MLB · resolved market
Astros vs. Yankees
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x727ade6579c45e6cb2c46287eb07f6b80461ef14399758ab1e80b2a20df57639
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Astrosof Astros, Yankees
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $462,374
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $494,324
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $462,374 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 253 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x461f…7a07backed Astros | 49c | 126,853$62,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64,695.05 | 120 | 43.3%52 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Yankees | 51c | 82,200$41,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,922 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Astros | 49c | 40,666$19,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,739.66 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Yankees | 51c | 29,036$14,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,919.26 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Yankees | 50c | 28,463$14,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,368.21 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a14…e79fbacked Yankees | 51c | 25,457$12,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,983.07 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Astros | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,199.95 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Yankees | 51c | 16,000$8,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,160 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Yankees | 49c | 14,957$7,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,398.64 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Yankees | 39c | 12,677$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Astros | 54c | 11,448$6,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,235.15 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dae…f8b2backed Yankees | 56c | 10,821$6,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,008.93 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yankees | 61c | 10,354$6,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,273.75 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Yankees | 47c | 10,195$4,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,804.21 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e28…9bc8backed Astros | 49c | 10,150$5,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,126.5 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Yankees | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yankees | 51c | 9,500$4,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,845 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Astros | 51c | 8,399$4,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,125.4 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Yankees | 50c | 7,377$3,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,720.61 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Astros | 49c | 7,130$3,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,631.1 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Yankees | 50c | 6,667$3,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,333.42 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Astros | 51c | 6,588$3,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,227.94 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Yankees | 51c | 6,466$3,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,297.66 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Astros | 44c | 6,386$2,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,556.53 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yankees | 49c | 5,617$2,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,752.78 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Yankees | 49c | 5,234$2,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,575.18 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…d7fcbacked Yankees | 50c | 5,002$2,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500.88 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…8091backed Astros | 50c | 4,416$2,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,197.8 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Yankees | 35c | 3,834$1,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,322.75 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Astros | 51c | 3,601$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,770.63 | 390 | 56.9%222 W · 168 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Astros | 50c | 3,471$1,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,721.51 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yankees | 49c | 3,300$1,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,632.98 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Yankees | 47c | 3,140$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,489.94 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3751…7dfdbacked Astros | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fec…62f0backed Yankees | 50c | 2,840$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420.01 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa24…3d23backed Yankees | 50c | 2,800$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Astros | 58c | 2,749$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.64 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Astros | 60c | 2,718$1,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.42 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yankees | 51c | 2,400$1,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,221.46 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Yankees | 14c | 2,130$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.08 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ad…45f9backed Yankees | 51c | 2,050$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.5 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5681…cac8backed Astros | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Yankees | 50c | 1,961$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.22 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ec…6933backed Yankees | 51c | 1,900$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Yankees | 35c | 1,728$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Yankees | 47c | 1,643$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.4 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Yankees | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Astros | 50c | 1,520$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c53…30cdbacked Astros | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Astros | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.54 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Yankees | 51c | 1,449$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.97 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Astros | 55c | 1,413$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.36 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Astros | 50c | 1,400$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.19 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Yankees | 51c | 1,400$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Yankees | 50c | 1,300$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Astros | 57c | 1,267$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.78 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…3464backed Astros | 53c | 1,233$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.66 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Astros | 34c | 1,116$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.36 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Yankees | 52c | 1,058$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.16 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Yankees | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Astros | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x419d…7817backed Astros | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +4.4wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Yankees | 62c | 965.14$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.79 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yankees | 52c | 959.95$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.32 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc145…4ce3backed Astros | 50c | 910$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea93…8159backed Yankees | 51c | 909.8$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa44e…40b6backed Astros | 49c | 899.99$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +44%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x996c…d8b9backed Astros | 51c | 889.25$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.35 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75b1…e2e8backed Yankees | 52c | 751.07$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Yankees | 48c | 749.9$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.45 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Astros | 43c | 701.55$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.67 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67fd…2b74backed Astros | 50c | 700$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 166 | 51.8%86 W · 80 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Astros | 54c | 667.04$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.32 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5613…10c9backed Astros | 49c | 650$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40ab…fbb5backed Astros | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 166 | 54.8%91 W · 75 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Astros | 49c | 610$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.59 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Astros | 44c | 600$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbfd…1be9backed Yankees | 51c | 589$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.39 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Yankees | 51c | 587.98$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.87 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yankees | 49c | 570$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.42 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | +8.9wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28e0…d2fabacked Astros | 51c | 552.94$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.94 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9afdbacked Yankees | 49c | 548.98$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Astros | 48c | 527.22$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.43 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Astros | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yankees | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Astros | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfae…30a3backed Astros | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Astros | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yankees | 47c | 499.99$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.99 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Yankees | 49c | 454.97$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.8 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked Yankees | 52c | 438.76$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.16 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -6.2wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…57b6backed Astros | 50c | 432.24$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.12 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -4.7wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -39%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7580…cb71backed Yankees | 60c | 412.65$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.82 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95de…42d5backed Astros | 73c | 411.64$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.64 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Yankees | 48c | 404.9$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.35 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Yankees | 45c | 400.63$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.28 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…5d47backed Astros | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ca…c635backed Yankees | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…323cbacked Yankees | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb070…96f7backed Yankees | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.