Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd7bd58d09efa1ff15be61cf30587e79444971ab125d55b2a88bf6ec04623a0d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,402,050
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,164,943
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,402,050 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 974 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb014…b3fabacked Yes | 0c | 3,297,926$7,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,095.87 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46a4…fa19backed Yes | 0c | 2,438,621$5,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,161.37 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x159f…0126backed Yes | 0c | 2,137,797$10,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,069.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb540…b343backed Yes | 0c | 1,338,597$6,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,392.75 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5677…2ce9backed Yes | 0c | 1,295,178$1,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,790.18 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a19…8179backed Yes | 0c | 1,239,999$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x600b…42dcbacked Yes | 0c | 884,857$2,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,513.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf541…419dbacked Yes | 0c | 863,965$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89bd…0bd5backed Yes | 0c | 808,378$2,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,013.65 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Yes | 0c | 743,948$1,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,487.9 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…3312backed Yes | 0c | 550,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 433,998$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055 | 55 | 1.8%1 W · 54 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb0…bfc1backed Yes | 1c | 433,897$2,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,507.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb1…b7eabacked Yes | 0c | 406,933$1,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,778.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d2…d6d2backed Yes | 0c | 389,500$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.5 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…8db5backed Yes | 0c | 387,993$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b66…26c9backed Yes | 1c | 381,134$2,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,320.02 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeada…482cbacked Yes | 0c | 371,315$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x878a…c4eebacked Yes | 0c | 366,270$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc550…97d6backed Yes | 0c | 349,314$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb387…27b2backed Yes | 1c | 338,549$1,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,728.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61e1…2d1bbacked Yes | 1c | 330,882$3,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,923.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c98…24b2backed Yes | 0c | 301,227$1,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf7…9189backed Yes | 0c | 300,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 274,718$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.04 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…df9ebacked Yes | 0c | 265,594$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7396…d207backed Yes | 0c | 252,389$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc15…3d1ebacked Yes | 0c | 251,194$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fa…e09cbacked Yes | 0c | 229,278$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefb1…0b63backed Yes | 1c | 227,284$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…05cdbacked Yes | 0c | 213,250$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01b8…56c2backed Yes | 1c | 203,019$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c65…b9eebacked Yes | 0c | 200,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7489…7f27backed Yes | 0c | 193,747$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x454c…bd22backed Yes | 1c | 187,873$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.96 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1cd…d1adbacked Yes | 1c | 182,370$1,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,356.34 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5112…6aefbacked Yes | 0c | 179,250$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd4…4095backed Yes | 0c | 176,768$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.54 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1caf…5c34backed Yes | 0c | 173,424$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…4c2bbacked Yes | 0c | 170,598$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x188e…df00backed Yes | 0c | 169,783$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764d…f35cbacked Yes | 1c | 154,674$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 1c | 150,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a51…d415backed Yes | 0c | 150,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd817…ac33backed Yes | 0c | 150,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe707…808ebacked Yes | 0c | 146,877$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4481…d265backed Yes | 1c | 146,619$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.09 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeacb…09a5backed Yes | 0c | 136,472$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31aa…c867backed Yes | 2c | 135,000$2,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,321.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbee0…aa9fbacked Yes | 0c | 135,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes | 0c | 131,208$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.28 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb41a…3a25backed Yes | 0c | 130,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3902…d83dbacked Yes | 0c | 125,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa53c…67a5backed Yes | 0c | 124,353$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61ff…bbbbbacked Yes | 0c | 123,667$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a5…9de7backed Yes | 0c | 118,771$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.21 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61e2…4958backed Yes | 0c | 111,905$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd48…813fbacked Yes | 0c | 111,572$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.86 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd46b…a8e3backed Yes | 0c | 110,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…5bc1backed Yes | 0c | 108,860$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.44 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11af…c7e2backed Yes | 0c | 104,682$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.43 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5573…41bdbacked Yes | 1c | 100,970$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7262…3a0bbacked Yes | 1c | 100,132$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x949a…721cbacked Yes | 0c | 100,000$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.62 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 7cpaid | +149.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c16…45e9backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed9…febfbacked Yes | 0c | 100,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ecd…391abacked Yes | 1c | 100,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3632…0c66backed Yes | 0c | 99,991$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd189…b261backed Yes | 0c | 99,947$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x971c…bb48backed Yes | 0c | 99,000$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34b5…8f00backed Yes | 0c | 98,333$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…7b90backed Yes | 1c | 96,057$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166.73 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c94…5658backed Yes | 1c | 94,467$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5093…df0abacked Yes | 0c | 90,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9d…4f39backed Yes | 0c | 87,445$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ec…1b42backed Yes | 0c | 83,516$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6b…adcebacked Yes | 1c | 83,044$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58fa…54e7backed Yes | 0c | 80,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa652…6f8fbacked Yes | 0c | 80,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 0c | 80,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x203b…acd1backed Yes | 1c | 77,815$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.71 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -84.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6532…865abacked Yes | 0c | 71,617$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd02c…a383backed Yes | 0c | 70,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6064backed Yes | 1c | 70,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 0c | 69,762$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.36 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd73…6c8cbacked Yes | 0c | 69,600$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 10cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Yes | 1c | 69,056$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0de…8cc4backed Yes | 0c | 68,071$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.02 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba85…c019backed Yes | 1c | 67,402$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed47…6af8backed Yes | 0c | 66,667$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc142…8acabacked Yes | 0c | 64,720$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c87…9bd4backed Yes | 1c | 64,578$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.13 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19de…442fbacked Yes | 0c | 63,431$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf3…2affbacked Yes | 0c | 62,670$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…b3e8backed Yes | 1c | 60,405$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.79 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8c…ad4bbacked Yes | 0c | 60,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -33%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92eb…986abacked Yes | 1c | 60,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4349…4c6fbacked Yes | 1c | 58,718$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb132…9eb8backed Yes | 0c | 58,630$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1e…0cd2backed Yes | 0c | 58,433$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?this page
- Will Adrienne Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No won
- Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No won
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No won
- Will Brad Lander win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No won
- Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No won
- Will Jim Walden win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No won
- Will Michael Bloomberg win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No won
- Will Rudy Giuliani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No won
- Will Scott Stringer win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No won
- Will Zellnor Myrie win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No won
- Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.