Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Lille OSC win on 2025-08-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd392e091d88c5154f12672604ecd4f43af08c6d16587de32a139e2174d7ccd0b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,587
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,529
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,587 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 70c | 831.06$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.57 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed No | 73c | 776.75$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.49 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 15c | 776.56$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.56 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 30c | 624$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.84 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 70c | 517.65$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.35 | 133 | 48.9%65 W · 68 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed No | 70c | 499.99$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.99 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c1…2dbcbacked No | 3c | 444$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed No | 74c | 375$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 30c | 333.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.97 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Yes | 28c | 327.78$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 33c | 265$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.2 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Yes | 45c | 229.39$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.24 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 70c | 228$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.24 | 232 | 60.8%141 W · 91 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 30c | 223.33$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.33 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 68c | 215.63$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.63 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 70c | 202.35$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.64 | 47 | 72.3%34 W · 13 L | +7.4wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed No | 67c | 200$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4283…fbd4backed No | 72c | 175$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 60cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.41 | 70 | 31.4%22 W · 48 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 10c | 171.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 202 | 32.7%66 W · 136 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed No | 72c | 152.78$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…ddd7backed Yes | 24c | 150$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 47c | 147.92$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.66 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 31c | 138$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.41 | 246 | 42.3%104 W · 142 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 69c | 133.71$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.58 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked No | 71c | 122$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.62 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 68cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 29c | 117.24$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.24 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7740…cbcdbacked No | 59c | 105.71$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.37 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked No | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…a6abbacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +137.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…4195backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 28cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Yes | 59c | 88.34$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.66 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6695…6f1abacked Yes | 27c | 74.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.59 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +41%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e6…696bbacked Yes | 28c | 54.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 71c | 52$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.78 | 208 | 60.6%126 W · 82 L | +12.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 70c | 33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.17 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97cc…bbbfbacked No | 72c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 67c | 17.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lille OSC win on 2025-08-24?this page
- Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-08-24?No won
- Will Lille OSC vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.