MLB · resolved market
Dodgers vs. Pirates
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50d5815d9b2f52c0c5b53992fa88119716e0cc6e06bbd6dc80e595733cea32ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Piratesof Dodgers, Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,043,376
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,062,433
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,043,376 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 579 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Pirates | 49c | 542,661$265,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277,477.81 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Dodgers | 51c | 164,841$83,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83,538.57 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Dodgers | 51c | 112,500$57,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,375 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Dodgers | 51c | 67,000$34,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,170 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccdb…ffa9backed Dodgers | 51c | 58,824$30,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,000 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 62cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Dodgers | 51c | 56,867$28,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,923.12 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Dodgers | 51c | 52,420$26,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,839.17 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Dodgers | 51c | 52,060$26,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,800.6 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Dodgers | 46c | 34,994$16,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,199.81 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Dodgers | 51c | 32,276$16,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,448 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Dodgers | 50c | 30,000$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f4…55c1backed Dodgers | 20c | 21,706$4,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,392 | 64 | 17.2%11 W · 53 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Dodgers | 51c | 18,518$9,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,444 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Dodgers | 51c | 17,000$8,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,670 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Pirates | 52c | 16,568$8,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,940.67 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf137…a557backed Pirates | 49c | 15,820$7,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,068.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb37c…164ebacked Dodgers | 51c | 15,670$7,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,991.7 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Pirates | 47c | 15,000$7,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,949.99 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x823c…0425backed Pirates | 50c | 14,950$7,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,475.03 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa983…46a3backed Dodgers | 50c | 12,568$6,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,305 | 113 | 45.1%51 W · 62 L | -16.4wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Dodgers | 53c | 11,321$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Dodgers | 41c | 10,950$4,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,451.83 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pirates | 52c | 10,168$5,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,881.31 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Dodgers | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Pirates | 49c | 9,934$4,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,066.51 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Dodgers | 50c | 9,435$4,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,754.73 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…f010backed Dodgers | 51c | 8,000$4,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,080 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Dodgers | 31c | 7,000$2,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,146.15 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +38%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Dodgers | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Dodgers | 53c | 5,708$3,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,014.91 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Dodgers | 52c | 5,343$2,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,753.74 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Pirates | 73c | 4,734$3,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280.1 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Dodgers | 52c | 4,300$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,249.96 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Dodgers | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb10e…beedbacked Dodgers | 44c | 3,984$1,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749.12 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Dodgers | 3c | 2,378$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Dodgers | 44c | 2,268$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998 | 122 | 48.4%59 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Pirates | 45c | 2,210$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218.57 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Dodgers | 48c | 2,138$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.4 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Dodgers | 53c | 2,135$1,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,131.55 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54cd…71b9backed Pirates | 47c | 2,100$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Dodgers | 52c | 2,017$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.78 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…c516backed Pirates | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Dodgers | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 98 | 62.2%61 W · 37 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Dodgers | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.97 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Dodgers | 52c | 1,939$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4f…4cd8backed Pirates | 47c | 1,900$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13ec…a343backed Pirates | 49c | 1,865$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 46cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Pirates | 57c | 1,753$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Dodgers | 48c | 1,700$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.5 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Pirates | 46c | 1,572$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.89 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Dodgers | 1c | 1,531$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Pirates | 48c | 1,531$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.02 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Dodgers | 51c | 1,471$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.21 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Dodgers | 17c | 1,429$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.3 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Dodgers | 49c | 1,400$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25f2…edf8backed Dodgers | 51c | 1,200$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Dodgers | 45c | 1,196$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.2 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Dodgers | 3c | 1,121$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Pirates | 47c | 1,111$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.82 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3661…b27cbacked Dodgers | 53c | 1,057$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.21 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4156…f282backed Dodgers | 53c | 1,043$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.79 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Pirates | 67c | 1,024$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.83 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Dodgers | 52c | 1,020$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.4 | 390 | 56.9%222 W · 168 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1045…6cf8backed Dodgers | 53c | 1,019$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.07 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4a…048ebacked Dodgers | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92ed…82c6backed Dodgers | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Dodgers | 52c | 982.99$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.15 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd018…cf6ebacked Dodgers | 53c | 981$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.93 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.40per pick | 54cpaid | -74%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6fff…d4b2backed Dodgers | 53c | 955$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e9…0b33backed Dodgers | 53c | 944.82$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.75 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…ad0abacked Pirates | 46c | 930.04$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.22 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Pirates | 48c | 833.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.33 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…430dbacked Dodgers | 38c | 824.59$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.75 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3751…7dfdbacked Pirates | 56c | 821.51$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.47 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…4768backed Dodgers | 53c | 812.28$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.51 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Pirates | 49c | 799.99$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.99 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Dodgers | 41c | 783.91$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.1 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Dodgers | 46c | 781.37$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Pirates | 54c | 722.72$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.49 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Dodgers | 3c | 703.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Dodgers | 56c | 702.3$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.29 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -9.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Dodgers | 52c | 700$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Pirates | 47c | 699.99$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.99 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b79…722bbacked Dodgers | 45c | 696.71$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Pirates | 54c | 651.56$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.43 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Pirates | 46c | 643.98$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.75 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Dodgers | 52c | 641$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.64 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Pirates | 47c | 638$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.14 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…017dbacked Dodgers | 55c | 634$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Pirates | 62c | 623.93$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.6 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Dodgers | 7c | 571.21$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.58 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…3cfcbacked Dodgers | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3545…741dbacked Pirates | 51c | 562.75$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.75 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…57b6backed Dodgers | 51c | 558.63$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.9 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -4.7wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -39%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Pirates | 61c | 545.61$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.04 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Dodgers | 49c | 506.81$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.08 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Dodgers | 39c | 500.05$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.02 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Dodgers | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 223 | 12.1%27 W · 196 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Dodgers | 53c | 418.64$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.88 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dodgers vs. Piratesthis page
- Dodgers vs. Pirates: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Dodgers (-1.5)Pirates won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.