Mls · resolved market
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2025-10-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81b6e9f37f2fb6f8b84ae578ae5866cb3b0d8be55d69f6f787860fe47cefd441
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,120
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,598
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,120 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc8ef…5232backed Yes | 50c | 19,766$9,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,900 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 50c | 15,777$7,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,842.62 | 257 | 61.5%158 W · 99 L | +17.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 54c | 10,146$5,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,482.58 | 161 | 37.9%61 W · 100 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 49c | 5,260$2,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,656.11 | 132 | 57.6%76 W · 56 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 49c | 5,046$2,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,587.09 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc04…f726backed Yes | 52c | 3,148$1,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,639.07 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed No | 51c | 2,566$1,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,257.09 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 51c | 1,714$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.04 | 371 | 38.8%144 W · 227 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa117…a311backed Yes | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +100%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed No | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedae…584fbacked No | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63af…0a25backed No | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked No | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed No | 37c | 956.99$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.98 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 48c | 881.92$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.2 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x823c…0425backed Yes | 54c | 827.21$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.69 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…0dd9backed No | 51c | 800$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked No | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 52c | 482.58$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 48c | 450.26$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.13 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e2…9710backed Yes | 47c | 426.73$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 50c | 400.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Yes | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8307…1cadbacked Yes | 76c | 356.08$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.3wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 53c | 348.91$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.04 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -10.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -43%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Yes | 26c | 335.31$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.05 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf17a…2723backed Yes | 42c | 300.24$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc648…259cbacked No | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8480…293ebacked No | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa52e…e2c4backed No | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 51c | 287$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.63 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 50c | 278.73$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.58 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f5…30bcbacked Yes | 51c | 248.16$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.54 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked No | 50c | 225$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70c0…940dbacked Yes | 48c | 207.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x797e…4616backed Yes | 53c | 190.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5350…c52cbacked Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2303…5631backed Yes | 49c | 181.65$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…15a5backed Yes | 48c | 152.75$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 57c | 140$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a99…9306backed Yes | 49c | 135.12$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 53c | 128$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.16 | 206 | 48.5%100 W · 106 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee7…12c5backed No | 52c | 119.22$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.23 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e09…a4edbacked Yes | 54c | 118.09$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +45%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed No | 48c | 116.69$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.59 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 55c | 105.16$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.84 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 43c | 102$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.68 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x203e…a9b5backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed No | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 51c | 92.24$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.2 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18ed…04cbbacked Yes | 51c | 80$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb1…4df1backed Yes | 56c | 71.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked No | 50c | 70.04$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.85 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a4…333bbacked No | 53c | 60.75$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x883c…5f03backed Yes | 49c | 53.76$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Yes | 54c | 52.84$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.33 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4371…884fbacked Yes | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 160 | 61.3%98 W · 62 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7e…425ebacked Yes | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a2…5ac7backed Yes | 49c | 51.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b8…d54cbacked Yes | 56c | 50.23$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Yes | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes | 47c | 47.59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce18…a9dbbacked Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0fb…c549backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef40…d88bbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02c…2cf8backed Yes | 58c | 31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d4…ef77backed Yes | 49c | 30.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25b0…94ebbacked No | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e6…696bbacked Yes | 49c | 22.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…60c7backed Yes | 50c | 20.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc48d…8a40backed Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20f7…635ebacked Yes | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Los Angeles FC win on 2025-10-18?this page
- Will Colorado Rapids SC vs. Los Angeles FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2025-10-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.