MLB · resolved market
Rays vs. Guardians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8806d494284228210c81493baedce1dcb64dfe035bb7fee600ec47c590df12a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Guardiansof Rays, Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $123,656
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $121,576
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $123,656 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 358 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1117…3532backed Rays | 49c | 50,000$24,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,500 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Guardians | 51c | 44,123$22,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,620.13 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Guardians | 51c | 8,000$4,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,919.97 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Rays | 18c | 6,573$1,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,205.24 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Rays | 48c | 5,048$2,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,423.22 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Rays | 3c | 5,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Guardians | 52c | 4,922$2,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,367.18 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Guardians | 51c | 4,634$2,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,268.71 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Rays | 44c | 4,447$1,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,969.86 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Rays | 25c | 1,912$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.57 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b8…b745backed Guardians | 52c | 1,800$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Rays | 48c | 1,800$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Guardians | 51c | 1,350$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.44 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Rays | 49c | 1,240$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.7 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Guardians | 52c | 916.92$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.12 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Rays | 47c | 899.92$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.96 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Rays | 49c | 805.67$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.73 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rays | 13c | 726.96$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.91 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Guardians | 52c | 593$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.64 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Guardians | 77c | 578.38$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.08 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Rays | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Rays | 49c | 450$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.5 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Rays | 47c | 444.44$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.89 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Rays | 3c | 410$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Rays | 49c | 408$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Rays | 48c | 376.16$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.56 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Rays | 47c | 349.98$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.49 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b02…393ebacked Rays | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Rays | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089d…c7c9backed Rays | 14c | 295$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.33 | 107 | 13.1%14 W · 93 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Guardians | 52c | 279.98$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.39 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x516a…84f6backed Guardians | 52c | 274.75$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.88 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -11.6wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Rays | 8c | 265.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…bd9abacked Guardians | 51c | 250$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Guardians | 51c | 249.98$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.49 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Rays | 11c | 237.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Rays | 44c | 231.25$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 201 | 38.8%78 W · 123 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe920…e742backed Guardians | 52c | 230.77$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.77 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Rays | 48c | 209$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Rays | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4779…211fbacked Rays | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…afbbbacked Guardians | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2019…a6a9backed Guardians | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7620…b9eabacked Rays | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3236…8f9ebacked Guardians | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd6…966cbacked Guardians | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc94…72debacked Rays | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67b8…729cbacked Guardians | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | +8.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba6…8340backed Guardians | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c32…3b86backed Rays | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb290…27c5backed Guardians | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7205…c850backed Rays | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0138…cdf1backed Rays | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28fe…620bbacked Guardians | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb523…0d72backed Rays | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb340…6b02backed Rays | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef2…220bbacked Rays | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc213…f12bbacked Rays | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d18…f551backed Rays | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x069c…ed7bbacked Rays | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2916…bb5bbacked Rays | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfffa…f24dbacked Rays | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3b…b5bdbacked Guardians | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a1…99aabacked Guardians | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40a0…a1c0backed Rays | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf50e…b539backed Rays | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e00…c26cbacked Rays | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c6…ce67backed Rays | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab5…dce6backed Rays | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9459…e52bbacked Guardians | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8be8…7066backed Rays | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe91a…5145backed Rays | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf01…0439backed Rays | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…5d65backed Rays | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20ce…215fbacked Guardians | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a6…050cbacked Rays | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf15e…23e4backed Rays | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31b1…9335backed Rays | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca66…c18bbacked Guardians | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6b…122dbacked Rays | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25c6…8325backed Guardians | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…2522backed Rays | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f3…94d4backed Guardians | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5581…12e8backed Rays | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb90d…0082backed Guardians | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e97…f811backed Guardians | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6718…41babacked Guardians | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x045f…bfe7backed Rays | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x479b…64e9backed Rays | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9af2…9d81backed Rays | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeeee…9989backed Guardians | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0c…9e00backed Guardians | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b1…e717backed Guardians | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46d8…c629backed Guardians | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad26…e8efbacked Rays | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc30…ee94backed Guardians | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | +7.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a0…8eb1backed Guardians | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9803…f634backed Rays | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56de…cd01backed Guardians | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe214…776ebacked Guardians | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rays vs. Guardiansthis page
- Spread: Rays (-1.5)No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.