TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Titans vs. Cardinals

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Titansof Titans, Cardinals
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$919,480
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$877,870

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $919,480 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 250 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Cardinals78c332,954$261,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261,182.322548.4%109 W · 116 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed88…f3c4backed Titans21c204,227$42,888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161,339.418344.6%37 W · 46 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd38b…5029backed Titans22c160,000$35,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124,80019553.8%105 W · 90 L+16.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+23.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed Titans21c100,139$21,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79,109.4412352.8%65 W · 58 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Titans29c68,876$20,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,757.5147738.6%184 W · 293 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb412…3026backed Cardinals78c41,000$31,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,9801942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Cardinals78c27,031$21,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,084.1924551%125 W · 120 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53e5…6177backed Titans21c25,000$5,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,75014450%72 W · 72 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Cardinals78c21,957$17,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,126.5631848.1%153 W · 165 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Titans21c18,423$3,869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,553.8231240.7%127 W · 185 L-22.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Titans5c16,891$848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,042.7868446.1%315 W · 369 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Cardinals1c16,494$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.4320634.5%71 W · 135 L-0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-24.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6ce…0772backed Cardinals79c16,009$12,647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,647.114365.1%28 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3672…edbdbacked Cardinals70c13,197$9,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,3004250%21 W · 21 L-5.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-23.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Titans54c12,463$6,751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,711.719235.4%68 W · 124 L-0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-35%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13ce…35f0backed Cardinals78c12,142$9,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,470.683652.8%19 W · 17 L-4.2wins-0.12per pick65cpaid-22.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7000…bf9cbacked Titans22c11,354$2,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,855.84771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+83.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Titans21c10,000$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,9008845.5%40 W · 48 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Titans5c9,382$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,947.8164747.3%306 W · 341 L+42.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+56.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Titans22c9,263$2,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,224.815837.9%22 W · 36 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Titans22c6,661$1,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,195.2421227.8%59 W · 153 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick23cpaid-24.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Cardinals1c5,541$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.864311.6%7 W · 424 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-82.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Titans0c5,270$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,254.621128%9 W · 103 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick4cpaid+413.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Titans38c5,000$1,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,11529356%164 W · 129 L+14.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Cardinals10c5,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.0214147.5%67 W · 74 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-5.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a87…4e00backed Titans22c5,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,9001942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed Cardinals79c4,997$3,948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,9487259.7%43 W · 29 L-0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fb9…ce7ebacked Cardinals73c4,499$3,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,292.31728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.31per pick59cpaid-28.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Cardinals78c4,226$3,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,296.6132050.9%163 W · 157 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Cardinals78c4,223$3,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,294.0141248.5%200 W · 212 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4f8…a7e8backed Titans40c3,957$1,584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,372.85425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-37.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf05…70dabacked Cardinals79c3,797$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00014763.9%94 W · 53 L+12.0wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Titans20c3,736$747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,988.5683147.8%397 W · 434 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Titans2c3,535$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,477.8714215.5%22 W · 120 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick14cpaid+14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Titans1c3,380$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,361.591486.8%10 W · 138 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick2cpaid+296.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Cardinals79c3,334$2,646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,646.3331854.7%174 W · 144 L+16.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Titans23c3,248$757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,491.264247.6%20 W · 22 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed Cardinals78c3,000$2,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,339.9914757.1%84 W · 63 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Titans18c2,840$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,322.8420026%52 W · 148 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-29.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Titans19c2,681$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,173.9353348.4%258 W · 275 L+1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x157e…c040backed Titans23c2,610$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,009.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+335.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Cardinals67c2,608$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,750.0427644.2%122 W · 154 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc98d…05d3backed Titans31c2,590$798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,792.04955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick38cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Cardinals53c2,578$1,367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,36716344.8%73 W · 90 L+9.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Titans2c2,540$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,484.8924053.8%129 W · 111 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Titans4c2,400$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,293.4928436.3%103 W · 181 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+39.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0e4a…311cbacked Titans21c2,381$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,880.955123.5%12 W · 39 L-8.1wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-37.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cardinals78c2,244$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7501,06551.3%546 W · 519 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Titans23c2,130$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,630.8131056.8%176 W · 134 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdf41…5562backed Titans22c2,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,560666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick35cpaid+94.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x126b…8753backed Titans23c1,742$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,342.441729.4%5 W · 12 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Titans1c1,617$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,604.445679.9%56 W · 511 L-1.3wins0.00per pick10cpaid-39.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Cardinals78c1,527$1,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,196.3114951%76 W · 73 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0adb…7693backed Titans16c1,524$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,279.954131.7%13 W · 28 L+5.9wins+0.14per pick17cpaid+86.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Titans20c1,523$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,218.0818435.9%66 W · 118 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Cardinals78c1,500$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,17019543.6%85 W · 110 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96df…4caabacked Titans38c1,327$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$826.614443.2%19 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd724…b805backed Cardinals79c1,303$1,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,029.131650%8 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8a8…a48ebacked Titans4c1,260$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,205.356459.4%38 W · 26 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+38.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb72b…f4e0backed Titans4c1,176$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,126.2216737.7%63 W · 104 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Cardinals78c1,043$814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$813.544645.7%21 W · 25 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x114f…42c6backed Titans18c1,000$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8201833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2230…a66cbacked Titans23c989.9$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762.73825%2 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Cardinals70c948.57$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664.953545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x504f…3ddcbacked Titans22c909.09$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.0911547%54 W · 61 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid+11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4150…d0ebbacked Titans22c893.32$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.791947.4%9 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick34cpaid+63.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Cardinals78c828.42$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646.1620646.1%95 W · 111 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2619…9f4ebacked Cardinals78c791.23$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.2710752.3%56 W · 51 L+7.8wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1fbc…3099backed Cardinals79c759.49$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6008938.2%34 W · 55 L-10.4wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-28.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed Cardinals79c732$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.2812954.3%70 W · 59 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Titans22c709.09$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.093333.3%11 W · 22 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d03…369abacked Cardinals78c600.01$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.158048.8%39 W · 41 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Titans3c573.74$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.1850242.4%213 W · 289 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28b1…5a3fbacked Cardinals79c506.33$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4009359.1%55 W · 38 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c3c…5c56backed Titans22c500.36$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.862744.4%12 W · 15 L+3.5wins+0.13per pick31cpaid+60.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Cardinals61c486.16$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.7828151.6%145 W · 136 L+20.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x350b…98b6backed Titans22c454.55$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.553100%3 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+205.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Titans18c440$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.827633.3%92 W · 184 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-1.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Titans22c432$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.9148847.5%232 W · 256 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0099…b070backed Titans18c416.67$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.671266.7%8 W · 4 L+4.0wins+0.34per pick33cpaid+133.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1901…c07fbacked Titans6c414.29$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.298033.8%27 W · 53 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+37.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Titans21c400$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31612133.9%41 W · 80 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae76…dce5backed Titans21c394.35$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.5427339.2%107 W · 166 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaaa7…e577backed Cardinals79c379.75$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001136.4%4 W · 7 L-4.0wins-0.37per pick73cpaid-48.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2135…f305backed Titans5c368.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.339238%35 W · 57 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+21.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x04eb…36a7backed Cardinals79c348.1$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27519361.7%119 W · 74 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5646…3819backed Cardinals78c336.01$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.097035.7%25 W · 45 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+23.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x05a4…1e85backed Titans46c303.16$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.442339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-31.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1137…74e9backed Titans17c302.41$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2512356.5%13 W · 10 L+5.0wins+0.22per pick35cpaid+103.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe30e…4eedbacked Titans7c297.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.136432.8%21 W · 43 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+33.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb406…4964backed Cardinals79c287.25$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.933050%15 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed Cardinals79c275.47$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21912560.8%76 W · 49 L+0.4wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e86…6bc9backed Titans4c254.55$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.557631.6%24 W · 52 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e64…7308backed Cardinals79c253.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002171.4%15 W · 6 L+3.8wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+34.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1c36…9719backed Cardinals79c252$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.082941.4%12 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+17.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f43…65fdbacked Titans21c250$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.56225.8%16 W · 46 L-0.2wins0.00per pick26cpaid+20.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f53…1081backed Titans22c250$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1954639.1%18 W · 28 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5340…5e2bbacked Titans20c230.67$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.6710750.5%54 W · 53 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x646e…294dbacked Cardinals79c227.84$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.993661.1%22 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99c4…0c89backed Titans36c225.64$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.419744.3%43 W · 54 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+18.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.