athletics | 46c | 1,775$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.35 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f5…0c82backed Athletics | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…d17bbacked Nationals | 55c | 1,309$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.95 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f1…ab0abacked Athletics | 45c | 1,300$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbff1…3f4fbacked Nationals | 55c | 1,299$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.44 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7367…fed2backed Athletics | 45c | 1,200$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05e6…669abacked Athletics | 45c | 1,200$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Nationals | 10c | 1,180$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Athletics | 46c | 1,133$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.61 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67fd…2b74backed Athletics | 45c | 1,100$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.05 | 166 | 51.8%86 W · 80 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf637…d92ebacked Nationals | 55c | 1,091$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.05 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Athletics | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.96 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d30…cde3backed Nationals | 55c | 1,045$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.75 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.36per pick | 53cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Athletics | 44c | 1,016$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.33 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Athletics | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Athletics | 45c | 999.99$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.99 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb2…7a7abacked Nationals | 55c | 992$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Nationals | 54c | 968.92$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.22 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7e…7bb1backed Nationals | 55c | 964$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3b…7cf5backed Nationals | 55c | 955$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.25 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Nationals | 1c | 933.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Athletics | 46c | 861.11$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.11 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21aa…515fbacked Nationals | 55c | 800$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.40per pick | 54cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Nationals | 53c | 711.75$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.23 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe84…779ebacked Athletics | 45c | 678$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.9 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Nationals | 55c | 580.37$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.2 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Nationals | 54c | 572.28$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.03 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Nationals | 53c | 565.6$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.77 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Athletics | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae09…fa6dbacked Nationals | 54c | 459.98$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.39 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…c13ebacked Athletics | 44c | 438.75$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.7 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2434…9b23backed Nationals | 55c | 432.73$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f1…4596backed Athletics | 46c | 432.67$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.64 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Athletics | 44c | 400$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Nationals | 27c | 377.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.97 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Nationals | 54c | 357.1$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.84 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Nationals | 54c | 353.58$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.93 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Athletics | 43c | 349.94$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.47 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Nationals | 55c | 342$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.1 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Nationals | 54c | 310.17$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.49 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28e0…d2fabacked Athletics | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Athletics | 46c | 282$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.28 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95de…42d5backed Athletics | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Nationals | 10c | 250.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.07 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Athletics | 44c | 234.09$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.09 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Nationals | 55c | 227.27$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -9.4wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Athletics | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Nationals | 55c | 218.18$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Athletics | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Athletics | 47c | 213.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.19 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Athletics | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Nationals | 24c | 197.92$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Athletics | 45c | 189$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.95 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Athletics | 45c | 183.6$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.98 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b6…3263backed Nationals | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Athletics | 46c | 163.04$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.04 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Athletics | 45c | 149.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.49 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc458…b0e9backed Athletics | 44c | 147.73$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.73 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Athletics | 76c | 135.42$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb579…f458backed Athletics | 45c | 133.46$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.46 | 355 | 51.5%183 W · 172 L | +24.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…ac8dbacked Athletics | 44c | 131.82$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.82 | 268 | 45.5%122 W · 146 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4354…571fbacked Nationals | 55c | 127.27$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 134 | 56.7%76 W · 58 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Athletics | 45c | 109.01$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.06 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7d…0a62backed Athletics | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Nationals | 54c | 106.84$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.7 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75b6…8ad0backed Nationals | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Athletics | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Athletics | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 249 | 51.8%129 W · 120 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…f330backed Nationals | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 146 | 49.3%72 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b84…9d3bbacked Nationals | 12c | 92.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 183 | 50.3%92 W · 91 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Nationals | 56c | 80.36$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ab…f2a9backed Athletics | 45c | 80$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 426 | 51.2%218 W · 208 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca7f…fb42backed Nationals | 55c | 72.16$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e11…1dc5backed Nationals | 57c | 68.42$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Athletics | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 512 | 45.1%231 W · 281 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Athletics | 46c | 67.72$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.57 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6627…4bedbacked Athletics | 45c | 59.22$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d9…dab5backed Nationals | 56c | 58.93$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a95…9bbbbacked Nationals | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd287…7485backed Athletics | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 543 | 52.3%284 W · 259 L | +27.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf067…5018backed Nationals | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6445…c1cbbacked Athletics | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x126c…04c6backed Athletics | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd26e…d5cfbacked Nationals | 56c | 41.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x860e…ccc0backed Athletics | 45c | 40.78$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.