MLB · resolved market
New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x93156862b3d8498c638bf8f7c23fd47eac40edca23f7c8a44e3cb34ae6ad5543
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,909
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,197
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,909 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Under | 51c | 27,993$14,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,276.57 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 49c | 15,949$7,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,134.05 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Over | 49c | 5,102$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,602.04 | 390 | 47.4%185 W · 205 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf499…b5d9backed Over | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,081.63 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e2…4b92backed Over | 38c | 863.9$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.9 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0099…b070backed Under | 76c | 833.92$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.78 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 51c | 759$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.82 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 54c | 736.73$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.36 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 50c | 557$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.5 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 44c | 497.13$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.24 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under | 63c | 405.73$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.37 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Over | 49c | 247.4$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.17 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Over | 49c | 244.88$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.89 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 49c | 243.01$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.94 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Over | 40c | 233.75$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.25 | 380 | 53.2%202 W · 178 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 20c | 231.71$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.38 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 48c | 228.99$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.87 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Over | 49c | 201.79$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.91 | 536 | 55.8%299 W · 237 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 52c | 192$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed Over | 49c | 153.05$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.06 | 462 | 55.8%258 W · 204 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…e19bbacked Over | 49c | 142.87$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.86 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Over | 49c | 122.44$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.44 | 461 | 52.1%240 W · 221 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 51c | 118$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.18 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 23c | 104.17$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.21 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58ac…7636backed Under | 14c | 102.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47f6…b051backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 173 | 46.2%80 W · 93 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5998…b5a8backed Over | 21c | 94.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.71 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Over | 33c | 93.03$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.33 | 554 | 48.2%267 W · 287 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 67c | 93$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.31 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Under | 18c | 85.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 309 | 34.3%106 W · 203 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked Over | 49c | 84.02$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.85 | 285 | 53%151 W · 134 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Over | 50c | 84$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 49c | 67.69$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46ae…b9d9backed Under | 52c | 66.04$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.34 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 49c | 65$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.91 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56fa…30cebacked Over | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 233 | 57.5%134 W · 99 L | +22.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.25 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcb…65fcbacked Over | 49c | 45.03$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.96 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 49c | 42.04$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.44 | 674 | 44.1%297 W · 377 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 45c | 40.83$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.53 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 50c | 40.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6c…1a3cbacked Over | 36c | 37.23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.73 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b16…1290backed Over | 50c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 48c | 32.91$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.08 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d4…7c0dbacked Over | 49c | 23.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 289 | 48.1%139 W · 150 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 75c | 21.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74dd…f3c5backed Under | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5this page
- New York Yankees vs. Chicago White SoxChicago White Sox won
- New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 10.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 11.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 12.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 5.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 6.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-2.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-3.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-4.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Chicago White SoxYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.