MLB · resolved market
Guardians vs. Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfaf68683c819f80566954fa3588d1ea29c87b9bd134171e280bc89d5b92790b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Guardiansof Guardians, Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $889,149
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $883,536
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $889,149 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 269 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Guardians | 33c | 597,347$197,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399,707.62 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Tigers | 62c | 129,930$80,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80,978.92 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Tigers | 67c | 121,555$81,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81,441.83 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Tigers | 67c | 113,000$75,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75,930 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Tigers | 66c | 88,479$58,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,139.91 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Tigers | 67c | 79,991$53,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,769.03 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Guardians | 35c | 53,703$18,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,157 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Tigers | 67c | 39,797$26,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,664.25 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Tigers | 38c | 37,122$14,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,008.51 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Tigers | 67c | 20,000$13,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,400 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Tigers | 66c | 18,031$11,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,900.29 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa983…46a3backed Tigers | 72c | 16,153$11,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,550 | 113 | 45.1%51 W · 62 L | -16.4wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Guardians | 45c | 15,791$7,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,635.95 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | -12.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Guardians | 32c | 13,419$4,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,124.7 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Guardians | 38c | 12,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,500 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Tigers | 67c | 12,000$8,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,040 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Tigers | 66c | 8,724$5,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,775.9 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Guardians | 34c | 7,000$2,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,619.89 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde32…700cbacked Tigers | 68c | 6,910$4,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,698.51 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Tigers | 67c | 5,555$3,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,721.85 | 84 | 64.3%54 W · 30 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0b…a747backed Guardians | 35c | 4,959$1,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,223.08 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Tigers | 63c | 4,570$2,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,885.79 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Tigers | 65c | 3,610$2,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,346.49 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb27f…8908backed Tigers | 66c | 3,000$1,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,967.99 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Tigers | 50c | 2,920$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470.2 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd123…d341backed Tigers | 56c | 2,896$1,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,611.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Guardians | 46c | 2,799$1,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,514.27 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Tigers | 65c | 2,740$1,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,780.68 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Tigers | 67c | 2,705$1,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,812.08 | 115 | 44.3%51 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Guardians | 31c | 2,588$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,793.75 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Tigers | 67c | 2,500$1,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,675 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc913…e51cbacked Tigers | 62c | 2,213$1,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,371.93 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Tigers | 27c | 2,135$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.59 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Tigers | 68c | 1,969$1,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,338.92 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Tigers | 56c | 1,932$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.34 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Guardians | 53c | 1,901$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.33 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Tigers | 67c | 1,884$1,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,261.25 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Tigers | 6c | 1,806$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.11 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9718…fa5dbacked Guardians | 34c | 1,801$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188.66 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd287…7485backed Guardians | 34c | 1,625$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.22 | 543 | 52.3%284 W · 259 L | +27.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Tigers | 25c | 1,570$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.95 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa468…816ebacked Tigers | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Guardians | 34c | 1,470$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.2 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Tigers | 65c | 1,469$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.1 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Guardians | 35c | 1,428$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.2 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Guardians | 34c | 1,182$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.75 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Guardians | 35c | 1,143$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.86 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Tigers | 67c | 1,057$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.19 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ab…f2a9backed Guardians | 35c | 1,050$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683 | 426 | 51.2%218 W · 208 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf6…5200backed Guardians | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e08…9726backed Tigers | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Guardians | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Guardians | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Guardians | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Guardians | 35c | 999.99$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.99 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d1…f279backed Tigers | 65c | 932.51$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.13 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Guardians | 34c | 924.19$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.45 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac1…5f0fbacked Guardians | 35c | 885$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.1 | 342 | 57.6%197 W · 145 L | +25.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Tigers | 56c | 833.92$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.58 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Tigers | 53c | 826.81$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.51 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Guardians | 34c | 799.99$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.99 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7db7…d372backed Tigers | 67c | 777.52$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.94 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Tigers | 66c | 757.58$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 230 | 60%138 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Guardians | 75c | 750$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.5 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6360…c981backed Guardians | 35c | 700$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455 | 252 | 55.6%140 W · 112 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Guardians | 34c | 635.29$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.29 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…7becbacked Tigers | 43c | 625.13$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.27 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea1…56f2backed Guardians | 34c | 619$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.54 | 124 | 36.3%45 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Tigers | 66c | 618.11$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.74 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Tigers | 67c | 607.38$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.56 | 413 | 46.7%193 W · 220 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Guardians | 32c | 606.99$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.22 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Tigers | 67c | 601$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.67 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Guardians | 33c | 530.83$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.66 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Guardians | 34c | 529.41$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.41 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Guardians | 34c | 519.99$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.19 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Guardians | 33c | 500$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Guardians | 32c | 499.97$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.98 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +6.2wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Tigers | 55c | 489$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.7 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e34…d38bbacked Guardians | 35c | 450$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293 | 239 | 57.7%138 W · 101 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fce…28f8backed Guardians | 40c | 449.05$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.44 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Tigers | 25c | 442.86$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.49 | 331 | 37.5%124 W · 207 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Guardians | 25c | 394.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.2 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Guardians | 34c | 384.17$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.55 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Guardians | 50c | 375.39$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.05 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Tigers | 65c | 373.86$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.16 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8562…b772backed Guardians | 35c | 370$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93d2…49cebacked Tigers | 65c | 369.98$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Tigers | 65c | 369.3$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.05 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5313…2cbebacked Guardians | 35c | 349.99$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76d0…008cbacked Tigers | 65c | 349.99$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Tigers | 68c | 344.4$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.19 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dce…38ecbacked Tigers | 73c | 332.82$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.06 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…b19fbacked Tigers | 57c | 328.17$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda4f…e43bbacked Tigers | 66c | 306.09$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.02 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ae…3808backed Tigers | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc8…9073backed Tigers | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Guardians | 33c | 300$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Guardians | 34c | 300$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Guardians | 35c | 299.99$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Tigers | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Guardians vs. Tigersthis page
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5Under won
- NRFI: Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit TigersYes won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.