Will Burnley FC vs. Chelsea end in a draw?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3e248d0f0f03d600e94ac83dfb3117311f451f53751ae3022a3fafbfd6f9042

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Nov 22, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $51,496
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $51,318

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,496 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Yes	17c	24,721$4,274 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,274.46	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No	79c	8,000$6,320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,680	386	49%189 W · 197 L	-6.9wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked No	79c	5,001$3,951 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,050.25	97	63.9%62 W · 35 L	-3.9wins	-0.04per pick	68cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No	80c	4,363$3,490 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$872.6	1,146	42.8%490 W · 656 L	-8.5wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Yes	20c	2,069$410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$409.95	400	46%184 W · 216 L	+8.2wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked No	77c	1,682$1,295 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$386.8	178	37.6%67 W · 111 L	-6.2wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-16%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Yes	20c	1,500$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	81	37%30 W · 51 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06ab…d376backed Yes	10c	1,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes	20c	983.68$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.68	796	39.6%315 W · 481 L	+11.8wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes	13c	935$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.15	1,224	40%490 W · 734 L	-24.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No	77c	760.07$584 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$175.59	2,661	45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L	-11.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7aba…7442backed Yes	23c	652.17$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	125	45.6%57 W · 68 L	-3.4wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5699…418dbacked Yes	22c	522.73$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115	97	53.6%52 W · 45 L	-7.5wins	-0.08per pick	61cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes	7c	500$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	515	42.5%219 W · 296 L	-9.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes	21c	500$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	531	34.5%183 W · 348 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed No	79c	434.21$341 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.76	255	51.8%132 W · 123 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60d1…0c8fbacked No	78c	400$312 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88	120	42.5%51 W · 69 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No	78c	350$273 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77	420	48.6%204 W · 216 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes	4c	336$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	202	39.6%80 W · 122 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f56…f1bbbacked Yes	11c	317.09$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.88	33	36.4%12 W · 21 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Yes	10c	299.99$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	71	39.4%28 W · 43 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Yes	22c	286.96$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62	193	36.8%71 W · 122 L	-14.9wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8468…9e6ebacked Yes	21c	285.71$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a8…90a8backed Yes	24c	272.41$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.10per pick	40cpaid	-40.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0df…8f41backed No	80c	251.25$201 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.25	71	76.1%54 W · 17 L	+5.0wins	+0.07per pick	69cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3ae9…74acbacked Yes	13c	250$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.5	34	32.4%11 W · 23 L	-2.2wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f07…c05fbacked Yes	21c	247.48$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.97	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes	18c	222$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.85	74	29.7%22 W · 52 L	+12.1wins	+0.16per pick	13cpaid	+125%equal weight	64+0.12 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes	20c	222$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.4	466	51.9%242 W · 224 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82bb…c86cbacked Yes	23c	217.39$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes	21c	208.31$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.43	1,006	46.6%469 W · 537 L	-20.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc079…8accbacked Yes	22c	205.68$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.25	30	43.3%13 W · 17 L	+1.7wins	+0.06per pick	38cpaid	+18.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x92c7…0e11backed Yes	16c	200$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	15	66.7%10 W · 5 L	+2.1wins	+0.14per pick	53cpaid	+24.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Yes	20c	200$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	164	53.7%88 W · 76 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x03de…4bfdbacked Yes	21c	198$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.58	31	45.2%14 W · 17 L	-2.2wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0050…336cbacked No	79c	176.71$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.11	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-3.0wins	-0.43per pick	72cpaid	-60.9%equal weight	39-0.09 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked No	77c	173.91$134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40	91	50.5%46 W · 45 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x01ad…d823backed Yes	23c	173.91$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed Yes	20c	154$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.16	259	49.4%128 W · 131 L	-4.0wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-10%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes	20c	150$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	331	24.2%80 W · 251 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39a2…a471backed Yes	31c	150$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.5	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-11%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb583…3428backed Yes	22c	140$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.8	43	55.8%24 W · 19 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc42…8e99backed No	80c	125$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	9	77.8%7 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	75cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf75…7623backed No	79c	123.94$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.57	31	41.9%13 W · 18 L	-4.5wins	-0.15per pick	57cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No	80c	118$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.6	670	42.2%283 W · 387 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No	77c	115$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.45	308	51.3%158 W · 150 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xec89…70a1backed Yes	22c	113.64$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed Yes	18c	106.31$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.42	307	39.4%121 W · 186 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Yes	22c	100$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	72	36.1%26 W · 46 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe83…3b00backed Yes	25c	100$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	63	38.1%24 W · 39 L	-8.0wins	-0.13per pick	51cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x943d…7aa1backed Yes	20c	100$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x93e8…c261backed Yes	21c	95.24$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-1.2wins	-0.10per pick	26cpaid	-54.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Yes	27c	91.66$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.75	234	35.9%84 W · 150 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes	21c	87.59$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.39	689	42.2%291 W · 398 L	+13.6wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd538…317cbacked Yes	23c	86.96$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	221	25.8%57 W · 164 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec60…9423backed Yes	23c	86.96$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	-1.7wins	-0.11per pick	24cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes	25c	80$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	422	40.3%170 W · 252 L	-8.4wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e6…696bbacked Yes	21c	71.86$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.09	46	43.5%20 W · 26 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf7c6…6766backed Yes	17c	70$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.9	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2387…adadbacked Yes	22c	63.64$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	82	29.3%24 W · 58 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No	76c	52$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.48	292	59.2%173 W · 119 L	+14.1wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xefa5…b417backed No	79c	50$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.5	44	52.3%23 W · 21 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd6d…c733backed Yes	29c	50$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.5	63	30.2%19 W · 44 L	-9.5wins	-0.15per pick	45cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed No	73c	40.26$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.76	271	41.7%113 W · 158 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x831d…e1babacked Yes	32c	37.5$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No	68c	37.5$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12	1,004	46.3%465 W · 539 L	+25.8wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No	77c	15$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.45	364	62.9%229 W · 135 L	+32.1wins	+0.09per pick	54cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xab90…5793backed No	80c	12.5$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2.5	25	52%13 W · 12 L	-4.3wins	-0.17per pick	69cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Burnley FC vs. Chelsea end in a draw?this page
Will Burnley FC win on 2025-11-22?No won
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-22?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Burnley FC vs. Chelsea end in a draw?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event